YORK WAR AND PEACE: IT happens to the best and it happens to the rest, so I’m not naming the ITV Racing commentator who called Tolstoy the winner (didn’t I need that one at BETDAQ 16.0!) but he wasn’t in the first four at York yesterday. Tolstoy’s books included ‘What shall we do then?’ and ‘A Confession’. Today’s headlines:
IT’S INSANITY TO MISS 10.0
TRAWLERMAN THE BIG FISH
EGOLI DON’T YOU THINK..
A MURPHY v MOORE FINISH
IT’S INSANITY TO MISS 10.0
⭕ 1.50 York STATS: Four-year-olds have won 90% of the time. Apart from one ‘jt fav’, it’s been a whitewash for favourites, though seven times in the decade the winner has been between 5-1 and 11-1 at SP.
Roger Varian has won it twice with big weights but French Duke has not yet fired; his best form is at Goodwood, where the hood worked when applied last summer but he was slowly away there the last day.
Mount Atlas started the season with big ambitions (in the Rosebery, the Ormonde and the Duke Of Edinburgh) which kept him high in the handicap and he’s up another 7lb for his high-class dabbling.
It means that Insanity, half a length behind him at this time last year, is 22lb better off and Rossa Ryan has won two at York this week. Betdaq Betting Exchange 10.0 taken
TRAWLERMAN THE BIG FISH
⭕ 2.25 York (Lonsdale Cup): Team Gosden (four wins) is the leading stable in the decade and Trawlerman beat Dubai Future and Sweet William out of sight in the Ascot Gold Cup and dished out similar treatment to Al Nayyir in the Henry 11 Stakes at Sandown (2m) in May.
Course-winner Al Qareem (current form 31211) and Aidan O’Brien’s three-year-old Shackleton (first-time cheekpieces) are up in trip, so hard to assess.
EGOLI DON’T YOU THINK..
⭕ 3.00 York (Gimcrack Stakes): LAYS LOGIC: Ed Walker hopes that first-time cheekpieces for his likely favourite will finally save the maiden’s blushes (form 2223) after his seconds in the Coventry and the July Stakes.
The July Stakes winner dominated Do Or Do Not again when he was only third in the Vintage at Goodwood.
Irish Fighter was fifth in the Super Sprint at Newbury in July but the winner, Anthelia, and the fifth, Raakeb, were both out of the frame here yesterday in the Half Million, won by Song Of The Clyde.
That’s a boost for Egoli, who beat Song Of The Clyde at Newbury in July. Egoli then found at Goodwood that the centre ground had no chance with the near side. BETDAQ 5.2 taken.
A MURPHY v MOORE FINISH
⭕ 3.35 York (Nunthorpe Stakes, Group 1): LAYS LOGIC The market wants to ‘get’ three three-year-olds and two aged two who have limited credentials on the stats.
Only one two-year-old has won in 33 years and just five aged three this century.
The Molecomb winner at Goodwood, Lady Iman, gets ‘wow’ status from Ger Lyons. He even knows her next target: the Breeders Cup Juvenile, which he won last year with Magnum Force.
You can’t condemn enthusiasm but another two-year-old, Spicy Marg (Michael Bell), won at Goodwood in a time slightly faster than Lady Iman.
And Tim Easterby’s runner-up in that race, Revival Power, drops down to Listed level here at York tomorrow.
Top-rated of the second-season contingent is Arizona Blaze, who lost by a neck in the Commonwealth Cup, with the fourth, Sayidah Dariyan, having beaten last year’s Lowther winner, Celandine, here at York in July.
Ryan Moore, now on Sayidah Dariyan, drawn 2 on the far side, knows Mgheera and, therefore, the three-year-olds form because he was runner-up on that one when Arizona Blaze won at the Curragh.
Asfoora led the centre group when fourth last year but Oisin Murphy seems sure to utilise that far rail from stall 5 today.
Betdaq Betting Exchange 10 each this morning Asfoora and Sayidah Dariyan
DAQMAN’S BETS on Betdaq Betting Exchange
1.50 York (win-50 bull’s-eye bet)
BET 5pts win and place INSANITY
(place taken to win 8 points)
BET 4pts to win 10 MOUNT ATLAS
★★ 2.25 York (supernap)
BET 20pts win TRAWLERMAN
3.00 York (win 20)
BET 5pts win EGOLI
3.35 York (win-50 bull’s-eye bets)
BET 5pts win ASFOORA
BET 5pts win SAYIDAH DARIYAN
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