OAKS WINNER DAQMAN’S FIFTH NAP RUNNING: Daqman’s win-50 bet on Queen Me (2nd 20-1, beaten a neck) didn’t sting for long yesterday: he landed a 5-2 winner in the very next race. Then he sided with super-mare FORTUNE COOKIE Alpinista against the three-year-old fillies in the Yorkshire Oaks and pulled off his fifth consecutive nap, his eighth out of 11. LAYS LOGIC: he put up ‘two red flags’ against Dramatised (unplaced at evens).
YORK Thursday
WON 7-4 ALPINISTA (nap)
WON 5-2 SHOULDVEBEENARING
YORK Wednesday
WON 5-1 ALFRED BOUCHER
WON 2-5 BAAEED (supernap)
FIVE NAPS ON THE TROT
WON 7-4 ALPINISTA (Thursday, nap)
WON 2-5 BAAEED (Wednesday, supernap)
WON 10-11 BRAZEN DIAMOND (Tuesday, nap)
WON 2-9 REMEMBERING (Monday, nap)
WON 9-10 ETERNAL PEARL (Sunday, nap)
YORK BIG-RACE BONANZA: TODAY: The Lonsdale Cup, the Gimcrack and the Nunthorpe. TOMORROW: The Ebor Handicap.
STRADIVARIUS MISSES LONSDALE
⚠️ HEADS UP: STRADIVARIUS OUT: Day 3 at York today is a superb mixed bag of sprinters in the Nunthorpe and stayers in the Lonsdale Cup, but the cup is less of a race because Stradivarius has to miss it with a bruised foot.
⚠️ HEADS UP: ALPINISTA IS IN: After William Haggas (Baaeed) tried to fend off calls to go for the Arc – he’s halfway changed his mind – there was no denying a Paris date for Alpinista, after she dismissed the current generation of fillies yesterday. ‘She’ll go straight to the Arc,’ said trainer of 52 years Sir Mark Prescott.
10.0 AMTIYAZ WON’T LACK FITNESS
⭕ 1.50 York LAYS LOGIC No outright favourite has won this in the decade. Four-year-olds landed eight in a row until the spell was broken last season by a Ralph Beckett older horse.
Now here’s Beckett with a four-year–old, Lord Protector, hoping to follow up yesterday’s York strike with Haskoy.
Lord Protector has been drawn wide in 19 (only one winner higher than gate 11 in the decade). I know they were looking forward to stepping him up in trip here so, if the situation is hopeless, he may become a hidden horse for the future.
It may give us confidence that stablemate Haskoy won over the same trip yesterday, drawn 10 of 12 and beating stalls 3, 6, 4.
On the far side, Amtiyaz has been off the track more than a year but has won over 1m 6f and 2m for Hollie Doyle, including after a break.
Well drawn in stall 2, he’s not a heavy beast that needs honing at home; not particularly big and should be fit enough after some decent work on the gallops.
Betdaq Betting Exchange 9.8 Lord Protector, 10 Amtiyaz
COLTRANE NEEDING STRONG PACE
⭕ 2.25 York (Lonsdale Cup) Coltrane and (if wet) Trueshan are the FORTUNE COOKIES for this but, with Trueshan doubtful because of the ground, I personally backed Coltrane at 7.1 this morning on BETDAQ. Then Stradivarius came out.
Trueshan beat both Tashkhan and Stradivarius on autumn ground last season, and gave 7lb and a beating to Quickthorn in the Spring.
But Gold Cup winner Kyprios capped his Ascot superiority by beating Stradivarius, Trueshan and Coltrane in that order for the Goodwood Cup.
I plumped for Kyprios at Ascot and Goodwood but I’m at the mercy of the conditions here, with Kyprios waiting for the Long-Distance Cup at the British Champions meeting later in the year, and Coltrane needing some pace on but a race of only five or six runners possible.
BETDAQ 1.84 from 3.1 Trueshan, 4.7 from 7.1 Coltrane
SCOTSMAN IS THE REAL DEAL NOW
⭕ 3.00 York (Gimcrack Stakes) Favourites have won only 40% of the time but the winner has come from 7-1 or shorter at SP nine years in the decade.
So, unless we spot a gamble, we should concentrate on Marshman, Noble Style (both unbeaten) and Royal Scotsman.
Karl Burke (Marshman) produced Swingalong at York yesterday, resisting my 20-1 shot Queen Me by a neck in the Lowther Stakes.
It’s too soon to know how good was Marshman’s wide-margin strike at Thirsk (for back-to-back wins) but he had racereaders gasping ‘Group class.’
Noble Style had Royal Scotsman five lengths behind at Ascot in May and followed up at Newmarket (july).
But, since then, Royal Scotsman has finished third in the Coventry, then looked a truly powerful and matured when landing the Richmond Stakes at Goodwood (Windsor Castle fourth Chateau finished well, third).
BETDAQ 4.1 Royal Scotsman
CAN THEY CATCH UP WITH FLOTUS?
⭕ 3.35 York (Nunthorpe Stakes) A three-year-old, Winter Power, won this last year, a fifth time for that age group this century. She held Emaraaty Ana, who was giving 5lb.
Both have been out of the frame since, Winter Power behind Royal Aclaim over the York CD in July, when she faded. Royal Aclaim comes out of stall 2 today, with Winter Power out of 5.
The 2021 Cheveley Park runner-up, Flotus, was close up until near home in the 6f Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot in June and was a course winner at York the last day. She’s in 4, and is likely to set the pace.
Highfield Princess shot to the top of the ratings for this by winning the Prix Maurice De Gheest, dropped back half a furlong from her usual 7f trip. York form 321, culminating in a 6f win at the Dante meeting.
Only two two-year-olds have won this since 1956, with just The Platinum Queen remaining from a strong juveniles entry today. Is she good enough from a high draw (13)?
The Platinum Queen, who won in a fast time at Goodwood, would be only the second two-year-old filly to take the Nunthorpe after Lyric Fantasy (1992).
Khaadem has won Group races back to back since returned to the minimum but had only a neck to spare over Raasel at Goodwood, with Lazuli fourth, giving 3lb to both. Lazuli comes out of 3 today. It’s a very tough call.
BETDAQ 9.8 Flotus (9.4 each way)
GOOD BETDAQ OFFERS ON AMERICAN
⭕ 4.10 York The Flying Ginger made virtually all from the one stall a year ago, where State Occasion is now, after her Goodwood was franked by the runner-up. Ginger is down 4lb and could bounce back after a modest season.
But three-year-olds are unbeaten in this fillies’ handicap and freegoing Shampion – out of gate 5 – could set the pace this time, with the big improver (up 21lb for her hat-trick) Amanzoe the hold-up threat from 4.
State Occasion’s stable has the ‘hidden horse’ of the race, Good American. Given a recent run after a long holiday since she ran flat in a Group-3 (soft) in October. This trip is realistic on breeding (BETDAQ 14.5 or 13.0 each-way).
THE NAP: Frankie Dettori switches to Newbury, where the Frankel colt Frantastic (3.50) is dropped a grade after being badly bumped twice on his reappearance at Sandown.
Frantastic (BETDAQ 2.8), who ran behind Westover in the Classic Trial there in April, today meets class-4 animals who in the main have done their winning and are up the handicap.
DAQMAN’S BETS
1.50 York (win 50)
BET 5.5pts win LORD PROTECTOR
BET 5.5pts win AMTIYAZ
2.25 York (win 30, win 10)
(FORTUNE COOKIES)
BET 8pts win COLTRANE
BET 12pts win TRUESHAN
3.00 York (win 10)
BET 3.25pts win ROYAL SCOTSMAN
3.35 York (win 20 each way)
BET 2.4pts each way FLOTUS
3.50 Newbury (win 10, nap)
BET 5.5pts win FRANTASTIC
4.10 York (win 12 each way)
BET 1pt each way GOOD AMERICAN
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