12-1 AMONG THREE WINS OUT OF THREE: That’s how Daqman picked the layers’ pockets yesterday ahead of a weekend at Del Mar for the Breeders Cup. One, two, three meetings yesterday at Bath, Newcastle and Stratford, and one, two, three winners for a total profit of 67.24:
WON 12-1 PREMIER (win and place)
WON 5-2 CHEMICAL WARFARE
WON 8-15 L’EAU DU SUD (supernap)
🇺🇸 LET’S GO RACING AT DEL MAR: Now it’s Newmarket and Newcastle this afternoon, then the long haul to Del Mar tonight for three meetings today, ahead of big-scene America tomorrow on Del Mar Day 2 and the Breeders Classic for City Of Troy.
DELICIOUS DATE FOR SAFFIE
⭕ 1.43 Newmarket (Bosra Sham 2yo fillies, 6f Listed) Kodilicious had a huge weight in a premier nursery at Naas, won by the colt, Last Encore, whom she’d beaten at Sligo.
Stablemate Cold Hearted, closely related to Warm Heart, provides strong back-up against It Ain’t Two, who has failed to build on success at Chester and looks well exposed.
It Ain’t Two was beaten on the July Course in August by Magic Mild, ridden by Saffie Osborne, who is now on Kodilicious (I took BETDAQ 4.5)
⭕ 3.05 Newcastle Lima Sierra (BETDAQ 5.0) could foxtrot through this small-field nursery for last year’s winning team of Nigel Tinkler and Rowan Scott.
Tink likes to measure his horses at home, and has twice run Montecristo Boy to test the opposition at this level on the Newcastle Tapeta.
His winner last year had been an 80-1 loser third time out in the Nottingham novices in which Lima Sierra was a 100-1 sixth of 10 on the last day.
BREEDERS CUP: SPEED START
WEATHER: mild, dry. GOING: TURF Quick and DIRT Fast
🇺🇸 8.25 Del Mar (2yo Turf, 1m Listed) In her toughest race to date, top California juvenile filly, Thought Process, who takes on Lake Victoria in the Grade-1 Breeders Cup later on, was closed down to a couple of lengths by Supa Speed here in September.
Supa Speed (BETDAQ 5.0 taken) swerves the Breeders Cup race for this Listed-equivalent in which Charlie Appleby runs Pinatubo colt, Cavallo Bay, Grade-3 placed at Saratoga.
MOJO MAGIC IN BIG SPRINT
🇺🇸 9.45 Del Mar (Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint, 5f Grade 1) Aesterius tries to emulate Big Evs, who won the Flying Childers (Doncaster Group 2) on the way to taking this.
There was only a neck in it at Doncaster this time, Aesterius (James Doyle for Archie Watson) making virtually all from Big Mojo (Michael Appleby, Tom Marquand) with Magnum Force (Ger Lyons, Colin Keane) third.
And fate seems to have plotted a close-run replay with Aesterius drawn in 2, Big Mojo 3 and Magnum Force 4. Big Mojo, in the same ownership as Big Evs, followed the same path by winning the Molecomb at Goodwood. Aesterius was second.
Shareholder (Karl Burke, William Buick), in the same ownership as Aesterius, was well in rear of Whistlejacket (Ryan Moore for Aidan O’Brien) in the Prix Morny on soft but had traveled strongly to capture the Norfolk Stakes at Royal Ascot (5f, firm).
Whistlejacket’s stablemate Ides Of March (Frankie Dettori, badly drawn in 12) made all over 6f on fast ground at the Curragh.
Betdaq Betting Exchange Big Mojo 7, Aesterius 6
LAKE FILLIES SPLASHDOWN
🇺🇸 11.05 Del Mar (Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf, 1m) The home side usually wins this but Aidan O’Brien had a strong favourite at Keeneland in 2022, the Cheveley Park runner-up Meditate, and she duly won.
He now has Lake Victoria, not second but winner of the Cheveley Park, as well as the Moyglare and Sweet Solera on different surfaces.
She is in the one stall which has provided winner and second in the last two runnings of the race here at Del Mar though both were hold up horses running late to the line.
O’Brien’s Heavens Gate and Gavin Cromwell’s Fiery Lucy were one-two at a neck in a Group 3 over 7f at the Curragh in September.
I’ve said in the 8.25-race preview that Supa Speed could tell us more about Thought Process. Scythian was a clear winner of a Grade-2 (1m, firm) at Belmont.
QUDRA PICK OF THE DRAW
🇺🇸 12.25 Del Mar tomorrow morning (Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf, colts and geldings, 1m) The one stall won here at Del Mar in both 2017 and 2021, first for Aidan O’Brien and Ryan Moore, then for Charlie Appleby and William Buick. Aidan O’Brien score is now 4, Charlie Appleby 3 since 2013.
Stalls 1, 3, 5 filled the first three places at Del Mar in 2021 with the winner, Modern Games (Appleby), going on to capture the Breeders Cup Mile at Keeneland the following year.
New Century (Andrew Balding) has led the market for Friday, after beating Charlie Appleby’s Al Qudra in the Grade-1 Summer Stakes at Woodbine in September, with Dream On third.
New Century’s 11 stall today may need a world-class ride from Oisin Murphy but Al Qudra (BETDAQ 6.0 from gate 4 for James Doyle) and Dream On (out of 2) look well positioned.
Ryan Moore in 13 is set a tough task on Aidan O’Brien’s Henri Matisse, who comfortably beat Hotazhell in the Curragh Futurity before that one won the Beresford Stakes from Sunday’s big winner in France, Tennessee Stud.
Aomori City (Charlie Appleby/William Buick) is adjacent to Henri Matisse in 12 but was running on well, fourth, when Henri Matisse was second and Seagulls Eleven (bumped) third in the National Stakes (good, 7f) at the Curragh.
DAQMAN’S BETS
1.43 Newmarket (win 10)
BET 3pts win KODILICIOUS
3.05 Newmarket (win 10)
BET 2.5pts win LIME SIERRA
8.25 Del Mar (win 10)
BET 2.5pts win SUPA SPEED
9.45 Del Mar (win 30)
BET 5pts win BIG MOJO
BET 2pts to win 10 AESTERIUS
11.05 Del Mar (supernap)
BET 20pts win LAKE VICTORIA
12.25 Del Mar (win 30)
BET 6pts win AL QUDRA
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