HAT-TRICK IN DAQMAN NAPS SPREE: Everything in the garden’s lovely! A 10-lengths romp by Daqman’s latest nap at Naas yesterday landed him a hat-trick of best bets; five out of six; six in the last nine. Strike rate for January so far: 35%.
WON 8-13 EMBASSY GARDENS (Sunday supernap)
WON 4-1 GINNYS DESTINY (Saturday nap)
WON 8-13 HE’S AN ANGEL (Friday supernap)
WON 1-1 DESTINADO (Wednesday nap)
WON 9-4 KING VIKTOR (Tuesday nap)
WON 11-8 OH SO GRAND (Saturday nap)
ANOTHER ANTE-POST BETDAQ BET: Today Daqman looks forward to the weekend Dublin Festival at Leopardstown with one eye on ante-post prices for Cheltenham.
21.0 OUTSIDER CAN TRIUMPH
Ireland is first again! Despite the calendar date being March 19 for the first day of Spring, 2024, it’s the Spring Juvenile Hurdle at Leopardstown on Saturday.
And you would do well to put a spring in your step and take a BETDAQ Sportsbook ante-post punt for Cheltenham now. The target is the ‘overs’ you would have for Cheltenham if your bet won the trial and its price was slashed.
After Saturday, you decide how to spend the overs, or take the Spring hurdle winner as a saver bet, if it’s not the one you hoped for.
Your target race is the Triumph Hurdle, won three years running by the ‘winner’ of Saturday’s race: Quilixios, Vauban and Lossiemouth.
In fact, Lossiemouth was second in the Spring Juvenile Hurdle last year but very much the ‘moral winner’ because twice hampered in the race.
Only three stables have shared the Saturday trial since 2015: Gordon Elliott (2), Joseph O’Brien (2) and Willie Mullins (5), whether you count the official winner of the ‘Spring’ trial, Gala Marceau, or the luckless runner-up Lossiemouth; he trained both!
Another quirk in the results is that Gordon Elliott trained Quilixios to win the trial at Leopardstown but the ex-French gelding completed a five-timer in the Triumph Hurdle after being switched to Henry De Bromhead.
INTELLOTTO On a line through Pigeon House, Joseph O’Brien’s CD winner at Leopardstown is superior to Highwind.
Storm Heart is shortest of the Mullins contingent right now but partly because we haven’t seen Majorborough (307 days’ absent) and Salvador Mundi (291) since last Spring.
Betdaq Betting Exchange SPORTSBOOK ante-post: 21.0 Intellotto
GYPSY DAVEY STILL IMPROVING
⭕ 4.00 Hereford The Gypsy Davey is really lightly raced and capable of further improvement. He had already shown promise in Irish points, winning his final start at Borris House where he made all the running.
Similar tactics were deployed on his rules debut at Taunton where he dominated from the start and came home a ready winner. He now needs to repeat under a penalty which always tempers confidence but with his main rivals looking more exposed I think in his case he should find plenty of improvement and again be hard to peg back.
Isholo Du Vivien is again kept over this minimum trip which is a surprise in itself as it looks as though he needs a stiffer test of stamina. Another winning Irish point winner, there was some promise with his Kelso third in heavy ground last time out but it looked a very weak contest.
Too Much Hammer might be a bigger threat. The (only) angle with the Tom Lacey trained runner is that he is taking a massive drop in class. There’s not much on his CV so far in three starts but he was mixing it at class 2 level at Kempton on Boxing Day last time out.
NO BRIDGE TOO FAR
⭕ 4.20 Plumpton Glance At Me’s consistent run of form came to a shuddering end last time out when he weakened quickly in the closing stages and was pulled up. Just not the sort of proposition today that you really want to be backing at the top of the market – especially on the same ground conditions.
Locally trained Kotari could easily show improved form on handicap debut but has been beaten a total of 118 lengths in his last three starts!
I’ll take a chance with Ferrybridge to follow up on his Newcastle win. Trainer James Owen is now four winners from his last eight runners and the 3lb hike in the weights doesn’t look overly onerous.
I CAN’T EXPLAIN WHY BUT …..
⭕ 7.30 Wolverhampton I might be on dangerous grounds napping a horse called Inexplicable but his form does really stand out in this one mile handicap.
A course regular and regular winner, the grey is ultra-consistent at this level and a reproduction of ANY of his three efforts from this year should be good enough to take this weak looking event.
Havana Goldfish makes the Betdaq Betting Exchange market for me in as much as without him running the selection would be fairly deep odds-on but his overall strike-rate is poor and is now 13 runs without a win. His last all-weather win came over course and distance came in a two horse race – am sure the handicapper has that pictured framed!
DAQMAN’S BETS:
4.00 Hereford (win 10)
BET 7.1pts win THE GYPSY DAVEY
4.20 Plumpton (win 20)
BET 2.5pts win FERRYBRIDGE
7.30 Wolverhampton (win 10, nap)
BET 7.2pts win INEXPLICABLE
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
Did you know? DAQMAN’s tips are posted each and every day so he’s always on hand to help with your horse racing betting.
