88 BEST BETS UP IN 2023 SO FAR: A day-by-day audit of Daqman’s naps this year puts a figure of 88 on his number of winners. He’s just had three up out of four but revises his target for the year according to the average for each month. The nap was second yesterday but he kept up his winning sequence with nine-lengths scorer General Medrano (WON 11-8).
CESAREWITCH PREVIEW: Look out this week for Daqman’s guide to the big weekend handicap, the Cesarewitch, with his two-year-olds to follow engaged in the Dewhurst and Fillies Mile.
DAQMAN HOPES TO HIT 113 NAPS
8️⃣8️⃣ winning naps for Daqman since January 1 suggests that his forecast of 100 naps for the year is short of the mark. If he continues at the rate recorded here, he would reach 113, allowing for a short month in December. Here are the best-priced winning naps each month with that month’s total.
The burst of winning action in January and April – 14 each month – suggests that the start of the year and the start of the Flat are bonus times for the nap, striking at almost 50%.
WON 9-2 GREY DAWNING January 14
WON 7-2 MOONLIGHTER
WON 10-3 HONNEUR D’AJONC
WON 9-4 THERE IS NO DOUBT
WON 3-1 EARL OF TYRONE February 7
WON 8-11 MOUNT ATHOS March 7
WON 11-2 BANDINELLI April 14
WON 13-8 BEARWITH May 13
WON 13-8 METABOLT June 4
WON 10-3 FARH TO SHY July 10
WON 3-1 GALLANT LION
WON 5-2 ASTAPOR
WON 5-2 MATTERS MOST
WON 5-2 SPARKS FLY
WON 7-1 DARK TROOPER August 7
WON 5-2 KARAVOMYLOS
WON 5-2 SEA WAVE
WON 2-1 UNEQUAL LOVE September 8
(Winning naps in October so far: 4)
JUST ANOTHER MANIC MONDAY
⭕ 2.05 Stratford There’s probably some value here but I filed the race in the too difficult to answer department.
The market leader Top Cloud hasn’t raced for 256 days since pulling up at Wetherby and the second in Sir Rock refused to race last week!
That was my entry point but there are plenty of defaults over their rivals too. If you can work it out, good luck!
HENRY LEAVES ME COLD
⭕ 3.30 Pontefract Whenever Pontefract stage a meeting my very first job is to see if they have a long distance race on the card and that’s the case today with the Bluff Cove Handicap over 2m 2f.
Apart from anything else, it’s usually easier to rule out horses on stamina grounds over the extreme distances which hopefully makes the job of finding the winner that bit easier. That’s the theory at least!
The stamina requirements increase with the good to soft ground forecast at the Yorkshire venue today and the 10 runner field is headed by Cold Henry on the Betdaq Betting Exchange.
He’s a slightly surprising favourite in my book and after runs of 322365 it will be more a case of in from the cold if he wins his first race of 2023 here. There are no problems stamina or ground wise but I’m just struggling to fathom out where the improvement will come from?
The pound drop will help a little but he is still off a mark 7lb higher than his last win which was at Catterick last October where he scrambled home by a nose.
I’m happy to bypass him today in favour of Cinnodin who is trained by Richard Hughes and has generally been plying his trade at a higher level and with some success too. His three wins this year have included events at Sandown and Newbury and he will love the ground.
The downside is he needs to bounce back from a disappointing effort at York last time out where he seemingly never recovered from a poor start. He is re-united with Finley Marsh who gets on with him well.
HEART SAYS HAT-TRICK
⭕ 5.40 Pontefract Heartrate can complete the hat-trick for the Loughnanes. There’s every chance he remains in front of the handicapper who might have had a hard job in assessing him.
A Tipperary maiden winner in May, he joined his new yard in the UK and was impressive on handicap debut at Ffos Las winning by three and three quarter lengths – the only caveat to that being it looked a weak contest and I’m never keen to treat Ffos Las form with much more than a pinch of salt.
This will be tougher off his new mark but he remains a horse with potential and showed good form in Ireland with give in the ground.
TALLULAH LOOKS MYLAS BETTER
⭕ 7.30 Wolverhampton Tallulah Myla gets the nap vote on a day when I’m keeping my stakes quite low.
The Stuart Williams trained runner is up in the weights for her narrow course and distance win last month but her rivals are badly out of form. None finished better than eighth last time out and coincidentally four of them finished in 9th spot on their latest efforts including Murbih who ran no sort of race over course and distance.
DAQMAN’S BETS:
3.30 Pontefract (win 20)
BET 4.0pts win CINNODIN
5.40 Pontefract (win 10)
BET 2.7pts win HEARTRATE
7.30 Wolverhampton (win 10, nap)
BET 4.0pts win TALLULAH MYLA
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
Did you know? DAQMAN’s tips are posted each and every day so he’s always on hand to help with your horse racing betting.
