BETDAQ BETTORS BOOST THEIR PROFITS WITH THEIR OWN ODDS: You pays your money and you takes your choice. But is there more to betting than that? Yes, says Daqman. You can make much more with value on your side. Make value work for you twice over by betting with BETDAQ and standing by your own odds. It’s a double boost to your profits.
THREE BETS ON FRIDAY: Including a Wolverhampton NAP for DAQMAN in a race where the winner will get a fast-track ticket to the AW Championships.
HAVE FAITH IN BETDAQ VALUE
Trust yourself. This game is all about knowing what price is value. Like any other shopping around, you choose what you want and what to pay, avoiding the hype and spotting the bargains.
Your ultimate search is for gift horses the crowd has overlooked; they can be elusive, but the least you can do is stay on the right side, within an area of value.
That’s made easier for BETDAQ bettors because of the very low overrounds in the orange. Total percentages sub-110 mean that your are in a value betting race.
You’ve chosen your race. Now pick your horse. What offers look reasonable? What price would you take; what would you offer?
Be careful: there are still questions to be asked. You must ignore some stables at long odds (except in big fields): it stands to reason that a Mullins or a Henderson is a huge price in a small race because the market knows more than you.
Ask a lot more questions. One horse is offered much bigger than the forecast price; another is shorter. Why the apparent drifter? Is support for the shortener warranted and why?
You make your choice; now what price do you want, what offer will you make to other punters playing in the orange?
You must also decide what you want to win and how much you can afford to lose. For instance, on weekdays, the Daqman staking plan is usually about target profits in a framework of three horses so that one winner will pay for all and hopefully make a profit.
At weekends, betting comes alive in big fields, and the markets are stronger. Can you trust yourself yet to multiply your profits and create your own bonus?
Here’s how it’s done. If you think, say, Dashing Willoughby has a 9.0 chance (an 8-1 shot) and your staking plan is to target 50 points profit, then you need 6.25pts on.
But, heh, Dashing Willoughby is being offered at 14.0. What should you do? Reduce your stake?
No way.. Trust yourself! Stick to your guns and back the horse AS IF he is offered at 9.0, betting YOUR stake as if he is YOUR price to create YOUR own built-in bonus.
So 6.25pts x 14.0. If he wins, you make 81.25 instead of the 50 you originally hoped for. That’s 62.5% extra.
Is that real? In fact, the whole thing is real. The Dashing Willoughby situation really happened, and he really did win (the Queen’s Vase at Royal Ascot). See yesterdays’ column.
🗓️ Next week: Daqman’s favourite races and winningmost meetings.
INVITATIONAL TO GET HER INVITE
3.10 Wolverhampton A good opportunity for one runner awaits here as it’s a Ladbrokes-sponsored fast-track qualifier to the AW Championships.
The ratings point clearly towards the Roger Varian trained Invitational getting that invite. She won a French Listed race last time out – so has plenty of class but has also vital experience here winning over course and distance last April.
Her best effort though was probably in defeat when she was runner-up to Richenza in the Listed Boadicea Stakes at Newmarket. That was a huge effort (she was a 33/1 shot that day) and can notch up a win for a stable that don’t have many runners on the all-weather but do have a good strike-rate.
Rock On Baileys bounced back to form at Lingfield last time out in a four-runner contest but this looks much tougher.
3.20 Hereford The prevailing heavy ground should suit Misty Mai who has a heavy ground success at Ffos Las on her CV and is also a previous course and distance winner here.
The handicapper has dropped her 2lb after a couple of decent placed efforts and conditions look ideal.
She is preferred to BETDAQ favourite Kilcrea Bridge who had quite a tough race last time out and that was only four days ago.
7.15 Southwell Scott Dixon’s runner is probably better called Break The Sequence rather than Break The Silence and I’m always wary about a horse with recent form figures of 4322-2 but he is a real course specialist and this looks an easier task than he has been set of late.
He is being kept busy, as was second on New Year’s Day over a mile here and I think will be suited by the drop back in trip to today’s seven. He usually makes the running and might prove hard to peg back.
Of his main rivals, Bee Machine had back to back victories here in November and December but struggled off his revised mark of 59 last time out and gets no relief from the handicapper.
Elzaam’s Dream has shown some good all-weather form but as yet not on the Fibresand and it’s always better to wait for evidence when it comes to this unique surface.
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked to win 10 points each)
BET 11.6pts win (nap) INVITATIONAL (3.10 Wolverhampton)
BET 2,2pts win MISTY MAI (3.20 Hereford)
BET 5.0pts win BREAK THE SILENCE (7.15 Southwell)
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.
