SUNDAY IN EUROPE: The Ultra previews INTER MILAN v NAPOLI and REAL SOCIEDAD v BARCELONA both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
INTER MILAN V NAPOLI
7.45pm It’s a Sunday from Europe right out of the top drawer on BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE! We have two cracking games from Serie A and La Liga to enjoy with both league leaders in action – it’s just a shame that there’s only 15 minutes between kick off times! We start the evening in Serie A with a top of the table clash as Inter Milan host Napoli – it’s still early days this season but these two have created a little gap at the top of the table. Napoli had a big setback last weekend with a 3-0 loss at home to Atalanta – looking at their under-lining numbers they have been over-performing this season. Nobody can complain given what happened last season; they deserve some luck in front of goal! Last season Napoli finished with the best attacking figure in Serie A, but they struggled all season to take their chances and finish mid-table. This season they have actually been creating less – their average xG created is only 1.33 which is a mid-table figure – but they have been clearly much better at getting over the line in games. Inter Milan have been ticking along nicely however, and this should be a cracking game.
It’s not a surprise to see Inter Milan come into the game as the favourites with home advantage. Inter Milan are trading 1.96 with Napoli 4.2 and the draw is 3.8 at the time of writing. It’s been hard to fault Inter this season – they have the third best attacking figure and second best defensive figure – they are best described as solid, and that will win them the title in Serie A in my opinion with everyone else dropping points along the way. I do feel that Napoli are here for the taking – they aren’t playing as well as they were last season when they were fluffing their lines in front of goal each week. We do have two very solid sides at the back however, and Under 2.5 goals is definitely an option at 1.95 especially considering it’s only one tick shorter than the Inter win. I thought Unders was a good bet based on the data before Inter v Juventus, and that finished 4-4! I’m going to keep stakes a little low here, but Inter have been playing much better football compared to Napoli this season and the 1.96 looks good value in my view.
The Ultra Says:
Two points win Inter Milan to beat Napoli at 1.96 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/IntNpi
REAL SOCIEDAD V BARCELONA
8pm We move to La Liga to finish Sunday night as Real Sociedad host Barcelona. This is usually a very competitive fixture with Real Sociedad consistently within the top six since 2019/20. This year they have been a little off the pace – they come into this weekend sitting down in 11th and they have been struggling to score goals. Their average xG created is only 1.33 but that’s the seventh best attacking figure so it isn’t too far off where Sociedad usually are in the table. The problem is they haven’t even been converting those limited chances, they are averaging less than one goal per game. What is saving them so far this season is how solid they have been at the back, and perhaps they can hold Barcelona to a draw here. Barcelona come into the game as the odds on favourites, but they do have their layers. Barcelona are trading 1.8 with Real Sociedad 4.5 and the draw is 4.2 at the time of writing. Barcelona have been superb this season, an impressive El Clasico win gave them a six point lead over La Liga before last weekend when Real Madrid’s game was postponed so Barcelona come into this matchday with a nine point lead. Although Real Madrid play Saturday, they are 1.23 to win so you’d have to expect a six point gap when this game kicks off.
Sociedad games have been among the lowest scoring in La Liga this season. Over 2.5 goals backers have only collected in three of their twelve La Liga games this season! Over 2.5 goals is trading odds on here at 1.65, that’s because Barcelona are usually involved in high scoring games but I’d expect Sociedad to sit back here. They haven’t been creating a lot anyway – I have to say I’d much rather back Barcelona at 1.8 compared to Over 2.5 goals at 1.65. Barcelona have been the best attacking side in La Liga this season and they have been playing some incredible football – they have a fantastic long-term record against Sociedad too. I’m not going to go crazy with the stakes here, but the 1.8 on Barcelona is too big to ignore. I don’t discount the fact that they’ll have to work hard to get the win here and break down Sociedad, but in my opinion it’s hard to find a better value bet on this game compared to the Barcelona win.
The Ultra Says:
Two points win Barcelona to beat Real Sociedad at 1.8 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/SciBar
