TOKEN PROFIT FOR FOUR WINNING DAYS: It was a long time coming yesterday but Daqman produced two winning bets towards the end of the day to finish pennies in front, taking him to four consecutive days without loss for 65 points profit. His returns came from:
WON 9-2 Bess Of Hardwick
WON (place lay) Ready Token (pulled up 13-2)
HAT-TRICK OF LAYS: TWO FOR A PLACE: Ready Token, going for the hat-trick himself yesterday, was Daqman’s third consecutive winning lay, as a front-runner stepping up to a marathon trip in the Durham National. Daqman bet he wouldn’t get a place in a nine-horse race. In fact, all three in the Daqman hat-trick failed to place.
WON (place lay) Oct 21: Cyrius Moriviere (unplaced 9-1)
WON (win lay) Oct 23: Three Musketeers (unplaced 7-4 favourite)
WON (place lay) Oct 27: Ready Token (pulled up 13-2)
TODAY: More cracks at the big odds with 28.0 and 17.0 bets. TOMORROW: Saturday special with Daqman 79, Pricewise 37 the current score in the run-in to the end of the season.
ELY HIT FOR FRANKEL BLUE-BLOODS
1.20 Newmarket As this column pointed out, Elyaasaat still had star-status billing in a recent draft of the official Breeders Cup Juvenile (Turf) programme.
He should launch his career successfully today, but I don’t think an eight-day double for an unraced two-year-old, even for a son of Frankel, is very likely! He’s obviously taken time to come to hand.
But next year’s Breeders’ Cup? Well, the Epsom Derby entry goes back to Height Of Fashion on the distaff side via his dam, who won the Breeders Cup Fillies and Mares (Turf).
There are other mighty mothers on display: Leshlaa, whose dam was sister to a Ribblesdale winner, opened as favourite in the BETDAQ orange early mouse; and Salt Whistle Bay’s dam is related to an Irish 2,000 Guineas winner. Blue On Blue has the benefit of a run.
But you don’t often get a Frankel launched at 3-1 or better in a class-4 maiden, with his first crop 54% winners to runners and 36% wins to runs.
The Frankel speed is clearly showing through in the stats: the wins to runs on good-to-firm ground are a staggering 63% (12 from 19).
Look out in the decs for tomorrow at Newmarket, in another maiden, when his once-raced daughter Ambrosia (ran green at Kempton) could reappear.
Here again, the dam’s side is superlative. Ambrosia is out of a sister to Giant’s Causeway who herself was sister to the dam of Marvellous and Gleneagles. We’re talking very blue blood indeed.
1.50 Newmarket The standout here on breeding is John Gosden’s Dubawi colt Loujain, half-brother to a Queen Mary winner. The dam, related to a 1,000 Guineas winner, goes back to Nashwan.
Makkaar is the one with the experience but the owner’s first colours are on Loujain. Again, you could get a very fair deal in the BETDAQ orange this morning, the price held up by Top Mission, same connections as Leshlaa in the opener but without much glamour in the breeding.
I took 4.1 Elyaasaat and 3.95 Loujain. You could back them stop at a winner, but you run the risk of losing the value price about Loujain.
YOU SHOULD BE ABLE TO TRADE OFF 17.0
2.25 Newmarket Results in the last three years show a 10-1 winner and two at 20-1. That’s what to expect from an end-of-season handicap.
All came from the bottom half of the weights, where Ocean Eleven will attempt a hat-trick from the front, yet has 17.0 offers on BETDAQ this morning, perfect for a trade.
Ocean Eleven faces a completely different surface today after success on soft and on manmade terrain at Chelmsford. But his sire did best on firmish ground.
The hot-pot in the race, Wadigor, pulverized a poor field at Wolverhampton. The sire won three Grade-1 races in Canada and America, and the dam is related to English Classic winners. Could be anything.
The worry is always that it’s a youngster’s second race that counts but he’s had a nice break since Wolver. If you don’t want to take around 3.35 (as was on BETDAQ this morning), he’s a saver for your outsider, in my case Ocean Eleven.
TRY THIS 28.0 TIMES YOUR STAKE…
3.00 Newmarket This is a quality renewal, with Mill Reef runner-up and Rockingham third, Perfect Angel, the obvious choice, if trainer Andrew Balding hadn’t such a poor strike-rate at Newmarket, particularly with two-year-olds (4%).
Saeed Bin Suroor (Easy Victory), Charlie Appleby (Romantic View with first-time cheekpieces) and Paul Cole (Dainty Dandy, hooded first time) have much better HQ records.
Easy Victory and Dainty Dandy have both lost their form but could bounce back with extra aids applied.
The one they wanted this morning was Spiritual Lady (in to 4.4 on BETDAQ), impressive in wins either side of being hampered in the Weatherbys Super Sprint at Newbury in the summer.
Peter Chapple-Hyam often wins with a late two-year-old (remember 33-1 Marcel taking the Racing Post Trophy last year!).
His well-bred Classical Times was badly drawn on the debut but shaped with a deal of promise and 28.0 (with 5.6 a place) was tempting this morning.
CONDITIONS FAVOUR LE PREZIEN LAUNCH
3.45 Uttoxeter Thanks to the presence of Champion Hurdle fifth Top Notch to make a price for me, I shall nap Le Prezien (3.55 this morning) to make a winning start over jumps.
He ran second in a Grade-1 hurdle at Aintree though, on hurdles form, still has 11lb to find with Top Notch.
But there is another gulf between them, this time in favour of Le Prezien. He wants top of the ground and will have his season geared to Aintree. Top Notch may need the winter bog.
DAQMAN’S BETS (each staked to win 20 points, unless stated)
BET 6pts win ELYAASAAT (1.20 Newmarket)
BET 6pts win LOUJAIN (1.50 Newmarket)
BET 1.25pts win and place OCEAN ELEVEN, plus (to win 10pts) 4pts win WADIGOR (2.25 Newmarket)
BET 5.8pts win SPIRUTUAL LADY, and 0.75pts win and place CLASSICAL TIMES (3.00 Newmarket)
BET 7.8pts win (nap) LE PREZIEN (3.45 Uttoxeter)
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