DUBLIN THE HOPE FOR A QUALITY WEEKEND: They’ve switched around the races – putting Saturday chasing down the card – in the hope of preserving the track for racing for racing at Leopardstown on Sunday as well as tomorrow’s opening day of the Dublin Festival. The mares’ allowance takes Apple’s Jade clear of her Champion Hurdle field, according to Daqman’s ratings today. But there’s only the odd pound separating the four leading contenders for the Gold Cup.
STAR-NAME JOCKEYS RIDING ON AW TODAY: No Jumps racing today but how bad if we have Ryan Moore riding at Lingfield and Rachael Blackmore over for Newcastle this evening. Lingfield passed a morning inspection and could deputise on terrestrial TV tomorrow if English Jumps tracks are unraceable, as seems likely.
MARE RATED MILES AHEAD..
1.25 from 3.10 Leopardstown (Champion Hurdle, Dublin Festival, tomorrow) form and ratings check
1 Apple’s Jade (Gordon Elliott) Never out of the frame over hurdles (13 wins) in 19 starts and taking a hat-trick of wins to the table tomorrow. Leopardstown form: 111. Grade-1 form: 2112111113311. Rating 162 (tomorrow 173 if all runners ratings revised to 12st)
2 Melon (Willie Mullins) Placed six from nine over hurdles (two wins). Leopardstown form: 104. Grade-1 form: 2202F4
Rating 164 (tomorrow 168 adjusted to 12st)
3 Supasundae (Jessica Harrington) Placed 13 (five wins) out of 18 and not out of the first two in last seven starts. Leopardstown form: 10212. Grade-1 form: 232122122
Rating 163 (tomorrow 167 adjusted to 12st)
..NO RESPECT FOR MULLINS!
3.35 Leopardstown (Irish Gold Cup, Dublin Festival, Sunday) form and ratings check
1 Road To Respect (Noel Meade) 12 times (six wins) out of 14 in the frame. Leopardstown chase form: 313. Grade-1 form: 431214313
Rating 169 (all carry 11st 10lb)
2 Bellshill (W Mullins) 50% strike rate over fences (4-8). Leopardstown chase form: F4. Grade-1 form: F314
Rating 168 (all carry 11st 10lb)
3 Kemboy (W Mullins) six times placed (five wins) out of 8. Leopardstown chase form: 1. Grade-1 form: 41
Rating 168 (all carry 11st 10lb)
4 Anibale Fly (A J Martin) six times placed (three wins) from 13. Leopardstown chase form: 1F. Grade 1 form: F3
Rating 167 (all carry 11st 10lb)
GOLDEN OPPORTUNITY AT 7.0
4.15 Newcastle Sticking to class 4 and hoping they run to form. We were on four-times course winner Portledge in the class-4 race at Newcastle yesterday but one that had scored a grade higher beat us half a length at 12-1.
The class standout in this one is Golden Wolf, who has been running in class 2 since he was second over the Classic distance at the Epsom Derby meeting in June.
Rachael Blackmore, fresh from a winner for Joseph O’Brien at Down Royal on Tuesday is over here for the one ride.
The worry is that the horse (tongue tie first time) was a drifter this morning, 7-2 to 5-1 with bookmakers, though always a generous 7.0 on BETDAQ.
Claire Underwood (3.7) and Loud And Clear (4.8) were in front in the market. Claire Underwood, a class-4 winner at less than 10f, is unexposed at today’s 1m 4f. Significant stable stat is that, of only four horses at 4-1 or shorter SP recently, three have won. Loud And Clear has had three wins here at Newcastle.
I can get double my money a place bet on Golden Wolf, so win at 7.0 for 30 points and place to win 10 insurance on BETDAQ is the way to approach this one.
6.15 Newcastle Blame Culture was half a length third in a race of winners over CD here 10 days ago.
We have Johnny Murtagh over from Kildare with Prosecution but the evidence I present to this court is that the horse is only 1-20.
There is always confidence behind Glory of Paris, whose stable is back to form with figures of 10101 in the last two days. Favourite four times in a row in December and January, Glory of Paris won two of them.
It’s a tough call but a line through a horse called Rey Loopy puts Blame Culture in front and I nap him for a bit of value. Or am I being loopy!
* Lingfield is on this afternoon but fields have cut up badly. I’ll include Ryan Moore’s mount, Water’s Edge (2.55), in some Daq Multiples.
DAQMAN’S BETS
4.15 Newcastle (win 30, place win 10)
BET 5pts win and place GOLDEN WOLF
6.15 Newcastle (win 20)
BET 10pts win (nap) BLAME CULTURE
DAQ MULTIPLES
3 x 2pt win doubles, 1pt treble
WATER’S EDGE (2.55 Lingfield)
GOLDEN WOLF (4.15 Newcastle)
BLAME CULTURE (6.15 Newcastle)
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