PREMIER LEAGUE SUNDAY: The Striker previews Sunday’s Manchester derby at 2pm and Leeds v Villa both with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended match stats.
MANCHESTER CITY V MANCHESTER UNITED
2pm What a way to start Super Sunday in the Premier League! Fixtures don’t come much bigger than this on BETDAQ Betting Exchange, and we have an intriguing Manchester Derby ahead. After starting the season on such a low with two losses from their opening two games, ten Hag has managed to turn things around at Old Trafford and breath new live into United. He has landed a few key signings, and morale is high. Perhaps it was a reminder of how much work they have to do though when they lost 1-0 at home to Real Sociedad in the Europa League towards the start of the month. We’ll get a true test of where they stand here – it will be fascinating to see how they get on away to the best side in the league. When United managed to beat Liverpool earlier in the season; nobody expected it. They went into that game complete underdogs, and Liverpool were trading their shortest price ever to win a Premier League game at Old Trafford. The expectation is a little higher now after their promising run, but City come into this fixture as massive favourites nevertheless. I still feel we’ll see a reaction of shock if United were to lose 4-0 or something, but with City trading as short as 1.37 it’s hard to rule out a victory like that.
City have been close to faultless this season – I know that they have had setbacks results wise, but their performance level hasn’t dipped. Erling Haaland has been the perfect addition to the squad – the natural goal scorer they always missed. City have been playing with a very open style of play this season and that has cost them at times – it’s definitely been entertaining too! It will be interesting to see if ten Hag can set up United here to counter attack perfectly. United do have a good recent record against City despite a huge gulf in class between the sides. This United squad has a new look to it, but the old squad were always “up for” this fixture while turning up against the mid-table sides. From that point of view, I do expect a closer game than the odds suggest at 1.37. I feel United will play well here but ultimately come up short. The market is fully expecting goals here with Over 2.5 goals trading 1.46 but Both Teams To Score looks a nice play at 1.76. If City take an early lead, I can see them attacking even more and opening the game up – that’s just their style. United will definitely get chances, and they have the confidence to take at least one. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a 2-1 or 3-2 City win with United coming out of the game with their heads up high. Hopefully we see a very entertaining game and plenty of drama!
The Striker Says:
Three points win Both Teams To Score at 1.76 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/MciMun
LEEDS V ASTON VILLA
4.30pm This is a slight come down after the Manchester Derby, but it’s an interesting fixture none the less! Leeds host Aston Villa and we have a very open market. There’s plenty of talking points heading into this game. Leeds have started the season pretty positively but losing 5-2 to Brentford before the International break was a setback especially conceding that many goals. Eight points from eight games isn’t a bad return though, and for the time being they seem to have moved away from the relegation discussion. Aston Villa would probably have the same percentage chance of getting relegated as Leeds, but they haven’t started the season positively. They recorded a much needed win at home to Southampton before the International break, and then they grinded out a totally unexpected 1-1 draw against Manchester City before that. They really needed those two results after three losses – Steven Gerrard seemed a man under pressure. On reflection of Gerrard’s performance as Aston Villa manager I would suggest he hasn’t really improved the squad. Their xG figures are very similar to when he took over, and they are stuck in that circle of being slightly too good for a relegation battle but too poor to finish close to the top half of the table. This will be an interesting game to see who comes out on top.
You know that Leeds will definitely create more, but there’s also a strong chance that they will concede more chances too. When I look at the Aston Villa xG figures I can’t help but be unimpressed. They have created figures of 0.69, 2.37, 1.0, 0.41, 0.31, 0.26 and 1.56. If you take out the Everton performance at 2.37, and we know Everton are a poor side too, those figures look very average. Compare that to Leeds who have finished games with 1.15, 1.87, 2.13, 1.07, 1.30 and 2.21. Those are consistent figures and granted they concede more chances than Aston Villa, it’s not to ignore a home win here at 2.5 or bigger. They are unbeaten at home this season, and although a very small sample, that 3-0 win over Chelsea was exceptionally impressive here. I’m happy to keep stakes small here, but Leeds are a better side than Aston Villa and with home advantage they should get the job done. This Villa side are very average, and they are there for the taking.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Leeds to beat Aston Villa at 2.5 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/LeeAst