FOUR NAPS UP AND TWO DAYS PROFIT: Two winners out of three for the second day running, with a double-figure profit each day. That’s how Daqman prepped for the Derby and Oaks. His naps are on four winners out of five and he leads Pricewise 25-12.
Thursday: profit on the day 10.55
WON 1-1 GHARA (nap)
WON 6-4 LADY EROS
Wednesday: profit on the day 11.80
WON 11-8 ARKENSTAAR (nap)
WON 15-8 CLOUDY ROSE
Four naps up out of five
WON 1-1 GHARA (Thursday nap)
WON 11-8 ARKENSTAAR (Wednesday nap)
WON 13-8 BEARWITH (Monday nap)
WON 4-5 DRUMROLL (Sunday nap)
FOLLOW DAQMAN’S CLASSIC WEEKEND: Now for the Oaks today, the Epsom Derby tomorrow and the French Derby on Sunday. Check back on the facts and stats in his ABC guides (Wednesday and Thursday); follow his Fortune Cookies, his naps and his bull’s-eye outsiders.
DANCE IS THE OAKS DIAMOND
⭕ 4.30 Epsom (The Oaks) STATS in Daqman ABC: Wednesday.
HOW Frankie Dettori would love to have ridden Frankel! He does the next best thing this weekend, with a farewell Classic-double date on Frankel’s daughter, Soul Sister, in the Oaks today and his son, Arrest , in the Derby tomorrow.
Dettori has won the Oaks six times and Soul Sister’s Gosden stable has bagged three, two of them, Enable and Anapurna, ridden by Frankie.
I saw Soul Sister as an Enable in her Musidora charge from the rear at York; in truth her winning run wobbled a bit.
So did I, when I reprised Savethelastdance winning the Cheshire Oaks, with some frightening fractions and a 114 rating, which in theory would have won 11 of the last 13 Oaks, including Enable’s!
On the form – and the stats – only the grey Running Lion and Heartache Tonight come anywhere near Soul Sister and Savethelastdance and the one is a seeming Gosden second-string while the other has yet to score outside maiden company on heavy ground in another country!
But, as half-sister to the stayer Wonderful Tonight, she could be a Heartache for the favourites. Something might; something has to be third.
I can’t see hard-pulling Red Riding Hood getting away from the field (Ballydoyle pacemaker surely) and I can’t have Eternal Hope, not bred to stay, having her first run on grass, and with Charlie Appleby not so powerful this year.
She did beat Be Happy and Bright Diamond in the Lingfield Oaks Trial, but Bright Diamond treated the race as if she was the stewards’ hack who in the good old bad old days would be positioned wide of the field, watching the action.
Caernarfon has a stamina question-mark; Sea Of Roses needs rain. So Bright Diamond gets third spot at a big price.
Betdaq Betting Exchange 2.3 Savethelastdance, 3.8 Soul Sister, 50 Bright Diamond
HE CAN LAND A 13.5 WINNER
⭕ 2.00 Epsom (Woodcote Stakes) Gates 1 to 5 have grabbed 70% of the win-prize money in the decade.
If French jockey Cristian Demuro has done his homework, he’ll try bursting out of the one stall on Land Lover (BETDAQ 13.5).
Maymay (stall 2 today at 18.0) ran a cracker at Newmarket, runner-up to the winning favourite in a field of 14, and Balon d’Or (3) disputed the lead in the Lily Agnes at Chester (soft).
WESTOVER SUITED BY EPSOM
⭕ 3.10 Epsom (Coronation Cup) Be warned that, despite small fields, the winners of this are past and future stars, tough as old riding boots.
Among the old boys who wouldn’t give up: St Nicholas Abbey (won it three years running when aged 4, 5 and 6) and Cirrus Des Aigles (when 8).
More recently, the winners have been Postponed (then rated 124), Highland Reel (123), Cracksman (130), Pyledriver (117) and, a year ago, Hukum (116), the last pair achieving 124 and 122 marks since.
Today, Westover, Hurricane Lane and Tunnes are a pound apart; 2lb behind is Emily Upjohn, finally Point Lonsdale.
Epsom Derby third, and Irish Derby winner, Westover (BETDAQ 3.0) looks poised after launching his 2023 with second in the Sheema Cup. That should have smoothed his feathers.
Hurricane Lane performed the same in the same two Derbys, third and first in 2021; then won the St Leger and was third in the Arc. He’s been demoted 5lb since then, and was wearing cheekpieces first time when winning the Jockey Club Stakes in early May.
Similarly, Emily Upjohn, second in the 2022 Epsom Oaks, slumped a couple of pounds after running last of six in the King George, but revived with a first-time hood to capture the British Champions Fillies And Mares at Ascot in October.
The German St Leger winner, Tunnes, would be a threat if the rains came down, and it’s been soft and heavy – and two furlongs shorter – when Point Lonsdale has scored.
DAQMAN’S BETS
2.00 Epsom (win-50 bull’s-eye bets)
BET 4pts win LAND LOVER
BET 3pts win MAYMAY
3.10 Epsom
FORTUNE COOKIE (nap)
BET 20pts win WESTOVER
4.30 Epsom
FORTUNE COOKIES
BET 20pts win SAVETHELASTDANCE
BET 20pts win SOUL SISTER
BULL’S-EYE BET
BET 1pt win and place BRIGHT DIAMOND
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
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