NAP, SUPERNAP, SUPERNAP! DAQMAN STAYS AHEAD OF THE GAME: Daqman finished in front by only a few pennies yesterday, so 81.28 up in an unbeaten week, but landed a third consecutive nap with back-to-back supernaps. His bull’s-eye bet was thwarted by an outsider from the same stable (Daqman’s reaction is not printable).
TUESDAY
WON 11-10 MIGHTY SPIRIT (nap)
WEDNESDAY
WON 2-5 NUBE NEGRA (supernap)
THURSDAY
WON 4-6 DELPHINIA (supernap)
ACCOUNTS UPDATE:
Daqman 81, Pricewise 39 (Daqman + 313, Pricewise – 470 to 10pt stakes)
Bulls-eye naps (8-16) 50% (256pts profit to recommended stakes)
Supernaps (26-44) 59% (50pts profit to 20-point stake)
DAQMAN’S 11-HOUR RACEDAY FROM NEWMARKET TO CALIFORNIA: Today Daqman works an 11-hour shift to hunt down winners between 12 noon at Newmarket and the last race at Santa Anita, California, at around 11 pm tonight as the Breeders Cup is launched with the accent on races for two-year-olds. Headlines:
🔹 COUNT ON KEATS AS HOME NAP
🔹 DAWN HAS IDEAL CONDITIONS
🔹 REMEMBER KIMARI AT ASCOT
🔹 ARIZONA CAN DEFY THE DRAW
🔹 TANGO IS BRED FOR TONIGHT
🔹 THE HORSE OF THE MOMENT..
COUNT ON KEATS AS HOME NAP
Racing’s mogul trainer is everywhere today! Aidan O’Brien is hoping for that elusive Group 1 from his juveniles to boost his 2020 Classic team.
He’s blanket covered the two-year-old prizes at three venues: first at Newmarket (lower grade), then in the rescheduled Futurity at Newcastle and finally on juveniles day in the Breeders Cup series in California.
Derby hopes Mogul at Newcastle and Arizona at Santa Anita may be his quality best but Keats has an easier task for the nap in the first race of the day.
12.00 Newmarket Keats showed an action that was poetry in motion (caught the eye finishing fourth under hands-and-heels riding) on his debut at The Curragh, and the Galileo colt should have the edge on unraced Calestran.
1.40 Newmarket (Bosra Sham Fillies’ Stakes) Stalls 1, 2 and 3 have won this five years out of seven, and Divine Spirit (in 2 today) wasn’t beaten far in the Queen Mary and the Duchess Of Cambridge, before narrow defeats at Chantilly, which were still in the Pattern but back at 5f. This 6f will suit.
DAWN HAS IDEAL CONDITIONS
2.15 Newmarket Paul Cole started the year well and he’s finishing well (three winners in seven days); 18 winners in 2019 for two and three year olds suggest at least another season to come for the 78-year-old Generous trainer who was champion in 1991 within four years of taking over Whatcombe from Arthur Budgett.
Majestic Dawn has in-and-out form figures (22100301) but there are reasons for that: take only the three races among those results with ‘soft’ in the going return, and you get 101, reduced further to 11 for races below 1m 4f.
Today’s 10 furlongs with cut in the ground seem ideal from his low stall for a race won three times in the last four seasons by a three-year-old.
6.00 Newcastle (Futurity) Kinross was an impressive eight lengths scorer at Newmarket from a winner since but I previewed Mogul for this when it was scheduled for Doncaster, with Aidan O’Brien aiming for a 10th Futurity. How they fare on Tapeta is problematic.
REMEMBER KIMARI AT ASCOT
🇺🇸 8.12 Santa Anita (Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint) Wesley Ward saddled two in this race when it was last run at Santa Anita (2016) and could finish only second and third of three!
He has three in the race today, starring his filly Kimari, second in the Queen Mary at Royal Ascot and twice a winner in the US since on the firm ground she should encounter tonight.
Kimari is rated by me on 109, backed up strongly by her unbeaten stablemates Cambria (3-3) and Four Wheel Drive (2-2), for whom we have no collateral form but jockey bookings suggest that Kimari is the one.
The squad of raiders from across the pond include Simon Crisford’s A’Ali (Frankie Dettori) off 106 in my list of two-year-olds this week, which was headed by Pinatubo, Earthlight and Victor Ludorum. I don’t think events here this weekend will topple any one of those three, but Kimari and Arizona can boost the English form.
ARIZONA CAN DEFY THE DRAW
🇺🇸 8.52 Santa Anita (Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf, colts and geldings) Low numbers are reckoned best in this but high stalls figured in three of the four places for this race when last run at Santa Anita (13-1-14-11).
Arizona, rated 108 with me after closing down Pinatubo between runner-up in the National Stakes and second again in the Dewhurst, still has a great chance out of gate 12 because front-running stablemate Fort Myers can give him a lead from next door in 13.
There are five sequence winners in the race (more than two consecutive strikes) and their barns know as much as we do as to how they will fare when faced with the best from different States of America, never mind international form.
TANGO IS BRED FOR TONIGHT
🇺🇸 10.12 Santa Anita (Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf, fillies) The top percentage trainers in the US – Baffert, Miller, O’Neill – are not involved, and only Chad Brown may stand in the way of an Irish victory.
If you check back, you’ll find that I rated Jessica Harrington’s improver Albigna 110, some 2lb in front of Daahyeh.
The result by stall was 3-5-8-2 from a field of 14 last time this was held at Santa Anita but we found with the colts (see 8.52 race) that the seeming bias can be overcome.
So I wouldn’t be unduly put off if you follow Chad Brown, who’s trained four of the last five winners and sends out Selflessly from a wide gate, though the American press is saying that Sweet Melania (12), Selflessly (13) and Etoile (14) – Frankie Dettori on an Aidan O’Brien – are ‘needing a miracle.’
Ryan Moore’s pick for O’Brien is Tango (gate 8), only fourth in the Cheveley Park and a winner since on heavy but tonight’s firm surface could be her big break.
She is by the unbeaten Scat Daddy two-year-old No Nay Never, sire of Ten Sovereigns and Arizona, whose progeny have a 30% strike-rate on firm ground.
THE HORSE OF THE MOMENT
🇺🇸 11.03 Santa Anita (Breeders Cup Juvenile Dirt) The dirt track is riding ‘a bit deep’ but this should still be a contest between Eight Rings and Dennis’ Moment, literally the horse of the moment in Kentucky.
Though he has won only a Grade 3 so far, he’s put up very fast times, looking more mature than Eight Rings who ducked out and unseated at the start of his first Grade 1, the Del Mar Futurity, before making up for that here at Santa Anita in the American Pharoah Stakes.
DAQMAN’S BETS
12.00 Newmarket (supernap, 1.95 BETDAQ)
BET 20pts win KEATS
1.40 Newmarket (win 20, 5.7 BETDAQ)
BET 4.25pts win DIVINE SPIRIT
2.15 Newmarket (win 10, 3.05 BETDAQ)
BET 5pts win MAJESTIC DAWN
6.00 Newcastle (win 20, 3.4 BETDAQ)
BET 8.25pts win MOGUL
8.12 Santa Anita (US nap, win 20, 3.9 BETDAQ)
BET 6.75pts win KIMARI
8.52 Santa Anita (win 20, 3.5 BETDAQ)
BET 8pts win ARIZONA
9.32 Santa Anita (win 10, 4.8 BETDAQ)
BET 2.5pts win BRITISH IDIOM
10.12 Santa Anita (win 50, 14.0 BETDAQ)
BULL’S-EYE BET 3.74pts win TANGO
(plus win 20, 5.0 BETDAQ)
BET 5pts win ALBIGNA
11.03 Santa Anita (win 10, 2.4 BETDAQ)
BET 7pts win DENNIS’ MOMENT
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