DAQMAN’S FOURTH NAP IN A ROW: Daqman’s doing the Boogie Moogie! He’s on a winning beat with his naps, landing number 97 at Chelmsford last night, his fourth in a row with a return. Moogie, backed down to even money with the bookies, won 15 points at 4.0 on BETDAQ in morning offers.
WON 1-1 MOOGIE Thursday nap
(Wednesday nap, non-runner)
WON 85-40 SIDNEY BAY Tuesday nap
WON 8-11 GENERAL MEDRANO Monday nap
WON (2nd 9-1) MINELLA DRAMA w/p win-50 Sunday nap 12.5
🇺🇸 BREEDERS CUP TONIGHT: Daqman takes in the top two races at Newmarket on the soft this afternoon before taking aim at fast horses for the firm ground in the Santa Anita Breeders Cup tonight. *Daqman (58) and Pricewise (33) both have bets in the 9.00, 10.20 and 11.40.
HOUSE A HUGE BETDAQ OFFER
⭕ 12.50 Newmarket (Bosra Sham Fillies’ Listed, 6f) Six winners out of 10 have been drawn 1, 2, 3, but today’s earlier race over 5f will also guide you to the best stalls.
Those who have won on soft-heavy ground are Adaay In Devon, Je Ne Sais Quoi, Serene Seraph and Stop The Cavalry, while Heritage House (from the one stall today) was beaten only half a length on soft by Chic Columbine in the £100,000 Fillies Series Final at Doncaster.
In the same series on soft at 7f, Lexington Belle (drawn 12 here) was threeparts of a length behind Chic Columbine at Goodwood.
Heritage House was 64.0 in BETDAQ exchanges this morning after her second in a three-filly race behind Adaay In Devon, who was nearly 10 lengths behind Chic Columbine at Goodwood, so the form looks suspect.
Romantic Style beat nothing well in a lower grade at York and I was more impressed the way Stop The Cavalry strode out at Haydock on the soft the previous day.
Betdaq Betting Exchange 5.5 Romantic Style, 5.9 Stop The Cavalry, 64.0 Heritage House.
AL QAREEM AGE ADVANTAGE
⭕ 1.25 Newmarket (St Simon Stakes, 1m 4f Group 3) Al Qareem, winner of the Chaudenay (1m 7f, very soft) in October a year ago, landed back-to-back wins right on cue this autumn, including the Cumberland Lodge at Ascot.
Three runs three wins this year, Hamish was beaten a head in the St Simon Stakes by Max Vega at Newbury on heavy a year ago.
Hamish won the Ormonde at Chester on soft in May by just over a length from Lone Eagle but is giving three years to Al Qareem, who is excellent value at BETDAQ 5.3
ADVOCATE FROM THE ONE STALL
🇺🇸 9.00 Santa Anita (Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint, 5f) The last time Big Evs and Crimson Advocate could have met, they missed each other at Royal Ascot by three hours and 40 minutes.
At 2.30, George Weaver became the third American trainer to win at the royal meeting as Crimson Advocate just prevailed in the Queen Mary.
At the end of the day, Big Evs made all in the 6.10 Windsor Castle Stakes, half a second outside standard time, just 0.06 seconds slower than Crimson Advocate over the same five furlongs.
The pointer to Big Evs is that he made all and looked suited to the American style but Crimson Advocate (from the one stall tonight) receives 3lb fillies’ allowance and has Big Evs (gate 4) as a target when he bursts from a gate only three away.
Between them in stall 2 is another Weaver runner, No Nay Mets, winner at Gulfstream Park in May, same day as Crimson Advocate booked his passage to Royal Ascot, scoring 34 minutes later.
The two occasions this Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint was run at Santa Anita, the one-two was gate 9 over gate 1. Would you believe that’s another pointer to a Weaver win!
The 51-year-old Weaver, born in Louisville, Kentucky, the same city as Muhammad Ali, has the 9 stall for his third contender fighting for the £433k prize, the filly Amidst Waves. A 9-stall-beats-1 result would be Amidst Waves over Crimson Advocate.
Another Royal Ascot player over for this race is Jessica Harrington’s Givemethebeatboys, fourth in the Coventry, and also fourth of nine in the Middle Park to Vandeek, who had won the Prix Morny, and is rated 5lb higher than Big Evs.
Givemethebeatboys (beat Valiant Force in the Spring) comes out of stall 5 and Shane Foley will hope to tuck the 6f winner in behind that early scramble.
Aidan O’Brien’s No Nay Never filly, Cherry Blossom (gate 8 today), was beaten a length in the Lowther Stakes by Relief Rally, who had just failed by a nose to catch Crimson Advocate in the Queen Mary.
No Nay Never won the 2013 Norfolk Stakes before finishing a half-length runner-up in this Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint.
BETDAQ value: 4.9 Crimson Advocate, 12 Cherry Blossom
FORTUNA FAVOURS THE BRAVE
🇺🇸 10.20 Santa Anita (Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf, 1m) DRAW: Stalls 2, 3, 4, 5 account for six of the nine placed in this in the last three Breeders Cups at Santa Anita.
Aidan O’Brien, who won this last year with Meditate, has a pace horse here, Content, from gate 5, but with best form on soft.
Cheveley Park winner on firm, Porta Fortuna (Donnacha O’Brien out of 6), takes a step up in trip but has a St Leger winner down the distaff line.
Carla’s Way (9) spoiled the reputation of Shuwari in the Rockfel at Newmarket (good to firm). She quickened off 11-second furlongs on the quick ground.
It was win-and-you’re-in for She Feels Pretty in the Woodbine trial for this. She flew the race as if ‘win and you’re in at the very top!’
Dreamfyre (out of gate 13 in this), Buttercream Babe (from the one stall) and Flattery (2) were the first three when drawn 3, 4, 2 in a Grade 3 over the CD in early October.
The Del Mar flier, Flattery, is better off at the weights and will be suited by the fast pace.
Laulne (stall 4 today) is also a Grade 3 winner but Buchu (stall 3) won a class higher at Keeneland.
Trainer Chad Brown, who has won this race four times in nine years, has Hard To Justify, by sire-of-the-moment Justify, a dual winner out of gate 12.
Betdaq Betting Exchange 4.5 Carla’s Way, 6.2 Porta Fortuna, 6.6 She Feels Pretty, 10.5 Hard To Justify, 40 Flattery.
GO FRANKIE! UNQUESTIONABLE
🇺🇸 11.40 Santa Anita (Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf, 1m colt and geldings) DRAW Gates 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 8 have had seven of the nine placings in three Santa Anita Breeders Cups, which could explain why the double-figure stalls all contain drifters in the markets this morning.
Coventry Stakes winner, River Tiber (Aidan O’Brien and Ryan Moore), coming out of 2, steps up in trip.
His nemesis in the Morny and Middle Park, Vandeek, is rated 118, with Rosallion just a pound behind in official ratings.
That recommends River Tiber’s stablemate, the Frankie Dettori mount, Unquestionable (114) at 4.7 on BETDAQ this morning.
A keengoer, keeping on well when runner-up to Rosallion in the Lagardere at the Arc meeting, and better bred for fast ground.
Irad Ortiz on Todd Fletcher’s Agate Road (BETDAQ 12.0) has won both starts switched to turf and is the likely late finisher.
DAQMAN’S BETS
12.50 Newmarket (win 20 + outsider)
BET 4pts win STOP THE CAVALRY
Bet 1pt w/p HERITAGE HOUSE @ 64.0
1.25 Newmarket (win 20, nap)
BET 5pts win AL QAREEM
9.00 Santa Anita (win 25)
BET 6pts win CRIMSON ADVOCATE
BET 2pts w/p CHERRY BLOSSOM
10.20 Santa Anita (win 20)
BET 4pts win PORTA FORTUNA
BET 2pts win HARD TO JUSTIFY
11.40 Santa Anita (win 25)
BET 6.7pts win UNQUESTIONABLE
BET 2pts w/p AGATE ROAD
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
Did you know? DAQMAN’s tips are posted each and every day so he’s always on hand to help with your horse racing betting.
