DAQMAN STRIKE-RATE HITS 50% THIS WEEK: Daqman has a 50% record this week with three winners out of six, two on Monday and Solo Saxophone (WON 6-4 favourite) at Catterick yesterday from six races. But that’s only half the story.
YOU COULD HAVE HAD A TENNER SAX AT 99-1: Daqman put up Solo Saxophone as Frankel’s first runner over hurdles but Dan Skelton’s favourite got left behind after a bad mistake at the fourth and was 100.0 in running but picked up well to win by four lengths.
OVER THE MOON ABOUT THIS ONE
12.30 Newbury A decent novice heat which threw up a Triumph Hurdle winner, the ex-French Zaynar (2008), first run over here for Nicky Henderson, who now saddles French Provinces winner, Style De Garde, hooded for his English debut.
Alan King can’t be ignored. He has won twice with heavily backed horses snce 2011, and sends out Doctor Bartolo with experience over hurdles. He was runner-up first time after switching from Charles Hills on the Flat, where his form up to 1m 2f was 2231312.
12.40 Lingfield Suhayl Moon has been winning her gallops at home for a yard which is 37% with its two-year-olds and has current form figures of 1412. Group 2/3 winning dam, so could be a lot better than this field.
1.00 Newbury A maiden hurdle, again seemingly King (hat-trick 2007-9) versus Henderson (also three winners including Supreme Novice Hurdle runner-up Josses Hill).
Potterman (King), by a French Derby winner, is related to Denman on the dam’s side, with the dam’s sire, Kayf Tara, all suggesting that this 2m is short for him, though he was an impressive bumper winner last term.
Henderson runs two: Doux Pretender is also bred for much further than this, whereas Pacific De Baune ought to be the nippier sort.
2.05 Newbury Ms Parfois had to be driven out to score at Cheltenham last week. She returns to the track after only five days, and her trainer, Anthony Honeyball, has another string to his bow with Tacenda.
Tacenda jumped well when beating little Two Swallows at Fontwell (good) but hasn’t seemed so good on soft ground, and this is another two furlongs.
That should suit Two Swallows, a 5.2 BETDAQ offer who was a 3m winner three times over hurdles, once on the soft at Towcester, with its uphill finish.
Morello Royale is a three-miler and looks better than the bare form with Colin Tizzard showing figures of 12411021222, still standing, for the last five days.
3.15 Newbury Like the 1.00, this has produced three winners each for Alan King and Nicky Henderson in the decade.
But Henderson’s pair, Mr Whipped (beat nothing well at Kempton but penalised for it) and Wallace Spirit (hurdles debut today), seem to need more time, and Kingy’s Voie Dans Voie has shaped as if 3m would be more his trip.
They have powerful opponents here in Melrose Boy and Gowiththeflow, pipped in a big field at Chepstow by an easy winner since.
A year ago, Melrose Boy ran up to River Wyle, a Graded performer over hurdles and fences, and he slammed a big field at Cheltenham in November.
The Cheltenham race was for conditional jockeys so there is no penalty, but the downside is that such form isn’t always reliable, and Harry Fry’s five-year-old has had only five races on a sparse CV. Unexposed? Or a glass horse?
BEAT THE FAVOURITE WITH BACH
12.50 Ludlow Burbank, fourth in the Neptune, and 20lb in front of these on hurdles form, stopped quickly and was routine dope-tested on his reapparance. This switch to fences is make or break in a race the stable won last year.
Hogan’s Height ran in snatches at Towcester, leading on three separate occasions but stayed on well up the hill to finish second.
He’s a bit of a bridesmaid but had a previous winner behind in third and Wandrin Star well beaten off in fourth at Towcester.
The answer coud be Bach De Clermont, who has recently raced around the minimum distance, but has the pedigree of a stayer and steps back up in trip here (won a 3m Point). Big at 6.0 on BETDAQ this morning.
1.20 Ludlow Colin’s Brother is 4.0 on BETDAQ for a repeat with the yard in fantastic form. His November race at Newbury showed him as poor but he’s run stinkers before two of his three wins.
May have most to fear from Ifandbutwhynot, who is back to the mark he carried to a Ludlow CD win in the Spring, albeit in a class lower than today. He’s 11 now.
When Nicolas Chauvin won at Wetherby, the second horse was a class-4 stablemate of Colin’s Brother.
Vivaccio, placed in the race before, hasn’t won for three years but loves Ludlow and his trainer, Venetia Williams, took this race three years running (2012-14).
Another who has to bounce back is Festive Affair, a CD winner in the Spring, but beaten a total of 157 lengths on his last three starts.
1.55 Ludlow This race could throw up a couple of gems. It was won a few years ago by Cheltenham Festival placed Caroles Legacy for Nicky Henderson, who saddles Tell it To Me, a relative of the stable’s Gold Cup hero Long Run. Has been working well, jumping well.
Henry Daly, who took this three years running (2012-14), chooses the race for the step up in trip by Chilli Filli, who has a full sister who won at this distance.
Maire Banrigh (King’s Theatre out of a Supreme Leader mare) is bred to be an absolute monster! And the Skelton’s £320,000 purchase price – out of Colin Bowe’s yard – has that ‘could be anything’ ching-ching sound about it.
The runner-up in Diva Reconce’s bumper in the Spring has won twice since. Cangodemayo, from the buregoning Ben Pauling yard, can do better.
Tell it To Me was a tasty offer at 4.2, pushed out by the early interest in Maire Banrigh
DAQMAN’S BETS (each to win 20 points. except nap at SP)
12.40 Lingfield
SUPERNAP 20pts win (nap) SUHAYL MOON
12.50 Ludlow
BET 4pts win BACH DE CLERMONT
1.20 Ludlow
BET 6.5pts win COLINS BROTHER
1.55 Ludlow
BET 6pts win TELL IT TO ME
2.05 Newbury
BET 4.5pts win TWO SWALLOWS
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