BUNDESLIGA/LA LIGA SATURDAY: Our European football tipster The Ultra previews Saturday’s games between BARCELONA v REAL BETIS, DORTMUND v BAYERN MUNICH and WERDER BREMEN v KOLN and ATLETICO MADRID v CADIZ all with recommended BETDAQ bets.
The Ultra is a professional football trader with over ten years experience betting on European football. He has gladly agreed to do a weekly column on BETDAQ Tips where you can get all his latest bets.
The Ultra has a staking system between one and five points, with five points for only his most confident bets in Europe. He loves looking at the stats before each game and especially enjoys using xG (Expected Goals) to make a profit.
BARCELONA V REAL BETIS
3.15pm Another excellent Saturday in Europe, and we have some cracking games later! The highlight is Dortmund v Bayern Munich, but we start the day with Barcelona hosting Real Betis. It was lovely to land the Barcelona lay last weekend, and with all football bets 0% commission on BETDAQ Betting Exchange today hopefully we can bang in a few more winners! Real Betis have had a slow start to the season, but they have been producing some solid xG figures and their results will start to turn soon if they keep playing good football.
We saw the first signs of this last weekend with a 3-1 win over Elche, creating an xG of 3.63. They have had to play Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid already, so with Barcelona today they have had a tough run of fixtures. Barcelona clearly aren’t themselves this season, and while they will probably outclass this Betis side, I feel Betis are creating enough to score. Both Teams To Score is trading 1.73 and that looks a nice bit of value to start the day.
The Ultra Says:
Two points win Both Teams To Score at 1.73 with BETDAQ Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQBarBet
DORTMUND V BAYERN MUNICH
5.30pm The highlight of the day! These were the top two sides in the Bundesliga last season, but it must be noted that Dortmund outperformed their xG numbers last season and the early signs this season are that they might return to the mean. Dortmund scored a lot more goals than they should have last season looking at their xG numbers, however they have been rock solid at the back at the start of this season. In their last six games in all competitions, they have kept five clean sheets. They only time they conceded was a 3-1 loss to Lazio.
It must be noted that they have had a reasonably easy run – Schalke, Zenit, Arminia Bielefeld and Club Brugge are a long way off what’s required to stop Bayern Munich from scoring! Bayern have been absolutely excellent again this season – creating chances for fun and they are rightly the European Champions at the moment. Apart from a shock loss against Hoffenheim quickly after the Super Cup extra time they have been impressive. The markets are expect a lot of goals, and I can’t argue with that, however it’s worth noting that we were expecting a lot of goals last time just after lockdown and Bayern won here 1-0. For me though, I can’t see past Bayern at 1.83. They are a better side than Dortmund, and should outclass them again.
The Ultra Says:
Two points win Bayern Munich to beat Dortmund at 1.83 with BETDAQ Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQDrtBay
ATLETICO MADRID V CADIZ
8pm We finish the day with a very interesting fixture is La Liga as Atletico Madrid host new boys Cadiz. Both sides will be reasonably happy with their starts to the season. Atletico started the weekend three points behind the leaders Real Sociedad but they had two games in hand. With Real Madrid and Barcelona looking under par this season perhaps this is finally a chance for Atletico to push for the La Liga title. They might not be as good as they were a few years ago, but you have to say this is their best chance. Barcelona look well off the mark, so Real Madrid are probably their only major danger.
Cadiz have been remarkable at the start of the season, and actually have the same amount of points as Atletico. They have played two games more, but they will be delighted with that return. They’ve even managed to beat Real Madrid! They generally keep games tight, or at least try to, and while Atletico should get the job done on paper I feel there is value in the goals market here. Under 2.5 goals is 1.6 and that’s worth a small investment to finish the day. I can see a cagey affair here without many chances. Stakes are kept small because it’s not far off it’s true price, but it’s still worth backing.
The Ultra Says:
One point win Under 2.5 goals at 1.6 with BETDAQ Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQAtlCad
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