DETTORI ADVERTISES DAQMAN’S TIPPING POWER: Daqman increased his lead over Pricewise with Advertise (WON 11-5) in the Prix Maurice de Gheest at Deauville yesterday continuing Frankie Dettori’s run of Group-1 winners (now 12 in 2019). The score rises to 54-26, with Daqman 296 points clear to 10-point level stakes. He also said farewell to the Galway Races with another example of the huge overs available on BETDAQ if you spot the morning value.
WON 11-5 ADVERTISE (Deauville)
WON (3rd 10-1) w/p CHESS GRAND MASTER (Galway, 22.0 BETDAQ)
IRELAND HOLDS THE TWO-YEAR-OLDS SPOTLIGHT: It’s an Irish Heads Up today, looking forward to the Classic potential of the Phoenix Stakes, top two-year-olds test at the Curragh on Friday, and spotting trainers who have done well this week over the years.
PHOENIX: O’BRIEN HAS WON 16 TIMES
⚠️ HEADS UP: The seven Irish race meetings this week are expected to bring another winners harvest for Aidan O’Brien and Willie Mullins, if results fall their way as in the past.
Some interesting names figure strongly at this time. Trainers are creatures of habit, so you have been warned.
Leading Irish trainers this week over the decade have been Aidan O’Brien 21, Willie Mullins 13, John Patrick Ryan 8, Tony Martin 7, Dermot Weld 7, Jessica Harrington 6, Joseph O’Brien 5, Margaret Mullins 4, Gordon Elliott 3, Jim Bolger 3, Colin Bowe 3, Niall Madden 3.
⚠️ HEADS UP: Friday’s Curragh feature is one of the most influential two-year-old tests, the Phoenix Stakes. Aidan O’Brien has won it seven times in the decade and 16 times overall. Last year’s winner, Advertise, won yesterday’s Prix Maurice de Gheest under Frankie Dettori.
Advertise’s Phoenix last year was the first English success in the race since 1997: the last seven Phoenix winners were drawn 1 to 5 and stalls positions could help decide between the likely heavyweight contenders: A’Ali for Simon Crisford (Norfolk Stakes and Robert Papin winner) and Arizona for Aidan O’Brien (Coventry Stakes).
⚠️ HEADS UP: Nothing so far, not even Arizona or Ballydoyle stablemate Siskin, has threatened the Classics-markets supremacy of Pinatubo, clear in 2020 Guineas and Derby betting.
The Phoenix could change all that but which colt can knock Pinatubo off his perch after his four wins in a row including the Chesham at Royal Ascot and the Vintage Stakes at Goodwood last week, when he strode five lengths clear of his field?
THAT MAN AGAIN TO GO TO WAR WITH
2.15 Kempton A competitive mile handicap at first glance but it could well develop into a match between the pair that bring the best recent form to the table Mutasaamy and Stormbomber.
Mutasaamy hails from Roger Varian’s stable that are going well but I have a question mark over Mutasaamy’s all-weather form. He only beat one home on debut at Newcastle when beaten 22 lengths and then reappeared (after wind surgery) to finish seventh at Chelmsford.
He comes here on the back of his best effort to date when second to Mayfair Spirit at Haydock but that came on good to soft ground and whether he can reproduce that level of form back on the all-weather is questionable.
I prefer the profile of Stormbomber who does at least have proven recent form on the all-weather surface. He arrives on the back of a good spin at Wolverhampton when a neck second to favourite Toro Dorado. The improved run didn’t escape the attention of the handicapper as he has been hiked up 3lb but it looks solid enough form and I’m not sure this race will take much winning.
3.00 Ripon I highlighted the good recent form of P J McDonald last week and he can continue where he left off last week at Glorious Goodwood.
Slimmer pickings in this class 4 handicap but he should prove hard to beat on War Brigade who is both dropping in class and gets the give in the ground he relishes.
The fast ground at Salisbury last time out went against him but if you look three starts ago at his run at Goodwood when a neck second to Rake’s Progress (good to soft ground) you would have to give him a major chance off the same mark of 69 here.
Auxiliary is an in and out performer who might just now be in the grips of the handicapper. He was well beaten at York last time out and his trainer Liam Bailey is winless from 11 runners over the past two weeks. He looks short in the BETDAQ market on this basis.
3.30 Ripon A competitive sprint handicap – a race that David Chapman would have relished having a crack at and it’s named in his memory.
I’m hoping the door will at last open for Muscika – he ran a belter at York last week when a neck second to Dakota Gold in what looked a much better race (and indeed was a class 2) and if in the same kind of form today he should take a lot of beating off just a 1lb higher mark.
Dalton is down in class but out of form and a bigger danger might come from Bossipop who is a triple course and distance winner.
DAQMAN’S BETS (all win 10 today):
BET 4.4pts win STORMBOMBER (2.15 Kempton)
BET 5.5pts win (nap) WAR BRIGADE (3.00 Ripon)
BET 2.5pts win MUSCIKA (3.30 Ripon)
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