WOW 10-1! SO IT’S WWWWWWWWWWWWWWW Daqman coasted to ELEVEN consecutive days with a winner yesterday when he landed his FIFTEENTH return since September 24 with a 10-1 shot, Samphire Coast.
WON 10-1 SAMPHIRE COAST (yesterday)
WON 2-1 LYRICA’S LION (Wednesday)
WON 4-5 ITCHY FEET (supernap Tuesday plus..)
WON (2nd 12-1) BALLYFARSOON (w20 place)
WON 5-1 PLUCKY DIP (Monday)
WON 11-1 JORDAN ELECTRONICS (Sunday)
WON 5-4 HERMOSA (Sunday)
WON 10-11 PERSIAN MOON (Sunday)
WON 11-1 WISSAHICKON (Saturday)
WON 4-1 DAKOTA GOLD (Saturday)
WON 8-1 BESHAAYIR (Friday)
WON 7-4 NEARLY CAUGHT (Thursday)
WON 7-2 LADY DANCEALOT (Wednesday)
WON 3-1 GEMINI (Tuesday)
WON 4-6 FARO ANGEL (Monday Sept 24 supernap)
NOW LOOK OUT FOR THE TWO-DAY ARC MEETING: It’s not a day today to plot your way through and make a profit from one winner. Ascot is a trappy card, and Daqman’s job is to explain the pitfalls and generate some positives. Try to make some euros for the big Arc meeting at Longchamp which starts tomorrow. There’s also a Saturday handicap at Ascot, the type that Daqman loves.
IS THERE LIFE IN THE MARKET?
1.50 Ascot The market could be a big help here. In the last 11 days it has dissed Jamie Osborne’s runners at 10-1, 20-1 (three times), 40-1 (twice), 50-1, 66-1, even 150-1 (twice). None was placed.
But, when the money was down, at 100-30, the Osborne beast won. So we need to wait on the market before we can back or lay Lush Life, who clearly has a problem (even for an Osborne runner) with just three runs to his name.
Two of them were wins and we are mindful that the trainer pulled off a 34-1 double at this meeting in 2016 with Raising Sand (2.25) and Life Less Ordinary in the Gordon Carter (4.10).
Game Player has had only four starts, two of them wins since he was gelded (he was nothing until he had nothing!) Now he’s on a hat-trick mission at this specialist 7f.
Being gelded has also boosted the career of Courtside (5.6 offers early mouse), who has won or been within a length of the winner in three of his last four starts, in which he’s stepped up through the grades each time.
This slight drop back in trip means that regular pilot, Jamie Spencer, can ride him with confidence, and Courtside is the danger to Lush Life (6.4 offers).
ORTIZ HAS A LIKING FOR ASCOT
2.25 Ascot Another trappy race. Blue Mist caught a tartar in Wissahickon at Chelmsford and didn’t like the soft ground on the last day. No excuses now.
Winner over a mile in August, Enzemble has been tried over further since and the return to his winning trip could pay dividends. Gerald Mosse can let him loose.
The Sandringham Stakes second at Royal Ascot was a 66-1 surprise, but Ortiz (BETDAQ 4.4 taken) confirmed she was on an upward curve when scoring at Kempton.
COULD TABDEED BE A TIN MAN?
3.00 Ascot As I was saying, another trappy race. Lucky Lucky Man gave this column a big win in the Ayr Bronze Cup but that was on heavy ground.
Encrypted ran a cracking second in the Portland but is now 12lb higher than for his last turf success.
The grey Whinmoor is down from Yorkshire after proving on the last day that he could step up two grades and 10lb in weight, the ‘moral’ when beaten only a neck giving 7lb.
Tabdeed runs in his first handicap, not disgraced in the Jersey Stakes at Royal Ascot, so this looks clever placing by a stable currently striking at 37%.
Missy Mischief, seen here in the Queen Mary last season, should be on the premises but, as with Jamie Osborne’s earlier, you need to see some confidence in the market for Jeremy Noseda horses: 9.8 BETDAQ offers early mouse.
I shall watch which way she goes but I’ll side early with 3.55 favourite Tabdeed, plus a bit of Whinmoor (too big at 18.5), a likely one for a Ladbrokes forecast. Make no mistake, this is a strong sprint which threw up The Tin Man in 2015.
ENBIHAAR MAY BE THE GODSEND
3.35 Ascot (Noel Murless Stakes) John Gosden was assistant to Noel Murless after filling the same post with Vincent O’Brien. That’s like training in the ring with James J Corbett and Muhammad Ali. The absolute best ever.
Gosden would have won this Noel Murless Stakes three times in five years but Weekender was disqualified last season.
With front-runner India in the race, the punters godsend hardly needs Enbihaar to set the pace, and he may be running in his own right, despite the Pattern form of stablemate Sevenna Star, who won the Sandown Derby Trial.
Star has shown a preference for an easy surface and was coltish and sweating before the Epsom Classic. A lesser beast would have met the same fate as the Player in the opening race!
Mekong also seems to need plenty of cut in the ground and Austrian School is a bridesmaid extraordinaire with form figures 223222, though his head second in the big-field Mallard at Doncaster is enough to put off anyone fancying a lay.
Ralph Beckett is good with fillies but Thimbleweed needs to find 10lb on her handicap form, even though she already gets 10 from Savanna Star.
The one they’ve gone for is Ghostwatch, another one who faced the ‘snip’, and won the Melrose in ‘his’ very next race. Another trappy one! I’ll take the improver Enbihaar (6.8) but must have a saver on Ghostwatch.
MOORE BACK ON THE MACHINE
4.10 Ascot (Gordon Carter Stakes) Have they laid a Polytrack track at Ascot while I wasn’t looking?
For what makes this trappy (again, Daqman?) is that African Jazz, Alfredo, Arab Moon, Gavlar, Percy’s Word and Sunblazer have spent all, or most of, their careers on AW.
Older horses – over four years of age don’t get a look-in here – nor do outsiders. Nor have previous winners had any particular affinity to man-made surfaces.
Even those left to choose from are tricky sorts (trappy race this!): What A Welcome hasn’t tried 2m before; Mancini seems to have been stopped in his run by a punitive rise of 8lb; Darksideoftarnside has performed much the best on a soft surface.
I’ve ended up with a bit of win and place 9.8 BETDAQ offer Machine Learner on the grounds that Ryan Moore won a race on him last year and that the gelding (yes another one of those, too) is a course winner here at Ascot over 1m 6f.
If a youngster comes and gets me, it is likely to be African Jazz (4.6), getting 12lb from the morning fav, What A Welcome. What a trappy card!
DAQMAN’S BETS (Ascot, each to win 20)
BET 4.5pts win COURTSIDE and 3.75pts win LUSH LIFE (1.50)
BET 5.75pts win ORTIZ (2.25)
BET 7.75pts win (nap) TABDEED ,and 1pt win and place WHINMOOR(3.00)
BET 3.5pts win ENBIHAAR and 2pts win (stakes saver) GHOSTWATCH (3.35)
BET 5.5pts win AFRICAN JAZZ, and 2.25pts win and place MACHINE LEARNER (4.10)
DAQ MULTIPLES: 4 x 1pt win trebles COURTSIDE and LUSH LIFE (1.50) with TABDEED (3.00) and with ENBIHAAR and GHOSTWATCH (3.35)
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