WINNER-A-DAY DAQMAN: Daqman asked you to set up the BETDAQ Exchange markets for the AW Championships this morning. Have you left him any value? Can he improve on two naps this week? He surrounds himself with champion jockeys, as if that will do the trick.
WON 10-3 BLOW YOUR WAD (Thursday)
WON 1-1 BALZAC (Wednesday nap)
WON 5-6 FARASI LANE (Tuesday nap)
WON 6-5 DANEHILL STAR
STAR SATURDAY FEATURES: BETDAQ value tomorrow for feature races at Musselburgh (Queens Cup and Scottish Sprint) and Haydock (Pertemps Final).
TWO NATIONALS NEXT WEEK: Monday is the IRISH GRAND NATIONAL at Fairyhouse and next Saturday the LIVERPOOL GRAND NATIONAL. More details over the weekend.
TREBLE DAB HAND BILLY!
⭕ 1.15 Newcastle When it comes to the man in the saddle for Joseph O’Brien’s Andab, only the very best will do.
Andab’s tilts at top class in France and Qatar were seconds at Deauville under 10 times champion Christophe Soumillon and in February at Doha under Pierre-Charles Boudot, three times champion.
Andab’s two career wins – at the Curragh and Dundalk – were both down to Irish champion jockey Dylan Browne McMonagle.
Today former British champion apprentice and AW champion Billy Loughnane – 50 winners this year – can outrun them all in the £56k Listed opener at Newcastle before the five AW finals.
The northern hope for the Guineas, Billecart (Karl Burke), and May Hill fifth Timeforshowcasing (Charlie Johnston) are entitled to show their class.
The last two races are each worth £90k to the winner, tempting Willie Mullins over with Gaucher for the Middle-Distance Handicap (4.10) and Ado McGuinness with Tribal Star (4.42) for the Easter Plate marathon.
Tribal Star, second in the Plate last year, has won twice at Dundalk over shorter but Cesarewitch winner, Beylerbeyi, is back up in trip.
His winning jockey at Newmarket – and today! – Billy Loughnane, who also rides Gaucher (BETDAQ 5.6) against rival champion, Oisin Murphy, who beat Beylerbei on Regal Ulixes in the Middle Distance Trial at Lingfield in February.
20-1 YOU PREFER BLONDES
⭕ 1.50 Newcastle Trainer Andrew Balding bids for a hat-trick in this 6f championship for three-year-olds, after 2-2, both favourite, both ridden by Oisin Murphy.
If you thought AW racing chicken-feed, then let me tell you that Murphy has made £2.2m for Balding with more than 150 winners on man-made surfaces.
Silent Strike won at Kempton in February and was prepped for this at Newcastle a month back when beaten half a length, trying to make all.
The winner that day is still rated 5lb lower than Silent Strike but the winning trainer, Karl Burke, bothers me!
We may suppose that Burke thinks he can silence the Balding bid by switching to 20-1 shot Three Non Blondes, who scored from the front at Wolverhampton over an extra furlong, clear of a previous winner.
Ten Carat Harry beat nothing well in the Newcastle trial for this in January and looks harshly penalised. Monarch’s Gold, who stumbled in that race, may do better with a 7lb swing in the weights.
SHALLOW SET FOR SHOCK
⭕ 2.25 Newcastle Stateira looks good for Oisin Murphy, but I’m wary of 7f events (it’s a specialist trip) and, after a 200-1 winner of this fillies and mares championship last year, was going to pass.
But the third that day, Shallow, lost the race because she would not settle. She has won since, is down a few pounds and has the dynamo Saffie Osborne doing the steering. Betdaq Betting Exchange 17.0
FOUND! LOST KING VALUE
⭕ 3.00 Newcastle Murphy again. Andrew Balding lined up The Lost King for the Lincoln but only on soft ground.
It wasn’t soft enough so the Wolver Lincoln Trial winner swerved the real thing to wait for this mile championship in the AW Finals.
I can dig through the rest of the form for you but I will still come out on the side of this Kingman gelding, first foal of a Frankel mare related to two Oaks winners. BETDAQ 5.9 taken.
If you want a saver, Chancellor would have won the Winter Derby at this trip and seems sure to confirm the form with the runner-up of his earlier Southwell success, Tyrrhenian Sea, despite a change in the weights.
DAQMAN’S BETS
on Betdaq Betting Exchange
★ 1.15 Newcastle (win 20, nap)
BET 10pts win ANDAB
1.50 Newcastle (win-50 bull’s-eye bet )
BET 2.5pts win and place THREE NON BLONDES
BET 6pts to win 21 SILENT STRIKE
2.25 Newcastle (win-50 bull’s-eye bet )
BET 3pts win and place SHALLOW
BET 6pts to win 10 STATEIRA
3.00 Newcastle (won 30)
BET 6pts win THE LOST KING
BET 4pts to win 12 CHANCELLOR
4.10 Newcastle (win 20)
BET 4.25pts win GAUCHER
BET 4pts to win 10 REGAL ULIXES
4.42 Newcastle (win 20)
BET 8pts win BEYLERBEYI
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
Did you know? DAQMAN’s tips are posted each and every day so he’s always on hand to help with your horse racing betting.
