2-1 DAQMAN NAP WINS FIRST TIME ON A RACECOURSE: Daqman napped the unknown, unraced Sir John Hawkins (WON 2-1) at The Curragh yesterday. He followed the 100-30 Irish 2,000 winner, Magician, with the 1,000 winner, Just The Judge (WON 2-1), and also tipped Leading Light (WON 4-6).
BANK HOLIDAY GOLD AT 8.2 AND 14.0: Daqman found Bank Holiday gold this morning at 8.2 and 14.0 on BETDAQ. ‘Gold value’ is when he opposes the favourite in a race where the offers add up to less than 110%.
DERBY DAYS AHEAD: STAY WITH DAQMAN: Look out for a super four-day Classic sequence later this week: Thursday, Derby ABC; Friday, The Oaks at Epsom; Saturday, the Derby; Sunday the French Derby.
OAKS ABC TOMORROW: Don’t miss Daqman’s exclusive stats-and-facts look at Friday’s Oaks tomorrow. Wednesday: fill your wallet for the Classics with his special on the evening meetings at Beverley and the Kempton (four BETDAQ races).
CARLISLE What is it with Carlisle? In the sequence of five handicaps from 2.40 to 4.55 (the last race is a new one), no young horses have ever won. No four-year-olds. No three-year-olds. Not a one.
Winning ages for a total of 24 past results in the sequence of five races tally up as 5yo 12, 6yo 3, 7yo 4, 8yo 3, 9yo 2.
Only light showers, if any, are expected at the course, so the ground is likely to remain on the firm side of good, hence the defection of Lady Chaparral, who was a standout on the age factor.
Her trainer, Michael Dods, in great form with four winners from eight runners in four days last week, has also taken out two of his three in the Carlisle Bell Trial (4.20), relying on winter-gelded Rock Supreme.
Only Miami Gator two years ago reached the frame in this and went on to win the Bell itself in June, so don’t get carried away by the race as a ‘trial.’
Shadowtime alone among the older horses has won on firm ground in today’s field but seems to prefer Beverley (six wins) and is 00000 at Carlisle.
I’ll have a punt on that Rock Supreme, lightly raced and very highly tried in a Group 3 and a Tattersalls Millions and hopefully showing something at home in gallops with the Dods flood of winners: 14.0 in a 107% list of offers in the BETDAQ orange.
At the front of the market, Pacific Heights is a maiden, Coral Sands has won only on soft, while Sound Advice and Staff Sergeant are both front-runners, likely to cut each others throats and each one unlikely, according to past results, to put back-to-back wins together.
CARTMEL Since returning from injury, Tony McCoy has been winning with horses that shouldn’t, as he bids to build up the usual invincible lead in the jump jockeys’ table.
He takes over from a 7lb claimer on Temple Lord (3.05), one of only two horses in the race to have won on good-to-firm ground. The other one, Indian Groom, steps up in trip.
It’s the reverse problem with Epee Celeste, who is likely to take them along: though he’s a dual winner at Cartmel, we’re talking 3m 2f and this looks on the short side unless he can forge an unassailable lead.
Kilcrea Asla belies his years but the most likely danger is Storming Gale, who now looks well in with Diamond Frontier on Newcastle form.
Rosslyn Castle (2.30) is a McCoy mount of potential: I had this one on my Flat horses-to-follow list last season after he beat Gabrial The Great at the Chester May meeting, penciling in the St Leger, but he was disappointing afterwards and left Roger Charlton.
McCoy has ridden him before for Gary Brown and could find the key to him, though today’s worry for a son of Selkirk is the firm ground. Rain would alter things but, if it fails to arrive in any quantity, I shall back Allowed, who looked interesting over hurdles at Kempton and has waited for the summer ground.
Aazif was a mile better than Cape Explorer at levels and I can’t see the positions reversed, but giving a stone to Allowed and Rosslyn Castle is a different matter.
REDCAR Luca Cumani is 311 in the Zetland Gold Cup (4.00). Both winners were four-year-olds like Gabrial The Great but there is a question-mark over that one today because of the ground.
The Montjeu gelding – this is his first run after the op – has won both his races on the soft but no rain is forecast for the Redcar area, and Gabrial eased to 11.5 this morning.
Roger Charlton thinks he has a Royal Ascot horse in Silver Lime, already a close third on that track over 1m 4f on firmish ground. While today’s surface should suit, the worry is the drop back in trip.
Eshtibaak improved at Chester and he’s won a race at Lingfield. If those runs mean he needs a turning track, then Redcar’s long straights may find him out, though he seemed well fancied this morning.
Clon Brulee is up in grade (class 4 to class 2) and up in the ratings so a lot to prove. Toruk Macto brings Turkish form to the table, while Tahaamah has raced four grades lower than this and attempting our equivalent of class 3 was his undoing in Meydan.
So it is that I’m trusting James Doyle to get the best out of Silver Lime (8.2 on BETDAQ this morning in 109% orange), despite the shorter trip. After all, he won on him over 1m 3f on an easy track, Goodwood.
WINDSOR Richard Hughes has seven rides on the eight-race Windsor card. William Haggas books top jockeys for solo raids on Carlisle (Danat Al Atheer 3.50, Graham Lee) and Leicester (Fersah 5.10, Paul Hanagan) and he’s the man for your Bank Holiday yankee.
Haggas and Hughes team up in the last here with Mama Quilla (6.00), a well-bred sort who has taken time to get her head in front. The disappointing Running Deer, beaten favourite the last twice, makes a price for her.
DAQMAN’S BETS
BET 6.6pts win ALLOWED and 4pts win ROSSLYN CASTLE (2.30 Cartmel)
BET 4pts win TEMPLE LORD and 3.5pts win STORMING GALE (3.05 Cartmel)
GOLD VALUE BET: 4pts win SILVER LIME (4.00 Redcar)
GOLD VALUE BET: 2.3pts win ROCK SUPREME (4.20 Carlisle)
BET 8pts win (nap) MAMA QUILLA (6.00 Windsor)
DAQ MULTIPLES BANK-HOLIDAY YANKEE: Danat Al Atheer (3.50 Carlisle), Rock Supreme (4.20 Carlisle), Fersah (5.10 Leicester), Mama Quilla (6.00 Windsor)
DAQMAN’S TARGET: Only the value bets are staked for a 30-point profit. The rest have 20 points as the win target, except the multiples.
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