PREMIER LEAGUE MONDAY: We preview Monday’s Premier League fixture between ARSENAL v NEWCASTLE with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended match stats.
ARSENAL V NEWCASTLE
8pm We had a wonderful weekend of drama in the Premier League, and we finish off Matchday 32 with Arsenal hosting Newcastle on Monday Night Football. A late goal sunk Spurs against Liverpool yesterday, so a win here could put Arsenal into third position and two points ahead of Spurs and Manchester United. Chelsea enjoyed a late win over Cardiff too this weekend, so things are really tight in the race for a Top Four finish – Arsenal simply can’t afford to drop points in fixtures like this.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Arsenal 1.41, Newcastle 9.4 and the draw is 5.3. Arsenal have been excellent at home this season, and everything points to a smooth home win here. They’ve won their last nine at home and they have an excellent record when hosting Newcastle. It’s hard to see Newcastle winning tonight; however they are generally good at the back and should make life tough for Arsenal.
In 12 games this season, Newcastle have went into half time at 0-0 so perhaps this one will see the best action in the second half. We fully expect Benitez to set up Newcastle to defend, but we can see Arsenal getting late goals as Newcastle tire. The goals market is very interesting because over 2.5 goals is 1.64 and that looks pretty short. Another tempting bet is Newcastle on the handicap, however they are 1.8 -1.5 goals which doesn’t have the same appeal as under 2.5 goals.
Over all, we expect a very tight first half with Newcastle coming to London to defend and possibly get a draw. We like under 2.5 goals at 2.52 which looks massive – we expect an Arsenal win, but only by one goal or possibly 2-0. It’s worth checking the price of 1-0 and 2-0 home wins in the Correct Score market closer to kick off.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Under 2.5 goals at 2.52.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQArsNwc
MATCH STATS
- Arsenal have won their last six home Premier League games against Newcastle United, scoring 18 goals and conceding just five.
- Newcastle have lost 11 of their last 12 Premier League matches against Arsenal, winning the other 2-1 at St. James’ Park last season.
- Only against Manchester United (28) have Newcastle lost more Premier League games than against Arsenal (27).
- Arsenal have won all six of their home league matches in 2019 and are one of only three of the 92 English league clubs yet to drop a home point this calendar year, along with Manchester City and Sheffield United.
- This will be Newcastle’s 15th consecutive Premier League game on a Monday away from home – of the previous 14, they’ve won two, drawn one and lost 11.
- Arsenal have won their last nine Premier League home games. They last won more consecutively at home within a single season back in 1997-98 (10).
- Newcastle have lost 17 of their last 23 away Premier League games in London (W3 D3) and are winless in their last six visits to the capital (W0 D2 L4).
- Arsenal’s Mesut Özil has had a hand in four goals in four Premier League games against Newcastle United (3 goals, 1 assist).
- Newcastle boss Rafael Benitez has taken just two points in his seven away Premier League games against Arsenal (P7 W0 D2 L5).
- Alexandre Lacazette has scored 73% of his Premier League goals for Arsenal in home games (19/26). Of the 42 players to have scored 10+ goals in the competition for the Gunners, only Tony Adams scored a higher ratio at home (83%).
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