LUCKY-13 WINNING RUN: 138 POINTS PROFIT: Six days of winners, seven out of 13 tipped over the three days of Cheltenham, and the three naps there landing a hat-trick. That’s how Daqman built up a profit of 137.35 with strike after strike.
Sunday: 17.50pts profit on the day
WON 9-5 PEAKY BOY (nap)
WON 11-10 MATATA
Saturday: 33.10pts profit on the day
WON 5-4 DOYEN QUEST (nap)
WON 4-5 EAST INDIA DOCK
WON 10-11 L’EAU DU SUD
Friday: 45.45pts profit on the day
WON 5-1 SWEET DAVID (bull’s-eye bet) BETDAQ 10.2 taken
WON 1-3 JONBON (supernap)
Thursday: 18pts profit on the day
WON 11-2 SPACE TROOPER
WON 5-2 BREAD AND BUTTER
Wednesday: 11.3pts profit on the day
WON 5-2 DOOM
WON 6-5 SEA THEME
Tuesday: 12pts profit on the day
WON 7-2 THE WOLF
WON 13-8 QAZAQ
FORTUNE COOKIES: 482 POINTS TO BEAT: Did you see any horses to follow from the three days at Cheltenham? Where do you start building a list for the Jumps. Leave it to Daqman, who made 482 points profit in the 2024 Flat-turf season.
FOLLOW THE SWEET JUMPERS
FORTUNE COOKIES: I always start with the most trustworthy section of the Jumps for consistent winner-finding, yet the most likely to yield value bets because punters are nervous about betting a horse as a ‘good thing’ in that area. I’m talking about cross-country.
Year after year I had the winner of the cross-country at the festival, some seeming near-certainties on the day and in the two autumn and winter tests at Cheltenham.
The concluding championship at the festival has produced eight out of 10 no bigger than 9-2 at SP yet all at odds against.
We are talking about the likes of Tiger Roll (three wins) and Delta Work (two) but more than that we are talking about the Grand National.
Tiger Roll and before him Cause Of Causes and Balthazar King were huge prices each-way ante-post for Aintree, punters clearly unable to relate cross-country prowess with the big fences at Liverpool.
David Cottin, three times champion jockey in France, dared to bring over a six-year-old into the world of cross country and banks racing. Easysland won the 2020 cross-country at Cheltenham.
This week, Gaby Leenders crossed the Channel and made an even bigger splash with a young horse, Sweet David taking the first big Cheltenham cross-country of the season, sweet as a nut, though only five.
Back On The Lash in third was a previous dual winner (2021 and 2023), just as Josies Orders was (2015 and 2018) before him but ‘good things’ at SPs of 2-1, 11-4, 4-1, 6-1.
Another French-bred, Gaboriot (aged 8), three out of three still standing in hunter chases in the Spring, made a daring and impressive debut over the Grand National fences earlier this month, staying on third in the Grand Sefton for his new yard of Oliver Greenall and Josh Guerriero.
* More Fortune Cookies this week
FIND A WINNER? FIND A RUNNER?
⭕ 2.50 Plumpton One of Daqman’s first ports of call in the morning is to check the non runners. Obviously to avoid tipping any (or at least at the time of publication) but also non runners can change the context of races that otherwise might not have made much appeal.
It was with some trepidation that I checked the NR’s this morning as any further absentees at either Plumpton or Exeter would have made things a bit farcical. The two meetings combined can only muster 51 runners across 13 races for an average of less than four runners per race 🙁
Too much racing?
At Plumpton all six races have four runners – that’s something remarkable in itself but proving a small field doesn’t necessarily mean an uncompetitive race is this class 4 handicap chase where conceivably any of three could go off the favourite on the Betdaq Betting Exchange
I thought Nevendon looked the morning value, purely on the basis of having more ticks in the boxes – especially on good ground. After getting off the mark over fences at Southwell in October he has since run well at Fakenham and on both those occasions the ground was good.
Koenigsstern ran well on chase debut at Fontwell when second but it was soft that day and the bulk of his career form, including in his native Germany, suggests he needs some cut. Also, trainer Nick Gifford is just coming off the boil at present.
Vocito is switching back to fences having shown improved form over hurdles and he’ll handle the ground. Olly Murphy is in great form and he looks the obvious danger.
LEGENDARY NAP
⭕ 6.15 Southwell There’s no shortage of runners on the all-weather tonight and Wonder Legend can gain an overdue second win on the AW surface in this class 3 handicap.
After back to back wins at Wolverhampton and Doncaster he was fairly highly tried but has run with credit, including at Royal Ascot, and proved he is on a competitive current mark with a good third here last month.
He didn’t get the rub of the green that day and was doing his best work near the finish, suggesting the step up another two furlongs to 1m 6f should prove ideal.
⭕ 8.30 Wolverhampton There are good reasons to ignore Harlington’s latest effort here when he was repeatedly denied a clear run inside the final furlong.
Sean Levey takes over in the saddle from an apprentice rider and Harlington is taken to follow up on his course win three starts ago which came over a shorter trip.
Recent Southwell winner Khangai has chances of following up under a penalty but hasn’t always run his best races here.
DAQMAN’S BETS
2.50 Plumpton (win 15)
BET 5.5pts win NEVENDON
6.15 Southwell (win 10, nap)
BET 9.1pts win WONDER LEGEND
8.30 Wolverhampton (win 10)
BET 3.8pts win HARLINGTON
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
Did you know? DAQMAN’s tips are posted each and every day so he’s always on hand to help with your horse racing betting.
