STILL IN GEAR WITH TRANSMISSION (10-3): After more than 110 points profit at the Grand National meeting, including 7-1 I Am Maximus in the big’un, Daqman’s winning drive continued yesterday with Transmission (WON 100-30) for nine strikes in five days, three of them naps.
WHERE THE CLASSIC WINNERS COME FROM: Starting today, and on the opening day of Newmarket tomorrow, Daqman checks out the top three-year-olds and their trials on the way to the Guineas and Derbys of 2024.
TODAY: Leading three-year-olds on the ratings.
TOMORROW: Full survey of the Classic trials which start on Wednesday.
‘NO CITY LIMITS’: QUOTE O’BRIEN
Three-year-olds of 2024: COLTS
125 CITY OF TROY (Aidan O’Brien) Unbeaten in three starts, winning the Superlative Stakes at Newmarket and following up impressively there in the Dewhurst. Long-striding with ‘unnatural ability,’ quote Aidan O’Brien; ’we can never find his limit.’
119 HENRY LONGFELLOW (Aidan O’Brien) Undefeated Dubawi colt out of the Galileo mare, Minding. Twice beat Islandsinthestream, odds on each time and by a widening margin, in the Futurity and then the National Stakes, both at the Curragh during the summer, good to yielding each time.
119 VANDEEK (Simon and Ed Crisford) Grey who beat Ramatuelle and River Tiber in the Morny and was impressive in winning the Middle Park from Task Force and River Tiber. Entered in the Irish 2,000 Guineas.
117 ROSALLION (Richard Hannon) Blue Point out of a New Approach mare; third on soft in the Champagne at Doncaster (soft) but readily beat Unquestionable on better ground for the Lagardere
114 UNQUESTIONABLE (Aidan O’Brien) Wootton Bassett out of a Sea The Stars mare. Length runner-up to Rosallion in the Lagardere and won the Breeders Cup Juvenile on firm.
Three-year-olds of 2024: FILLIES
118 OPERA SINGER (Aidan O’Brien) By the sire of 2023, Justify, out of a Sadlers Wells mare. Went clear in the Marcel Boussac in October but runner-up Rose Bloom was beaten at Longchamp on Sunday and the third, Les Pavots, failed to act on firm in the Breeders Cup.
112 YLANG YLANG (Aidan O’Brien) By Frankel out of a Shamardal half-sister to a Grade-1 winner in America. Won the Fillies Mile at Newmarket (soft) from Shuwari, reversing earlier Rockfel form with that one.
THE PHOENIX HAS RISEN
⭕ 5.20 Windsor It’s Monday, it’s summer and it’s Windsor (well two out of three ain’t bad). Wrap up well if you are heading to the track today as it’s windy, wet, cold and pretty miserable.
The card looks ultra tough too but Phoenix Passion made some appeal in the mile handicap.
Despite having only had six races, Ed Walker’s runner has been campaigned at everything from seven furlongs to 1m 2f but has definitely shown his best form over this trip including a win at Yarmouth.
There was also plenty to like about his recent run at Kempton where he finished third over this trip after a break. He was a big drifter in the market the day so presumably ran better than pre-race expectations.
The biggest positive though is probably the weakness of his opposition. Jack Channon’s Amancio looks the danger – despite being an eight race maiden. His form overall is probably just about good enough and he wasn’t beaten far in a class 4 at Goodwood (class 5 here) but that came on soft ground.
PEARL’S A WINNER
⭕ 6.30 Kempton Wadacre Grace heads the morning Betdaq Betting Exchange market but is not one that I would be in a rush to back at short prices.
The Charlie Johnston trained mare is a consistent enough performer and does particularly well here but might just be vulnerable to the less exposed Ciara Pearl who is running under a 5lb penalty following her success a week ago at Lingfield on her handicap debut – tipped by Daqman at 5/2 and I’m keeping the faith!
It’s likely she’ll improve further – certainly enough to counter the penalty and might still be well in here in a contest that might be dominated by this pair.
BE ON YOUR GUARD
⭕ 8.00 Kempton The market has made its mind up. Imperial Guard has already won this (now) three runner race.
Forecast a 5/4 chance by the Racing Post this morning (which looked about right) he is now around 1/2 which is far too short – even allowing for the market correction after the defection of Ziggy’s Dream.
Andrew Balding’s runner hasn’t done much wrong but he starts life on the same handicap mark as Jubilee Walk so if the handicapper is even halfway close to being right why such a massive differential in price?
Jubilee Walk has a similar profile – progress in all three starts culminating in a Salisbury win.
Similar form – massively different prices. Daqman can only play this one way.
DAQMAN’S BETS:
5.20 Windsor (win 10, nap)
BET 3.3pts win PHOENIX PASSION
6.30 Kempton (win 10)
BET 3.3pts win CIARA PEARL
8.00 Kempton (win 10)
BET 2.8pts JUBILEE WALK
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
Did you know? DAQMAN’s tips are posted each and every day so he’s always on hand to help with your horse racing betting.
