Cleveland Browns (1-2, 2-0-1 ATS) @ Tennessee Titans (1-3, 1-3 ATS)
*ATS= against the spread
BETDAQ Line: Tennessee -2 (44.5)
Significant Injuries
Cleveland: DE Desmond Bryant (questionable– glute)
Tennessee: CB Blidi Wreh-Wilson (questionable– concussion), TE Taylor Thompson (doubtful– knee)
Recent Trends
Cleveland is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a losing record
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing record
Tennessee is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss
Tennessee is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games
The road team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings between these 2 teams
The UNDER is 5-0 in Cleveland’s last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record
The OVER is 9-3 in Cleveland’s last 12 games overall
The UNDER is 5-1 in Tennessee’s last 6 games overall
The OVER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these 2 teams
Three reasons to back Cleveland
1. The Browns beat New Orleans in Week 2 and they nearly won both of their other games, losing to Pittsburgh and Baltimore by a combined 5 points. The Titans, on the other hand, have been outscored 100-34 in their last three games. Cleveland has simply been much better than Tennessee this season.
2. Tennessee is averaging just 15 points per game, which is fewer than every team in the league other than Oakland and Jacksonville. They’re surrendering 27.5 points per game, so their defense is also struggling mightily. Plus, their starting quarterback, Jake Locker, is dealing with a wrist injury that forced him to miss last week’s game. There just isn’t a much to like about the Titans right now.
3. Cleveland has been great in situations like this, going 16-5 against the spread in their last 21 road games against teams with losing records. Conversely, the Titans have failed to cover in 7 consecutive home games. The wrong team is favored here.
Three reasons to back Tennessee
1. NFL Football 101: Never trust the Browns on the road. They’ve lost 7 straight and 22 of their last 24 away from home. Nothing they’ve done this season– they’re 1-2 and have allowed more points than they’ve scored– should give bettors any confidence in their ability to win on the road.
2. The Tennessee offense has struggled in recent weeks, but they’ve stumbled upon the perfect remedy for what ails them: a home game against a Cleveland defense that ranks 29th in yards allowed and is surrendering 25.7 points per game. Jake Locker has had some nice performances throughout his career when he’s faced bad defenses in front of the home crowd, and he’s got a golden opportunity to pad his resume this week.
3. The Titans have a secondary that had been excellent this season before running into Andrew Luck and the #1-ranked Indianapolis offense last week. Well, Brian Hoyer ain’t Andrew Luck and nobody would confuse the Cleveland offense with what they have in Indianapolis. The Browns have a collection of skill-position talent that is among the league’s worst, so the Tennessee defense should be able to get back on track with a dominating performance.
Prediction
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