37.0 SHOT CLOSE TO VICTORY: Daqman was in fine form yesterday with short shots and long shots, including a 37.0 BETDAQ morning offer. Here they are in time order:
WON 15-8 Afandem
WON 7-4 Elraazy
3rd 20-1 Sir Plato
3rd 16-1 On To Victory (from 37.0)
GIVE YOURSELF TWO CHANCES: Betdaq has the bonus of choice. So low are the overrounds that you can afford to back more than one horse in a race. Or you can pick one, and save on the favourite. Daqman looks at three such possibilities today.
SATURDAY SPECIAL: Look for Daqman’s big bets and banker bets on another Saturday in which he expects to outshine Pricewise of the Racing Post in his head-to-head, which currently shows returns of DQMAN 70, Pricewise 30.
YOU SIT FACING THE EARS, OISIN..
4.20 Ascot Do you remember Kris Kin (who?) winning the Derby, ridden by Kieren Fallon (who?). That’s the same year (2003) William Muir last had a winner at Ascot. Ten years ago Rod Millman had one there, too. Well done, Sir Roderic!
Together Muir and Millman have managed to accumulate 146 losers since their last successes on the Berkshire course.
Statistics can empty your plate but they can also warn you against taking second helpings if you’re betting against figures like these.
It doesn’t mean that Truth Or Dare won’t win for Muir, but he’s a horse that beats himself: he’s been 12 times in the first six without winning since he last scored three years ago.
Ten of those defeats have been in the hands of Martin Dwyer, who has gone 68 mounts in just under five years without an Ascot success.
Oisin Murphy (Hors De Combat) has fared a little better: just short of two years of firing blanks on 42 Ascot runners.
In fact, it’s hard to find a winning combination in this race: I give you Sir Michael Stoute (14% course record) and Ryan Moore (19%) with Grand Inquisitor, and Saeed Bin Suroor (13%) and James Doyle (13%) with Very Talented.
It doesn’t take anyone very talented to realize that the eponymous favourite at 6.6 would still be value at 4.6 against such a bunch of losers for a yard that often runs them sparingly.
One alternative is top-weight Spark Plug but the handicapper has been refusing to drop him despite 11 successive defeats. He was sixth of seven in this race last year.
Can Early Morning repeat his CD hit of a month ago (he hasn’t put back-to-back wins together before) and what can sprint-sired Aclaim do upped in trip (the dam suggests he’ll do well)?
Grand Inquisitor for the Stoute-Moore combination is visored today but the trainer has a poor record of 2-19 first time with blinds.
You just wonder what blinkers can do for Hors De Combat, an unusual departure for James Fanshawe on a horse who was in the first four in Group races three times in a row at this time last year.
Hors De Combat was the early-mouse market mover, in to 6.6, so I’m willing to give his jockey a chance to redeem his Ascot record (you sit facing the ears, Oisin)!
BETDAQ 9.0 FOR A STABLE THAT’S 3/4
4.35 Newcastle It’s also rare for Fanshawe to go up to Newcastle. He’s sent up five in five years, just once before the Tapeta track opened.
But he’s been up there with four horses since, carrying off three winners, and maybe four out of five when Enmeshing has been unsaddled in this one.
Enmeshing (9.0 in the orange) is switched from the tough southern tracks of Newbury and Newmarket, taking on an in-form Gay Kelleway, with Lord Of North, and an out-of-form Ed Dunlop with Alfahad but, if the BETDAQ market is any guide, having most to fear from the William Haggas newcomer, Selection.
Haggas is on a hat-trick, having launched September with a double yesterday, and he has to be the saver though, on breeding, looks one for next year.
4.05 Newcastle Earlier, Miningrocks tries to sneak under the radar and make a quick return 9lb on the right side of the handicap.
It’s another two furlongs now and they might not allow him to dictate and get away, as he did on the last day. But there is nothing happening in the market (7.0 bar one) as I write.
The possible improver in against all ages for the first time is Esspeegee (7.8 offers), stepped up in trip after staying on well on AW last time. This looks like a shrewd move.
DAQMAN TIPS (each staked to win 20 points)
BET 3pts win on each ESSPEEGEE and (saver) MININGROCKS (4.05 Newcastle)
BET 3.5pts win on each HORS DE COMBAT and VERY TALENTED (4.20 Ascot)
BET 2.5pts win on each ENMESHING (nap) and (saver) SELECTION (4.35 Newcastle)
£25 IN FREE BETS
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.
