BUNDESLIGA/LA LIGA SUNDAY: Our European football tipster The Ultra previews Sunday’s games between WOLFSBURG v HOFFENHEIM, BAYER LEVERKUSEN v GLADBACH and VALENCIA v REAL MADRID all with recommended BETDAQ bets.
The Ultra is a professional football trader with over ten years experience betting on European football. He has gladly agreed to do a weekly column on BETDAQ Tips where you can get all his latest bets.
The Ultra has a staking system between one and five points, with five points for only his most confident bets in Europe. He loves looking at the stats before each game and especially enjoys using xG (Expected Goals) to make a profit.
WOLFSBURG V HOFFENHEIM
2.30pm A fascinating Sunday in Europe. We have two fairly open markets in the Bundesliga today, although we do have two home favourites on BETDAQ Betting Exchange! Wolfsburg look a little short here at 2.18 as they have had a lot of draws lately. However before we go jumping into the market, Hoffenheim were disappointing on Monday night in a 3-1 loss against Union Berlin. They were around the same price as Wolfsburg are to win here too. They easily won 5-0 in the Europa League midweek but that came against very low quality opposition.
This is probably a fixture to keep stakes reasonably low, but I do like the Wolfsburg lay here. They were lucky to draw 1-1 with Hertha Berlin last weekend, and again lucky to draw with Gladbach and Freiburg. They aren’t creating a lot of chances and while I fully accept that Hoffenheim can be hit and miss. For example they beat Bayern Munich one week and throw in a dodgy performance the next! I do feel this will be a lot closer than the 2.18 on Wolfsburg says, for me Wolfsburg are worth a small lay.
The Ultra Says:
One point lay (liability) Wolfsburg to beat Hoffenheim at 2.18 with BETDAQ Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQWolHof
BAYER LEVERKUSEN V GLADBACH
5pm This should be a high quality fixture. Gladbach are a little similar to Wolfsburg in the 2-30pm game as they have had plenty of draws at the start of the season. They actually had two dramatic 2-2 draws with Real Madrid and Inter Milan in the Champions League, they were pretty lucky too – but then hammered Shakhtar 6-0 midweek! They are now in a great position to possibly challenge to get through to the knockouts which wouldn’t have been expected. Leverkusen are still adjusting to life after selling some of their best attacking players, but they are starting to score goals now.
You look at Leverkusen and they still scream a lot of goals on paper. I was very confident we’d see a lot of goals between Gladbach and RB Leipzig last weekend, but we ended up getting a 1-0 win to Gladbach. Perhaps Leverkusen will open the game up a bit more and we’ll see plenty of goals this weekend instead. The draw is tempting at 3.65 but for me over 2.5 goals looks too big to ignore at 1.67 in a game which should be very open.
The Ultra Says:
Two points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.67 with BETDAQ Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQLevGla
VALENCIA V REAL MADRID
8pm We end the day in La Liga with Valencia hosting Real Madrid. Valencia landed a nice bet for us last weekend with a draw against Getafe, but it’s difficult to see them getting anything from this game. They made a hell of a lot of chances during the summer, and their xG figures looks very worrying. They haven’t improved and although they sit in midtable now I would suggest if they keep playing the way they are they could find themselves in a battle to stay up. We do have some pretty weak looking sides at the bottom however, so they should be ok.
Real are having a mad season, with big wins, big losses, high scoring draws and shock defeats. It’s been excellent watching them as a football fan. Zidane might not say the same! They had a 2-0 lead against Inter Milan midweek, only to throw it away but then score in the final ten minutes for a 3-2 win. I would certainly be a little worried about them today if they were playing a stronger side, but the reality is they shouldn’t have to get our of second gear to beat this Valencia side who look poor on paper. Real are worth backing at 1.52 here in what should be a straightforward win. A banker for BETDAQ Multiples I feel!
The Ultra Says:
Two points win Real Madrid to beat Valencia at 1.52 with BETDAQ Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQValRea
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