CHELTENHAM COUNTDOWN ON BETDAQ: Cheltenham starts two weeks tomorrow and Daqman makes a daily check this week on the BETDAQ markets. Next week don’t miss his famous See How They Won, an advance stats analysis of the Cheltenham cards, with ante-post bets.
11.0 HIDDEN HORSE AND EVENING NAP: Today Daqman looks at in-form stables and finds a ‘hidden horse’ at 11.0 in the betting at Wolverhampton tonight, where a sprinter is napped first time out.
ROCK SOLID TEST TOMORROW
DAY-BY-DAY CHELTENHAM COUNTDOWN: Tuesday, March 14.
⭕ 2.10 Arkle Challenge Trophy Which way will Joseph O’Brien go with Banbridge, who is out to 11.0 in the BETDAQ exchange market for this, but could switch to the longer Turners Novices (1.30 Thursday), for which he is 5.2 behind Mighty Potter.
⭕ 4.10 Mares Hurdle Lays Logic is to oppose the two Champion Hurdle winners, Honeysuckle and Epatante, who drop back to this mares-only race now that their glory days are done.
Yet they remain favourites at 3.0 and 6.2 to back, while offers are invited for in the lay coliumn.
Last year’s winner, Maries Rock, is 3-1 and 100-30 with bookmakers but big at 5.2 on the BETDAQ Exchange.
Interesting that Marie’s Rock joins Epatante and Constitution Hill tomorrow in Nicky Henderson’s final racecourse gallops at Kempton. Teams from David Pipe and Jonjo O’Neill will also be there.
⭕ 5.30 National Hunt Chase Churchstonewarrior offers down to as low as 9.8 on BETDAQ have been taken for Jonathan Sweeney’s Cork-based Mahler eight-year-old out of a Westerner mare.
The Warrior turned over another Mahler, John O’Connell’s Mahler Mission, at Navan in the Ten Up Novice Chase two weeks back, yet Mahler Mission is shorter in the BETDAQ Exchange market as I write.
‘HIDDEN’ SOCIETY RED 11.0
⭕ 2.45 Ayr today Daryl Jacob gets the ride on L’Anamour again after their stylish CD win here at the start of the year.
The ground was heavy that day so it was feasible for a horse to win over 2m when he is bred to stay 3m.
I just prefer Benassi, a Westerner out of a mare by Oscar, sent up by Olly Murphy, who has saddled four winners in the last week, including Brewin’upastorm yesterday.
BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE 3.35 Benassi
⭕ 3.00 Plumpton Chris Gordon is striking at 31%. He’s had 85 winners on this course, including Blame The Game twice.
Blame The Game had won four out of five – three of them chases – on good ground when he stepped up in grade and trip on the soft at Plumpton.
Still they backed him but he was headed in the final strides, as favourite under Tom Cannon. It cost him a 5lb rise.
Today the eight-year-old drops back to his favourite trip at his favourite course on his favoured ground with Freddie Gordon claiming 3lb. BETDAQ 3.6 taken.
⭕ 5.30 Wolverhampton Society Red, who scored here over CD a year back, has dropped to his last winning mark. Hidden horse of the day.
Eireaan Cagney is riding with a 40% strike rate (2-5) in England this year. Trainer Richard Fahey is 46% (6-13).
Betdaq Betting Exchange value 11.0 Society Red
ROW IN WITH THE BOATMAN
⭕ 7.00 Wolverhampton In the good old bad old days we used to back sprinters with big weights, providing they were running on a downhill track.
The idea was that they would build up a bigger momentum than the lightweights. It was also obvious that those with not much weight had not much speed, or they wouldn’t be down the handicap.
Richard Hughes’ last eight runners have all finished in the first four and, though the AW at Wolverhampton isn’t the helter-skelter of the downhill tracks at Brighton, Epsom and Goodwood, I was on The Thames Boatman when he won here at Wolver in the autumn.
He made all over 6f that day and is an animal with momentum here, with Hughsie also hoping to regain the career momentum of his jockey, Finley Marsh.
The trainer supported him through the bad times and wants to see him improve on his 46 winners for the stable.
Hughsie had a winner at Lingfield on Saturday in a similar situation: first time back for Kimngrace in a 5f sprint
Erosion Risk is another with weight but is still a maiden with a frustrating string of five seconds and two thirds.
Paddy’s Day, top weight of them all here, hasn’t won since breaking his maiden in his very first race.
That’s almost always a bad sign, that the animal learnt nothing from that victory but to remember not to reach the stage in a race when he feels the stitch.
Wreck It Ryley is a recent winner and Grant Tuer has just had two from three at Newcastle, so he may have been able to keep him at peak.
BETDAQ value 3.75 The Thames Boatman
DAQMAN’S BETS
2.45 Ayr (win 10)
BET 4.35pts win BENASSI
3.00 Plumpton (win 10)
BET 3.75pts win BLAME THE GAME
5.30 Wolverhampton (win 20)
BET 2pts win and place SOCIETY RED
7.00 Wolverhampton (win 10, nap)
BET 3.75pts win THE THAMES BOATMAN
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