SUNDAY IN EUROPE: The Ultra previews NAPOLI v UDINESE and SEVILLA v BARCELONA both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
NAPOLI V UDINESE
7.45pm We have a fascinating Sunday from Europe with two cracking fixtures from Serie A and La Liga on BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE. We start the day in Serie A with Napoli hosting Udinese – despite a draw for Napoli last weekend away to Roma, it turned out to be a good weekend with Inter Milan drawing against AC Milan, and then they lost their game in hand during the week against Fiorentina. The way the fixture list has worked out, Inter Milan play Fiorentina again on Monday and this is a very winnable fixture on paper so it could be a very good week for Napoli in the title race. They currently come into this weekend with a three point advantage, and it’s also turned into a two horse race with Atalanta falling out of the race – they’ve only managed one win in their last six Serie A games prior to this weekend. Udinese have been playing quite average football this season, and most football fans will expect a comfortable win for Napoli here. Napoli come into the game as the odds on favourites at 1.45 with Udinese 9.0 and the draw is 4.9 at the time of writing.
I know I’ve mentioned this a couple of times over the last few weeks, by now we all know that Napoli are massively over-performing this season – you can’t begrudge them a bit of luck given last season. That being said, their average xG created is only 1.36 this season which is a mid-table figure compared to having the best attacking figure last season! Udinese are sitting in mid-table, and they have a mid-table attacking figure too. I’m not sure I’d be rushing to take the 1.45 on Napoli here given their performance levels – but you can’t know the fact that they’ve been getting the job done and that they have some excellent momentum. They’ve been superb at the back too – their average xG conceded is only 1.08 and they’ve conceded very few goals this season. They have the best record for goals conceded this season in Serie A. Given Udinese haven’t been great going forward, I like Napoli to keep a clean sheet here – Both Teams Not To Score is trading 1.72 and that looks a nice position to start the evening.
The Ultra Says:
Two points win Both Teams Not To Score at 1.72 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/NapUde
SEVILLA V BARCELONA
8pm We move over to La Liga to finish Sunday as Sevilla host Barcelona. It wasn’t so long ago that this used to be a massive top four clash, those days are gone now given Sevilla have turned into a mid-table side. Their decline has been remarkable over the last few seasons – they’ve been involved in the relegation battle at times! I really thought when they won the Europa League and got into the Champions League that way, they would bounce back into the top four and everything would continue as normal – the top four in Spain was on lock for years after all – but that just hasn’t been the case. Now with no European football, it’s hard to see them attracting the quality of players they need to get back to where they were. It’s a sign of the times that Barcelona come into this game as the hot odds on favourites – Barcelona are trading 1.54 with Sevilla 6.2 and the draw is 5.0 at the time of writing. Barcelona fans will be hoping that they watch a draw in the Madrid Derby on Saturday before this game kicks off so they have the chance to close the gap on the top two.
After being nine points ahead at one stage, they come into this weekend four points behind Real Madrid and three behind Atletico Madrid. A draw would definitely be their preferred result in that clash on Saturday! After going through Hansi Flick’s first crisis with one win from just eight La Liga games, Barcelona seem to have found their goal scoring touch again. However, their two recent big score lines have come against Valencia who are in the relegation zone – they beat them 7-1 and then 5-0 in the Cup midweek. I wouldn’t be rushing to take the 1.54 on Barcelona here – it’s hard to make a massive argument that they should be massively shorter. Sevilla have really struggled to create good quality chances and actually convert them this season – their average xG created is only 1.33 and they are converting less than that so I don’t fancy laying Barcelona either. The market is expecting lots of goals here, but Barcelona only scored once against Alaves last weekend and Sevilla have clearly been struggling too – I like a small position on Under 3.5 goals at 1.76.
The Ultra Says:
One point win Under 3.5 goals at 1.76 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/SvlBar
