SUPERNAPS DOUBLE: IT’S FRANKIE’S BIG DAY: Daqman’s staking plan worked an overall profit again yesterday when he landed his nap, Mascat (WON 6-4), and a place bet on Milltown Star (3rd 7-1) on the opening day at Newmarket. Today he bets to win enough so that he can have maximum stakes on two of Frankie Dettori’s mounts. Daqman clashes with Pricewise in the 1.50, 3.00 and 3.35
Daqman 71, Pricewise 31 (Daqman + 450, Pricewise – 510 to 10pt stakes)
Bulls-eye naps (7-15) 46% (252pts profit to recommended stakes)
Supernaps (22-33) 66% (132pts profit to 20-point stakes)
TODAY’S HEADLINES
🔹 MAQSAD HAS THE DROP ON THEM
🔹 IT’S A PROMISSORY VALUE NOTE
🔹 WAS WONDERFUL: NOW BLISSFUL
🔹 COMEDY TO LAUGH AT THE LAYERS
🔹 OLD BOY CAN PUT THEM TO FLIGHT
MAQSAD HAS THE DROP ON THEM
1.50 Newmarket (Rosemary Stakes) William Haggas (3 winners) and John Gosden (2) have shared the spoils in this race for the last five years and now head the market, with Haggas’s favourite, Maqsad, rated 107, some 12lb clear of She’s Got You (Gosden).
Since back-to-back wins on the Rowley Mile course in the Spring, including the (Listed) Pretty Polly Stakes over another quarter-mile, Maqsad has been down the field in the Epsom Oaks and the Nassau Stakes, both Group-1.
She now drops back to Listed company just as She’s Got You steps up in grade from handicaps. Both were well backed last night.
Chaleur has never been out of the first four, and should just about beat Agincourt on York form, but remains half a stone behind the front two, though I can report that Ralph Beckett thinks the flat track will suit.
Andre Fabre, who is over here with his star two-year-old Earthlight, saddles badly-drawn Richmond Avenue for her fourth Listed (form 402 so far).
I still can’t back Clon Coulis, with David Barron having a shocking season (currently 1-19). The only one of his supported recently, Kynren, chalked up another second for recent form figures of 220232.
He’s never the trainer to know the result before the race; but right now I think we can tell him!
Lady Lawyer looks lightly raced and unexposed; in fact, she’s a quirky madam, and badly drawn here. Maqsad was hovering around 2-1 in the BETDAQ orange when I got involved in the race.
IT’S A PROMISSORY VALUE NOTE
2.25 Newmarket (Princess Royal Stakes) Second of three consecutive races, in which colts and geldings take no part. No surprise that the fillies add five more John Gosden winners since 2012, making seven in the three races all told.
And on that Promissory note, Frankie Dettori could be on a hat-trick to be completed by King Of Comedy (3.35) and Weekender (4.45).
Promissory’s Goodwood second (Group 3 Ladbrokes March Stakes) looks undervalued at a 103 rating, now that the winner, Sir Ron Priestley, has finished runner-up in the St Leger, earning 112.
WAS WONDERFUL: NOW BLISSFUL
3.00 Newmarket (Rockfel Stakes) For Just Wonderful (last year’s winner) read Blissful. That’s how Ballydoyle wants you to see it but she was a drifter when bookmakers opened their market last night.
I thought Gustav Klimt’s sister had finally got it together, and trainer Aidan O’Brien knows Daahyeh’s limitations, having beaten her to the punch in the Moyglare with Love.
Festival Day ‘beat nothing well’ at Chepstow on the last day and ‘could be anything,’ but this is a massive leap in grade and taking potential over the 99-plus rated trio, Daahyeh (107), Blissful (99) and Under The Stars (103), who all have four or five races of experience, needs double-figure odds, in my estimation.
With markers in the collateral form, O’Brien and Blissful must surely be the win-and-place bet at 9.2 for a yard back to form with the seven-lengths Wichita victory in the Tattersall Stakes yesterday. I can get a place bet to save the win stake.
COMEDY TO LAUGH AT THE LAYERS
3.35 Newmarket (Joel Stakes) King Of Comedy’s neck defeat by Circus Maximus in the St James’s Palace Stakes has been boosted by the winner’s subsequent Prix du Moulin victory over 2018 Irish Guineas winner Romanised.
And the computer advanced King’s rating (100 two races ago) to 118 after his Intenerational fourth at two lengths to Japan.
As do so many from the Bury Road emporia of Sir Michael Stoute, Zaaki could easily improve on his 113 but has to give 4lb to King Of Comedy . He can hold up the favourite’s price.
4.45 Newmarket Small fields seem to suit Weekender and Frankie Dettori is a master when there’s an opportunity to dominate. But Mount Everest, a short-head behind Japan a year ago, and late on the scene this season, ‘could be anything’ in receipt of 7lb.
OLD BOY CAN PUT THEM TO FLIGHT
5.20 Newmarket (Silver Cambridgeshire) Where have all the horses gone?
When I complained about poor fields on the opening day of this three-day meeting, I thought I could at least look forward to a decent handicap today and tomorrow. Not so far.
There have recently been fields of 19, 20, 22 – lowest 11 – for this Cambridgeshire compensation.
Today just 8 and, I’ll bet my granny’s old boots, one of them will ‘disappear’ and frustrate a full place return.
This eliminated tail-end of the Cambridgeshire field makes a mockery of graded racing. It’s a class 4 posing as a class 2.
Data Protection won in the lower grade at Epsom in August but has a rating reduced by 5lb on this time last year. So the good news is tempered by the bad.
Better perhaps than Escape The City, whose rating has dropped 9lb but there was more than a two-year gap between her successes, the second of them in class 5 at Brighton at the beginning of the month.
Cuttin Edge has improved for wind surgery but penalties for class-6 win and third make him look vulnerable now. I can’t see an edge in backing him.
Sheila’s Showcase has won only his maiden – always a bad sign – though might improve for being gelded. Battle Of Waterloo is 0-11 on turf.
The old boy First Flight has dropped two stone since his best days. He didn’t get a clear run in the amateurs’ Cambridgeshire last Saturday on firm ground.
It’s an easier surface now and he was 32131 before that for absolutely no increase in his rating.
Flight could easily place and repay the handicapper’s kindness with a little flutter. I saw 12.5. I saw 9.8. I’ll charge First Flight to the account at 11.0
DAQMAN’S BETS
1.50 Newmarket (win 20)
BET 10pts win MAQSAD
2.25 Newmarket (⭐ supernap 1)
BET 20pts win PROMISSORY
3.00 Newmarket (win 20)
BET 2.5pts win and 1.5pts place BLISSFUL
3.35 Newmarket (⭐ supernap 2)
BET 20pts win KING OF COMEDY
5.20 Newmarket (win 20, win 10 place)
BET 2pts win and 4.5pts place FIRST FLIGHT
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