ONLY THE BEST WILL DO: Which horses do you want to follow from the three days at Cheltenham? Daqman has decided to base his Fortune Cookies on the races that provide big winners. He has the first two today and will update every week.
AND ONLY BETDAQ VALUE: His next step for the new season is to spotlight value on BETDAQ, starting tomorrow with part two of the Daqman Plan.
LAUNCHING THE DAQMAN PLAN
What can you do? Proschema on Saturday and Oscar Elite yesterday were jumping a treat, carrying the Daqman cash as if to capitalise on it, for sure. Both fell late on.
What can you do? Paul Nicholls vanguard for the first two days at Cheltenham ran moderately, with finishing positions 6524363.
But yesterday he won the first two races, turning over hot favourites in the process, and adding the last race almost flippantly with Timeforatune!
What can you do? Protektorat, set back by a bad mistake early on in Saturday’s feature race, finishes like the proverbial train and is beaten threeparts of a length for a win-50 bet.
ANSWER-1 In stakes races, follow the right horses to a staking plan instead of chopping and changing, and hoping for the best. Follow Fortune Cookies.
ANSWER-2 In big-race handicaps, decide the price you want and only take odds of that value or higher. Follow BETDAQ value.
Today I’m looking at Answer No 1, changing the face of Fortune Cookies by following winners of the kingmaker races. Here goes:
FIRST TWO FORTUNE COOKIES
Follow the kingmaker races. Starting with last week’s three-day Cheltenham meeting, we nominate winners or clear-best indicators in the game-changing races. They will be Fortune Cookie horses to follow.
For example, Daqman told you in his preview: ‘The Ballymore novice hurdle is the race to watch for the future!
“Fingal Bay, Coneygree, Parlour Games, On the Blind Side and Thyme Hill have all won it in the decade, going on to land festival honours in such as the Pertemps Final and even the Gold Cup”.
BLAZING KHAL was the winner, blazing a trail to the Albert Bartlett in March with a top-class performance at Cheltenham on Friday for Charles Byrnes under jockey Donal McInerney.
PROTEKTORAT is second on the list, recovering from an early mishap to power through the Autumn Gold Cup field but with Midnight Shadow just hanging to his lead. Paddy Brennan for Fergal O’Brien. His destiny is Aintree for the Manifesto.
INVICTUS SHOULD PROVE TWO GOOD
⭕ 12.45 Plumpton Sad to report – not for the first time this season – that the classiest race of the day, the most Plumptious, has only two runners.
The way they’re running for me this week, I can pick the loser in a two-horse race but it’s hard to oppose the lengthy odds-on BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE favourite Annual Invictus who won twice here over hurdles and has made a cracking start over fences with a win at the Cheltenham October meeting.
The odds make it a no bet, coupled with the unpredictability of two horse races as we witnessed only a few days ago at Cheltenham with Gin On Lime v My Drogo.
ROBIN GETS RED TICK
⭕ 1.30 Leicester Robinshill is an autumn horse: he won twice in November, 2017; once in October 2018; and landed a hat-trick in October–November last year, straight from a break like today and this is also a drop in class for the Twiston-Davies trained runner.
The Skelton’s team up with Colden’s Dream who still needs to find more improvement but that can’t be ruled out whilst Alborkan should improve for his return run at Plumpton which followed a break of around three months.
NUMBERS ADDING UP FOR TIZZARD
⭕ 2.15 Plumpton Colin Tizzard was unlucky with his sole tilt at the Cheltenham three days when Oscar Elite fell three out.
Today, Numbers Man is his sole runner here, a five-year-old unexposed but stepped up on his hurdles form in his first chase, when second at Ffos Las a month ago.
He has only to live up to a fraction of his pedigree promise: related to Master Of The Hall, Pairofbrowneyes, Samcro, Sound Man.. all down the dam’s side.
Light N Strike has been well backed a couple of times in his bridesmaid career of 2203322. Another drop in his rating and now has 10lb claimer after wind ops.
Only Money has actually won a race; two, in fact. A bumper in early 2019 and a strange handicap chase in May when they went so fast early that the pacemaker (who was favourite) blew up and tried to refuse, the whole race collapsing.
MR YEATS AND JEN
⭕ 2.45 Plumpton They used to see UFOs over Warminster. Now the flying objects can be identified as Milton Harris’s string being set up for winner after winner (five out of eight up to a week ago).
One of them, the four–year-old Mr Yeats, goes for a hat-trick here, while the going is good (literally).
Despite his two wins he is still a pound lower than he was in the Spring, carrying a 7lb penalty yet receiving 19lb and more from all of his rivals, except Harry Hazard.
I can’t see any punter getting wild about Harry, who was 100-1, 125-1, 150-1 and 200-1 in his early races, and in the only one for which they put the money down – here at Plumpton – he was beaten 34 lengths at 13-2.
The alternative to Mr Yeats must be Jen’s Boy, who led most of the way here on the first day of the month but was headed approaching the last and finished fourth. I’ll take the two for a WIN 10 on both.
DAQMAN’S BETS
1.30 Leicester (win 10)
BET 1.3pts win ROBINSHILL
2.15 Plumpton (win 10, nap) * (see note below)
BET 4.0pts win NUMBERS MAN
2.45 Plumpton (both win 10)
BET 1.9pts win JEN’S BOY
BET 5.0pts win MR YEATS
* Apologies due to a production error, the wrong selection was published for this race earlier on Monday.
It appeared as:
BET 4pts win (nap) ONLY MONEY
Whereas the selection should have read as above, the headline selection in the race, ie:
BET 4pts win (nap) NUMBERS MAN
For fairness both will apply in Daqman accounting.
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
