Dallas Cowboys (4-1, 3-2 ATS) @ Seattle Seahawks (3-1, 3-1 ATS)
*ATS= against the spread
BETDAQ Line: Seattle -8 (46.5)
Significant Injuries
Dallas: DE Jack Crawford (questionable– calf), LB Rolando McClain (questionable– groin), OT Jeremy Parnell (questionable– chest), LB Bruce Carter (out– thigh)
Seattle: S Kam Chancellor (questionable– ankle), C Max Unger (doubtful– foot), OT Alvin Bailey (doubtful– oblique), TE Zach Miller (out– ankle), CB Tharold Simon (out– knee)
Recent Trends
Dallas is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning record
Dallas is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these 2 teams
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record
Seattle is 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games following a win
The underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings between these 2 teams
The OVER is 5-2 in Dallas’ last 7 road games
The UNDER is 5-2 in Dallas’ last 7 games overall
The UNDER is 6-1 in Seattle’s last 7 home games
The UNDER is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these 2 teams
Three reasons to back Dallas
1. The Cowboys have just been too good this season to be getting more than a touchdown from anybody. They’ve now won four straight and have scored 118 combined points in those games. This is a legitimate contender who is plenty capable of beating Seattle outright.
2. The Seattle defense has taken a step back this year, especially in the secondary, where they currently rank 21st in pass yards allowed. That could spell trouble against an explosive Dallas offense that ranks 5th in yards per game and 6th in points scored.
3. Not only has Dallas been good on offense, their defense has been one of the league’s biggest surprises over the first 5 weeks of the season. A year after ranking last in total defense, the Cowboys now rank 8th in points allowed, surrendering just a hair over 20 points per game. Bettors haven’t yet caught on to this reality, though, which is why the line here is so bloated.
Three reasons to back Seattle
1. The Seahawks are the NFL’s best team and they’re nearly unbeatable at home, where they’re 5-0 against the spread in their last 5 games against teams with winning records despite being favored in every one of those games. They’re 2-0 at home this season, beating Super Bowl contenders Green Bay and Denver by 26 combined points.
2. Seattle ranks 5th in total defense but they’re especially good against the run, where they lead the league in both yards per game allowed and yards per carry allowed. The Dallas offense has been keyed by the running of DeMarco Murray this year, but they’ll be forced to find another way to move the ball on Sunday. You know what that means: turnover-prone Tony Romo airing it out against Seattle’s Legion of Boom secondary.
3. The Seahawks lead the league in rushing offense, with the Marshawn Lynch-led attack producing nearly 170 yards per game on the ground. They’ll be able to run right over a Dallas defense that ranks 21st against the run despite not yet facing a running game nearly as potent as Seattle’s.
Prediction
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