PREMIER LEAGUE SATURDAY: We preview Saturday’s Premier League games with extended stats and BETDAQ recommended bets.
TOTTENHAM V NEWCASTLE
12.30pm We have Premier League games coming up thick and fast this week as we kick off another round of fixtures with Spurs hosting Newcastle. Both these sides enjoyed 2-1 wins during the week in dramatic fashion with Newcastle coming from behind to beat Manchester City and Spurs doing the same against Watford. That win would have been a huge boost to Newcastle; however given that Spurs had got knocked out both domestic Cups – they needed a boost too. The reality of that game though is that Spurs just aren’t the same side with Kane and Dele Ali so they look very short here at 1.45. Newcastle haven’t been reliable at all this season however until we see an improvement from Spurs without their key men; we’re happy to lay them at short odds like today.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Tottenham at 1.45.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQTtmNew
MATCH STATS
- Since losing both Premier League meetings with Newcastle in the 2015-16 season, Spurs have won each of their last three against the Magpies.
- None of Spurs’ last 20 Premier League home games against Newcastle have ended as a draw (12 wins for Spurs, 8 wins for Newcastle).
- Newcastle have lost their last seven visits to Wembley in all competitions since winning the 1955 FA Cup final against Man City – the worst ever losing run by a team at the stadium.
- Spurs have lost just one of their last 26 home Premier League games in February (W18 D7), a 0-4 defeat to Manchester United in 2007.
- Newcastle have collected just 12 points in their last 21 Premier League visits to London (P21 W3 D3 L15), with half of those coming against Tottenham (W2 D0 L1).
- Tottenham have won their last two Premier League games despite having conceded the first goal. They’ve never won three in a row after conceding first in the competition.
- Victory or defeat here would see Tottenham set a new Premier League record of most consecutive games without a draw (currently 28).
- Newcastle are looking to win consecutive Premier League games against ‘big six’ opposition for the first time since December 2015, with the second game in that sequence an away win at Tottenham.
- Tottenham’s Son Heung-min has scored eight goals in his last nine appearances for the club in all competitions.
- Salomón Rondón has scored six Premier League goals this season – twice as many as any other Newcastle player. However, the Venezuelan hasn’t scored in consecutive top- flight appearances since September 2016.
BRIGHTON V WATFORD
3pm Watford came so close to getting a result away to Spurs during the week only for a late goal to beat them. They must now go to Brighton who are without a win in four games. It’s easy to forgive the home side for losing against Liverpool and Manchester United however it could have easily impacted on their confidence because they failed to beat West Brom in the FA Cup afterwards and conceded four goals when losing to Fulham on Tuesday night. That has to be a worry heading into this fixture given how poor Fulham have been this season and if Watford can play like they did against Spurs they should be able to win, if not at least get a draw. Watford have beaten Newcastle and Crystal Palace in their last two away Premier League games and we simply have to lay Brighton here at 2.64 – we feel Watford will make those odds look very short come Saturday afternoon.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Brighton at 2.64.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQBriWtd
MATCH STATS
- Brighton have won just one of their last eight league games against Watford (D3 L4), though it did come in this exact fixture in the Premier League last season.
- Watford are looking to complete a league double over Brighton for the first time since the 1973-74 season, when they competed in the third tier.
- Brighton have failed to score in their last two home games in all competitions (W0 D1 L1), last failing to find the net in three in a row at the Amex in January 2016.
- Brighton haven’t lost four consecutive league matches since December 2011 under Gus Poyet, while current boss Chris Hughton hasn’t done so since January 2013 when he was Norwich manager.
- Watford haven’t lost consecutive Premier League away games since a run of six between February-May 2018.
- Brighton have never lost a Premier League game in February (W2 D1), one of just two teams to be unbeaten in a single month in the competition’s history (Blackpool W2 D0 L0 in December).
- Brighton striker Glenn Murray has scored 10 Premier League goals in back-to-back seasons (12 in 2017-18, 10 in 2018-19) – he has found the net with 10 of his 17 shots on target this season.
- This will be Brighton manager Chris Hughton’s fifth home league meeting with Watford (P4 W3 D0 L1 previously), facing a different manager each time (Malky Mackay, Sean Dyche, Slavisa Jokanovic, Marco Silva and Javier Gracia).
- Watford defender Craig Cathcart has scored in consecutive Premier League games. He’d only scored in three of his previous 108 in the competition.
- This will be Watford manager Javier Gracia’s 39 th Premier League game in charge of the Hornets, more than any other manager for the club in the competition.
BURNLEY V SOUTHAMPTON
3pm This is a really interesting match with two sides playing their best football of the season at the moment. Burnley were hammered 5-0 by Manchester City in the FA Cup last weekend however they have gone five games unbeaten in the Premier League and that includes a trip to Old Trafford. While Southampton have taken seven points from their last three away games and are climbing away from trouble at the bottom of the table. It’s not a surprise that we have such an open market with the match odds at the time of writing currently trading; Burnley 2.66, Southampton 2.98 and the draw is 3.4. Looking at the stats, Southampton have only won once from their nine visits here in the Premier League and with Burnley in good form it’ll be a tough day for the away side. We can see a very close game here though and the draw makes a lot of appeal at 3.4 – especially considering that Southampton have been playing good football away from home. It’s worth checking the price of 1-1 in the Correct Score market closer to kick off too.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Draw at 3.4.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQBurStm
MATCH STATS
- Burnley are unbeaten in five home league matches against Southampton (W3 D2 L0) since losing 2-3 in October 2007 in a Championship clash.
- Southampton have won just one of their nine top-flight visits to Turf Moor (D2 L6), a 1-0 win in March 1971 with Mick Channon scoring the winner.
- In this season’s reverse Premier League fixture between Burnley and Southampton, there were 34 shots in a 0-0 draw – only one game this season has seen more shots without a goal scored (Crystal Palace 0-0 Cardiff on Boxing Day, 40 shots).
- Only Manchester United (7) are on a current longer unbeaten run in the Premier League than Burnley (5, W3 D2).
- Burnley are winless in their last 13 Premier League games played in February (D6 L7) since winning their first ever such game in the month in 2010 (2-1 vs West Ham).
- Southampton have earned seven points from their last three Premier League away games (W2 D1 L0), as many as they had in their previous 10 on the road (W2 D1 L7).
- Burnley have conceded eight Premier League goals in the 90 th minute of games this season, more than any other side. Only two teams have ever conceded more in a single season – Hull City x2 (9 in 2009-10, 10 in 2016-17) and Cardiff City (10 in 2013-14).
- Southampton forward Charlie Austin has scored four goals in his last four league starts against former side Burnley – during his league career, Austin has only scored more goals at Loftus Road (32 in 45 games) than Turf Moor (23 in 43).
- Since the start of last season, both Ashley Barnes and Chris Wood have scored 14 Premier League goals for Burnley, with Wood managing that tally in 18 fewer shots (74) than Barnes (92).
- Since the start of the 2016-17 season, Burnley have won 59% of their home Premier League games when Tom Heaton has started in goal (13/22), compared to just 30% without him (8/27).
- James Ward-Prowse has scored in each of his last three Premier League appearances for Southampton, having netted in just two of his last 46 in the competition.
CHELSEA V HUDDERSFIELD
3pm Chelsea were embarrassed on Wednesday night when Bournemouth beat them 4-0 however they got an easy fixture here to bounce back in. Although with that being said, failing to beat the side who are nailed to the bottom of the league after losing 4-0 to Bournemouth will see a reaction! Chelsea are under big pressure at the moment in the race for a top four spot however playing at home to Huddersfield who only have 11 points thus far this season; the question of are they good enough to finish in the top four will have to wait for another day. It wouldn’t be a surprise to see a slightly cautious start from Chelsea after the loss during the week; however we can see them running out easy winners here. We like them to cover the two goal Asian Handicap at 1.96, stakes void if they win by exactly two goals, Huddersfield haven’t shown any signs of turning their form around and this should be a routine home win.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Chelsea -2 goals Asian Handicap to beat Huddersfield at 1.96.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQCheHdd
MATCH STATS
- Chelsea have lost just one of their last 16 matches against Huddersfield Town in all competitions (W11 D4), a 0-1 defeat in the League Cup third round in October 1999.
- In the top-flight, Huddersfield are winless in 10 matches against Chelsea (D4 L6) since winning 1-0 in October 1954.
- Chelsea haven’t lost any of their last 14 home league matches against ‘Town’ sides (W11 D3) since a 1-3 defeat to Luton Town in September 1986.
- Chelsea have failed to score in three of their last six home Premier League games, more than they had in their previous 21 combined in the competition (2).
- Chelsea are looking to avoid three consecutive Premier League defeats for the first time since November 2015.
- Huddersfield have won none of their 19 Premier League games against sides who aren’t newly-promoted to the division this season (W0 D3 L16), with their two wins coming against Fulham and Wolves.
- The side starting the day bottom have lost 11 of their last 12 away Premier League games against ‘big six’ sides, by an aggregate score of 3-36. The only exception was a West Brom victory against Man Utd at Old Trafford last season.
- Huddersfield striker Laurent Depoitre has scored both of Huddersfield’s Premier League goals against Chelsea, netting at the John Smith’s Stadium in December 2017 and Stamford Bridge in May 2018.
- The last permanent Huddersfield Town manager to win his first away league match in charge was Neil Warnock in August 1993, a 3-2 win at Rotherham United in the third tier.
- Chelsea’s Eden Hazard has had a hand in nine goals in his last seven Premier League appearances against sides starting the day bottom (5 goals, 4 assists).
- In 13 of the last 14 Premier League matches Huddersfield’s Jason Puncheon has started, the side he’s been playing for has failed to score (10 for Crystal Palace, 3 for Huddersfield).
CRYSTAL PALACE V FULHAM
3pm Fulham bagged a much needed three points during the week when beating Brighton 4-2 and now they have a great chance of getting some points here too. Crystal Palace have only managed two wins in their 11 home Premier League games this season and they’ve lost six of those games; so they are really struggling at home. Scoring four goals would have given Fulham a huge boost during the week and they know that another win soon would put them back in the mix and within three or four points of a lot of teams – considering the home form of Palace; they might not get many chances as good as this to get away points. We can’t get away from the Palace lay here at 2.1 which looks terribly short given their troubles here this season and after Fulham impressed during the week, we’re very happy to lay the home side at 2.1 – we expect a much closer game than those odds suggest.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Crystal Palace at 2.1.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQCrlFul
MATCH STATS
- Crystal Palace haven’t hosted Fulham in the Premier League since October 2013, when the Cottagers won 4-1 in Ian Holloway’s final match in charge of Palace.
- Fulham have only lost one of their last 11 away league matches against Crystal Palace (W5 D5), losing 0-2 in a Premier League game in October 2004.
- Crystal Palace have won just four of their last 28 Premier League London derbies (D5 L19), with one of those in the reverse fixture against Fulham this season.
- Crystal Palace have won only two of their last 11 Premier League home games (D3 L6).
- Defeat here would see Fulham become the first team in top-flight history to lose eight consecutive London derby matches.
- Only Huddersfield (5) have scored fewer home goals than Crystal Palace in the Premier League this season (6). However, Fulham have shipped a league-high 30 away goals.
- Fulham manager Claudio Ranieri has won none of his last 20 away Premier League matches (W0 D6 L14), with his last victory back in April 2016 as Leicester manager at Sunderland; he has picked up one point from five away matches as Fulham manager (W0 D1 L4).
- Fulham boss Claudio Ranieri has won all three of his Premier League meetings with Crystal Palace, beating them twice in 2015-16 and once in 2016-17, all with Leicester City.
- Against Brighton, Fulham’s Ryan Babel registered his first assist in the Premier League since September 2009 (for Liverpool v West Ham), a gap of 3,419 days – the eighth biggest gap between assists and longest wait between assists since Danny Simpson in 2017 (3,465 days).
- Fulham’s Aleksandar Mitrovic has scored 20 Premier League goals (10 for Newcastle, 10 for Fulham), scoring five apiece under four different managers – Steve McClaren, Rafael Benitez, Slavisa Jokanovic and Claudio Ranieri.
EVERTON V WOLVERHAMPTON
3pm Only two points separates these two in the league table as they sit in 7th and 8th respectively. If you were a Wolves fan you couldn’t be happier with their season in the Premier League after coming up from the Championship – sitting in 7th and mixing it with the big boys is the stuff of dreams for sides in the Championship! They were very impressive when beating West Ham 3-0 during the week and while Everton grinded out a 1-0 win over Huddersfield; they recently lost to Millwall and Southampton. Wolves have bagged 11 goals in their last five games and that includes being beaten 3-0 by Manchester City away from home. We feel that Everton should be bigger than 2.4 here and from a value point of view we’re happy to lay them at the odds. The draw makes a lot of appeal at 3.4 however with Wolves scoring goals we could see an away win here – laying Everton looks the best option.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Everton at 2.4.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQEvrWol
MATCH STATS
- Everton have lost just one of their last 14 home matches against Wolves in all competitions (W8 D5), a 2-3 defeat in September 1979 in a top-flight encounter.
- Five of the last seven Premier League meetings between Everton and Wolves have ended as draws, with the Toffees winning the other two in 2011.
- Everton have won 21 of their last 25 home matches in all competitions in February (D3 L1).
- Everton have won 18 of their last 21 home Premier League matches against newly-promoted teams (D2 L1), winning each of their last 10 in a row.
- Wolves have won 10 Premier League games this season – just one fewer than their highest tally in a single Premier League campaign, winning 11 in the 2010-11 season.
- Wolves are looking to score three or more goals in three consecutive top-flight matches for the first time since March 1980.
- Everton have won just one of their eight Premier League games this season against teams starting the day higher than them in the table (W1 D2 L5), losing the last four in a row.
- Against Huddersfield Town, Everton defender Lucas Digne became the 10 th player to be sent off under Marco Silva in the Premier League – no manager has seen more players red carded since Silva’s first match in charge in January 2017.
- Wolves midfielder João Moutinho has registered four Premier League assists in 2019 – double the number of any other player.
- Everton striker Cenk Tosun has had a hand in four goals in six Premier League appearances against newly-promoted sides (3 goals, 1 assist).
CARDIFF V BOURNEMOUTH
5.30pm This probably not the most glamorous TV game but that doesn’t mean we can’t find some value. Cardiff come into this fixture without a win in their last five games in all competitions, and they’ll failed to find the net in their last two home games. With Bournemouth full of confidence after thrashing Chelsea 4-0 during the week, we could easily see an away win here. Cardiff have had to play Arsenal and Spurs within that run of five games; however they’ve also lost to Gillingham in the FA Cup and were unable to score against Huddersfield here who have obviously been very poor this season. We’d be happy to back Bournemouth at 2.4 however their away form has to put you off backing them – they’ve actually lost their last six away Premier League games and perhaps it’s wise to steer clear of the 2.4 here even allowing for them playing Cardiff. With Bournemouth struggling away and Cardiff struggling to win games and indeed score at home – we like the draw here at 3.5 which looks good value.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Draw at 3.5.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQCarBou
MATCH STATS
- Cardiff are winless in five home matches against Bournemouth in all competitions (D3 L2) since a 2-1 win in a third tier match in April 1994.
- Bournemouth have only won two of their 16 away league matches against Cardiff (D6 L8), with Eddie Howe featuring for the Cherries the last time they did so in March 2000.
- Cardiff have failed to score in their last two Premier League home games, attempting just eight shots and three shots on target (W0 D1 L1).
- No side have drawn more Premier League games 0-0 than Cardiff this season (4). Indeed their four goalless draws this season is more than Bournemouth have had in their last two campaigns combined in the competition (3).
- Bournemouth have lost their last six away Premier League games, conceding at least twice each time. They’ve not lost seven in a row on the road in league football since October 1994.
- Only Fulham (30) have conceded more away Premier League goals this season than Bournemouth (25).
- In 2019, only Accrington Stanley (0) have scored fewer goals in the top four tiers of English league football than Cardiff City (1).
- Bournemouth striker Callum Wilson has scored seven goals in his last six Premier League starts against newly promoted teams, netting one against Cardiff earlier this season.
- On the day of this match, it will be 19 years and 102 days since Cardiff manager Neil Warnock hosted Bournemouth in a league match – a 2-2 draw as Bury manager at Gigg Lane in October 1999.
- Cardiff winger Nathaniel Mendez-Laing scored his first Premier League goal in their 1-2 defeat to Arsenal, meaning he has scored in all four English league divisions since the 2014-15 season, one of only two players to achieve this feat in that time along with Alfie Mawson.
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