WHY DAQMAN’S SANGUINE AFTER 13-2 WIN WITH SANGARIUS: Daqman landed two more Royal Ascot winners yesterday and two more one-two results, with one winner at 13-2 and the other his second successful Fortune Cookie in two days. Says Daqman: ‘I confess I would give them both up for a proper result for my supernap, Fleeting (2nd 7-4), beaten by the magic of Frankie Dettori in the third leg of his four-timer. I can be accused of race riding from the stands so I say no more. The form book will have it ‘twice denied a clear run,’ and that’s how we have to live with it’.
YESTERDAY
WON 13-2 SANGARIUS (2nd 7-2 Fox Chairman)
WON 1-1 STRADIVARIUS, Fortune Cookie (2nd 7-2 Dee Ex Bee, Gold Cup)
WEDNESDAY
WON 6-1 DASHING WILLOUGHBY, Fortune Cookie (bull’s-eye nap at 14.0 BETDAQ)
WON 3-1 CRYSTAL OCEAN
2ND 16-1 Clon Coulis and 3rd 8-1 Raising Sand (Royal Hunt Cup)
STANDINGS UPDATE:
Daqman 33, Pricewise 17 (235 points clear)
➡️ Naps: four winners out of six (145 points up)
➡️ Supernaps: 12 out of 14 (150 points profit)
➡️ Bull’s-eye naps: four out of seven (171 profit)
TODAY’S HEADLINES:
🔹 DON’T LET ME DOWN, DAAHYEH!
🔹 ANOTHER YEATS JAPAN THREAT
🔹 TEN SOVEREIGNS IS ‘VERY FAST’
🔹 THE CORONATION OF HERMOSA
🔹 LAYALEENA AND NO SWEAT, JIM
DON’T LET ME DOWN, DAAHYEH!
FIRST THREE DAYS: trainers Aidan O’Brien (4), John Gosden (2), William Haggas (2), Sir Michael Stoute (2), Charlie Appleby, Andrew Balding, Ralph Beckett, Simon Crisford, Charles Hills, Mark Johnston, David O’Meara, Ian Williams.
Jockeys: Frankie Dettori (6), Ryan Moore (3), Daniel Tudhope (3), Harry Bentley, Jim Crowley, James Doyle, Seamie Heffernan, Richard Kingscote, Oisin Murphy.
DRAW: winners by stall 1, 3, 1, 1, 18, 12, 25, 6, 6, 11, 21, 24, 9, 8, 6, 2, 29, 8.
2.30 Royal Ascot (Albany Stakes) Leading trainers (this race only): none with more than one win. Jockeys Jamie Spencer 4.
Age: 2yo. Favourites: 20%. DRAW: stalls 12 to 17 nine out of 10.
Kimari was beaten just a head for Wesley Ward in the Queen Mary but a surprise to see him with two of the market leaders in this, particularly with Nayibeth in the one stall, when his forte at this meeting is with 5f animals, and the ground has proved beyond them since the opening day (Ascot 0-4 plus a withdrawal yesterday).
However, both his contenders in this have drifted – before I had the courage to lay them – and the deserved clear favourite is now Daahyeh, who beat the Queen Mary winner, Raffle Prize at Newmarket.
The ground is a worry for the War Front pair So Wonderful and Silent Wave, and for Last Surprise and Kemble (withdrawn earlier in the week), though Last Surprise will be backed after the Crisford-Dettori winner yesterday.
VERDICT: 1 Daahyeh, 2 Last Surprise, 3 Jm Jackson, 14.0 BETDAQ who stayed on well at Sandown, second to Flippa The Strippa (only four lengths behind in the Queen Mary); will relish the fast pace.
ANOTHER YEATS JAPAN THREAT
3.05 Royal Ascot (King Edward V11 Stakes) Leading trainers: John Gosden 3. Jockeys: Jamie Spencer 4.
Age: 3yo. Favourites: 10%. DRAW: winners evenly spread.
Japan off 117 is higher in the ratings than recent winners of this but today’s ‘Ascot Derby’ is still not what I hoped for in my preview, with nothing else within 10lb of him.
Japan might have won the Epsom Derby but for his rider dropping his whip 100 yards out when the frenetic charge to the line began. Ryan Moore rides now.
Bangkok was well behind that day but sweated up before the race and is surely better than the 13lb differential in the ratings.
Private Secretary is the sort of improver you want at this time of year but all signs from his form and from the pedigree is that he’d prefer top of the ground.
Pondus is similarly on the upgrade but has been beating the same horses, with no collateral form to go on; winner on both firm and soft.
Pablo Escobarr, second to the Derby winner in the Lingfield Trial, and swerved Epsom for this easier race.
VERDICT: 1 Japan, 2 Pablo Escobarr, 3 Jack Yeats, 34.0 this morning is the likely pacesetter but a Galileo out of a Dansili mare who is well regarded in his own right and could manage a place (6.0 offers).
TEN SOVEREIGNS IS ‘VERY FAST’
3.40 Royal Ascot (Commonwealth Cup) New race in 2015. Age: 3yo. Favourites 50%.
Middle Park winner Ten Sovereigns didn’t quite get the Guineas trip (fifth at Newmarket to Magna Grecia) and is likely to show that Aidan O’Brien’s original judgment was best:
‘He is a very fast horse, who probably won’t get much further than a mile, if he gets a mile,’ quote unquote September last year.
Jash ran Ten Sovereigns to half a length in the Middle Park and the second and fourth in his 7f Newmarket Listed this term have won decent races since.
Hello Youmzain burst the Calyx bubble in the Sandy Lane at Haydock on firm but won a Group 2 in France on the soft as a juvenile.
VERDICT: Aidan O’Brien won this Cup with Caravaggio (2017), ‘one of the fastest animals I have ever seen’: the ‘horse with the Ferrari engine’ won this off a 119 rating. Ten Sovereigns (2.3 this morning) goes to post as a 120.
THE CORONATION OF HERMOSA
4.20 Royal Ascot (Coronation Stakes) Leading trainers: Sir Michael Stoute 4, Aidan O’Brien 3, John Gosden 2. Jockeys: Ryan Moore (2).
Age: 3yo. Favourites: 40%. DRAW: Stalls 7 to 11 seven out of nine.
Hermosa (2.04 on BETDAQ this morning) tries to copy Winter, winner of the English and Irish 1,000 Guineas before taking this in 2017.
Jubiloso is two out of two under maestro Sir Michael Stoute and Castle Lady is three from three, including the French 1,000.
VERDICT: If I take around 8.0 to win 20 Jubiloso I won’t detract too much from the Fortune Cookies return, if the favourite wins and is crowned queen.
LAYALEENA AND NO SWEAT, JIM
5.00 Royal Ascot (Sandringham Stakes) Leading trainers: John Gosden 2
Jockeys: Jamie Spencer 4, Richard Kingscote 2.
Age: 3yo. Favourites: 50%. DRAW: Stalls 11-22 six; 1 (two), 3, 5 four.
Frankie Dettori is leading rider in this with 7 but declines to take part (is he having a breather before the last?) Jamie Spencer won this for Ed Walker last year, and has strong claims as Hotsy Totsy goes for a hat-trick.
Jim Crowley goes into the sauna to ride Layaleena, yet another filly ‘produced’ by Sir Michael Stoute. Coral Beach drops back from Group 1s, with Aidan O’Brien 1-2-3 in a handicap here yesterday.
VERDICT: Magnetic Charm heads the late developers in the weights, so I prefer Invitational, Nonchalance, Layaleena, Hotsy Totsy and Desirous. I need a double-figure price for a filly with top breeding in a race like this, so I’m on Nonchalance (a Dubawi at 11.5) and Layaleena (Sea The Stars at 14.5).
DAQMAN’S BETS
2.30 Royal Ascot (win 30)
BET 6pts win DAAHYEH
BET 2.25pts win and place JM JACKSON
3.05 Royal Ascot (win 15; win 50, place win 15)
BET 10pts win (nap) JAPAN
BET 1.5pts win, 3pts place JACK YEATS
3.40 Royal Ascot
(see below)
4.20 Royal Ascot (win 20)
BET 2.75pts win JUBILOSO
(and see below)
5.00 Royal Ascot (win 30)
BET 2.75pts win NONCHALANCE
BET 2.25pts win LAYALEENA
5.35 Royal Ascot (win 20)
BET 4pts win BAGHDAD
BET 2pts win and place BEN VRACKIE
FORTUNE COOKIES
(20pts level stakes)
TEN SOVEREIGNS 3.40 Royal Ascot
HERMOSA 4.20 Royal Ascot
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