WINNER A DAY AS DAQMAN LAUNCHES A WEEK OF BIG RACES: He’s your star man! It’s winner-a-day Daqman again at the start of a big week of racing at Doncaster, the Curragh and Leopardstown. Look out for daily previews as he starts the week with bets from Leicester and Windsor.
Sunday: profit on the day 3.35
✔️ WON 7-2 STARMAN
✔️ WON (4th 11-2) w/p BOMA GREEN
Saturday: Fortune Cookies double
✔️ WON 5-2 DREAM OF DREAMS
✔️ WON 1-14 ENABLE
Friday: profit on the day 18.00
✔️ WON 9-4 ZEEBAND (nap)
✔️ WON 9-2 LAAFY
Thursday: second nap up in three days
✔️ WON 6-5 LIGHTS ON
LONGCHAMP’S NEW KING COLT AND PRINCE OF JOCKEYS: King of the milers? Yes, possibly. Prince of jockeys? Not far off (look behind you Frankie Dettori). That’s Daqman’s verdict on the winning combination in the Prix Moulin at Longchamp yesterday. He adds to this personal blog half a dozen big-odds winners but can’t say ‘I told you so’ because he didn’t tip them or back them himself..
BOUDOT THE PIGGOTT OF PARIS
It’s not what you miss; it’s what you back that counts. Somehow the old racing adage serves to ease the pain a little, preferred to a self-inflicted kicking when you’ve ignored your own advice or overlooked something you knew all along.
During the lockdown, when I was writing every day about racing in France and Germany, I raved on about Pierre-Charles Boudot. I shall now refer to him as the Piggott of France. That’s Dettori but crafty and making it look easy.
Poised on 150 winners for the year yesterday, he gave a masterclass of confidence and technique at Longchamp when, as they like to do, Ballydoyle tried to pinch the Prix Du Moulin from the front.
But, with Ryan Moore working harder on Circus Maximus in the straight, and most of the field a desperately long way back, Boudot was still restraining Persian King on Ryan’s blindside, seemingly standing up in the irons at one stage.
As he cruised past on the rail, it looked like a typical case of two top jockeys allowed to run loose and taking the rest of the field for a ride.
So I did a double-take when the times of the meeting came up, and the Moulin was the only race run faster than average. It was like Serpentine had been caught in the Derby by something waiting on his shoulder.
Students of ‘that sort of thing’ will no doubt respond with the ‘fractionals,’ but my view is that if you’re taking on a Ballydoyle flyer, who almost smugly lets you have the rail, and you glide by like a Mercedes hunting down a Kia you must know you have some horse under you!
I hope we’ll see Persian King take on more of the magical milers that we have in abundance this year (the Champion Stakes?). Boudot in the saddle, of course.
I had just recovered from totting up not one mistake but a whole sequence in my failure to follow my own advice after this Daqman headline of August 3rd in Betdaq Tips:
EASTERBY SECOND-HALF SCORER
I declared: ‘My tip for the second half of the season is Tim Easterby, currently languishing on a poor strike rate of 7% but with plenty of unexposed sorts in the pipeline.’
Since then Tim has rampaged through the handicaps, with not a sausage to show for it by yours truly. As Frankie Howerd might have put it: ’Oh, dilatory Daqman!’ Here are just some of what I’ve missed in the last 11 days:
WON 25-1 Mr Carpenter Tim Easterby, York, September 6
WON 20-1 Music Society Tim Easterby, Ayr, September 1
WON 18-1 East Street Review Tim Easterby, Beverley, August 27
WON 12-1 Dance King Tim Easterby, Ripon, August 31
WON 11-1 Count d’Orsay Tim Easterby, Haydock, September 5
WON 15-2 Hyperfocus Tim Easterby, Haydock, September 4
WON 6-1 Autumn Flight Tim Easterby, Thirsk, September 4
Lucky seven? I don’t think. This man knows what he’s doing. So follow Easterby and retire! Too late now, of course, unless you’re one who took the advice I myself ignored.
PROGRESSIVE SANSEVERO TO STRIKE
⭕ 3.20 Leicester The first of two class 3 races on the Leicester card which is as good as it gets on Monday.
In this one, over seven furlongs, it might be worth sticking with Sansevero who is by some way the least exposed runner in the race.
James Tate is in good form (3 wins from last 16 runners) and Sansevero was well fancied on debut going off at 11/8 and winning well at Chelmsford.
He followed that up by finishing second on his turf debut to Ajyaall at Haydock who at face value let the form down by finishing second at 2/5 at Wolverhampton on Saturday night but I watched that race and he lost all chance at the start by rearing as the stalls opened and did pretty well to be beaten just half a length in the circumstances. So he was the moral, if not official, winner.
Sansevero’s starting handicap mark of 82 doesn’t look too onerous and he is preferred to current BETDAQ favourite Irreverent who was beaten in a blanket finish at Haydock last time out but the suspicion remains that he is best over a mile.
A MARVELLOUS NAP
⭕ 4.25 Leicester Another class 3, this time over five furlongs and its looks competitive despite the six runner field.
Preference goes to Tis Marvellous who should benefit from both the drop back in trip and huge drop in class.
He has been plying his trade in Group 1 and Group 3 company in three starts this season at Ascot, Sandown and Newbury and not running badly either.
How good does his 3 1/4 length fourth to Battaash in the King’s Stand Stakes at Ascot look in the context of this race?
If anything, it is a surprise to see him dropped to this level but it should hopefully prove to be nothing other than a confidence booster and the BETDAQ 3.0 looks generous enough.
Al Raya is another class dropper who was in too deep in the Qatar Stakes at Goodwood but looks the danger based on his previous second at York.
ZORAN FOR PALMER
⭕ 6.00 Windsor A very modest card by the Thames today with only Zoran standing out to me.
Huge Palmer’s runner has new headgear but doesn’t need to improve much to land this – based on a good run at Redcar last time out.
The trainer is 3 from 11 over the last 14 days and jockey Tom Marquand fresh from a York double yesterday.
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked to win 10 points)
BET 2.3pts win SANSEVERO (3.20 Leicester)
BET 5.0pts win (nap) TIS MARVELLOUS (4.25 Leicester)
BET 3.9pts win ZORAN (6.00 Windsor)
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro.. Or just 10p to win!
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.