CHRISTMAS COMES EARLY ON BETDAQ: Daqman plays top offers on BETDAQ today to try to fill his wallet for Christmas. Just one winner would give him an overall profit, but they’re all in strong races. They headline like this:
OFFERS TAKE YOUR BREATH AWAY
MAKE YOUR BETDAQ ODDS COUNT
I’VE GOT A DARLING BET AT 11.5
OFFERS TAKE YOUR BREATH AWAY
1.55 Ascot I added Angels Breath to my list of horses to follow, confident that he would go on to feature in my Fortune Cookies (elite list) for the festivals season in the Spring.
My hopes was boosted by trainer Nicky Henderson’s own words of confidence: ‘He has an enormous future.’
But, if this had been an ordinary novice introduction, I would have been shaken today by offers of 4.0 on BETDAQ.
The reason is that Henderson is running him against horses with hurdles experience, and he will be as good as the trainer says he is if he can beat them first time.
On the other hand, we may never again get this price about him, and we may never again be afraid of the opposition. So let’s start his career with him.
MAKE YOUR BETDAQ ODDS COUNT
2.30 Ascot Despite the size of the field, four winners of 24 races make this an interesting contest, in which Nicky Henderson introduced Simonsig and Paul Nicholls saddled Politologue.
But the big two stables are nowhere to be seen today, leaving Lil Rockerfeller on top in the ratings but trying to make up for a bad blunder (unseated rider) at Cheltenham on the last day.
He was Grade 2 level over hurdles and had won three chases in a row for a 153 mark but never looking entirely comfortable at his fences.
Count Meribel’s Cheltenham venture with the RSA in mind was much more successful. He won one of the premier novice chases, the Steel Plate and Sections (Jerrysback in rear).
And the horses he beat into the places were subsequently second and third to a tough nut called Drovers Lane, who was given 150 after the race.
The test for the Count today is that he has seemingly preferred good ground, and it’s getting very soft out there, but Nigel Twiston-Davies this morning dismissed this as a problem.
The Vinnie Roe five-year-old Vinndication is unbeaten in bumper, hurdles and a chase, but the re-emerging Kim Bailey stables warn that he won’t have many races, and needs looking after.
In any case, I can’t take odds on in a three-horse race, in which the ratings are so close, and in which Count Meribel has the stamina to play catch-me.
If the Count is going to be the three-miler connections think he is, we need to give him this chance at a phenomenal 4.7 on BETDAQ and assume that future returns are assured.
I’VE GOT A DARLING BET AT 11.5
3.05 Ascot The stats recommend a five-year-old rated 119 to 127 with a 3lb claimer doing the steering.
Darling Maltaix ticks all the boxes, stepped up in trip for the champion trainer. Still a maiden but has got on with Lorcan Williams well over the minimum on tracks local to his yard.
Looks excellent value against class 4 and 5 winners, Always Resolute, No No Juliet, Le Musee, No Hiding Place and Bradford Bridge.
Kapgarry had a go at Graded company as if well thought of, or it could be instead that they ran him in that because the 130 rating doled out to him looked severe for a handicap. It has him top weight in this.
Always Resolute, No Hiding Place and Solstice Star are well exposed but Bradford Bridge could be back to winning hurdles form – he’s on a hat-trick – after a botched return to chasing last month.
He’s a sensitive sort and all depends on whether that knocked his confidence. The 11.5 Darling Maltaix in the BETDAQ orange boosts mine!
DAQMAN’S BETS
1.55 Ascot (win 20)
BET 6.5pts win (nap) ANGELS BREATH
2.30 Ascot (win 20)
BET 5.5pts win COUNT MERIBEL
3.05 Ascot (win 50)
BULL’S-EYE BET: 4.75pts win DARLING MALTAIX
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