Baltimore Ravens (1-1, 1-1 ATS) @ Cleveland Browns (1-1, 2-0 ATS)
*ATS= against the spread
BETDAQ Line: Baltimore -1.5 (41.5)
Significant Injuries
Baltimore: CB Ladarius Webb (questionable– back), CB Asa Jackson (questionable– head), S Will Hill (out– suspension)
Cleveland: LB Barkevious Mingo (questionable– shoulder), DE John Hughes (questionable– hamstring), RB Ben Tate (out– knee), WR Josh Gordon (out– suspension)
Recent Trends
Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a win
Baltimore is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. AFC North opponents
Cleveland is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 September games
Cleveland is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. AFC opponents
The road team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings between these 2 teams
The UNDER is 5-0 in Baltimore’s last 5 September games
The OVER is 6-1 in Cleveland’s last 7 home games
The UNDER is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these 2 teams
Three reasons to back Cleveland
1. The Browns have surprised everyone this season, covering in both of their games and pulling a major upset over New Orleans last week. The fact that they’re home underdogs again on Sunday is concrete proof that the betting public continues to undervalue this team. Sharp bettors will pounce while the value is still there.
2. Cleveland has one of the league’s best offensive lines, a unit that has paved the way for a rushing attack that is averaging nearly 160 yards per game this season. They should be able to exploit a Baltimore defensive front that is not as good as it used to be.
3. The Ravens have been inconsistent and unreliable since their Super Bowl win two years ago; they’ve covered in just 2 of their last 7 division games and in just 1 of their last 5 games following a victory. They have issues on the offensive line and in the defensive backfield, where two of their top cornerbacks– Ladarius Webb and Asa Jackson– are nursing injuries and are officially listed as questionable.
Three reasons to back Baltimore
1. The Ravens are better than the Browns on both sides of the ball and they nearly always have success in Cleveland, covering in 5 of their last 6 visits to FirstEnergy Stadium.
2. The Cleveland offense is bereft of skill position talent and their quarterback is Brian Hoyer, a journeyman who has been a backup for most of his career. The Browns simply aren’t good enough on that side of the ball to challenge a Baltimore defense that is surrendering just 14.5 points per game.
3. The Browns have been terrible in the secondary so far this season, ranking 28th in pass defense. That’s bad news when you’re getting ready to face Joe Flacco, who threw for 345 yards against the tough Cincinnati defense in Week 1. The addition of wideout Steve Smith has really helped the Baltimore passing attack.
Prediction
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