DISSECTING DONCASTER SECRETS: Saturday’s Lincoln Handicap card at Doncaster is analysed today (Monday), Tuesday and Wednesday, with Daqman’s final verdict on Saturday.
REMEMBERING BILL’S MAGIC: The late Bill Turner used to be the Brocklesby Stakes wizard – he trained six winners of the two-year-olds test – from his Somerset yard overlooking King Arthur’s Cadbury Castle. Now the first race on the Doncaster card will be run in his memory.
SATURDAY’S LINCOLN CARD
🐦 EARLY-BIRD TRAINERS 10 years of the opening day of the Flat at Doncaster: Richard Hannon 5, Roger Varian 5, William Haggas 4, Charlie Appleby 3, Team Channon 3, Andrew Balding 2, Ralph Beckett 2, Dominic French-Davies 2, Richard Fahey 2, Ed De Giles 2, David O’Meara 2, Lucinda Russell 2, James Tate 2.
⭕ 1.20 Doncaster, Saturday (Brocklesby Stakes) Two Early Bird trainers, Richard Hannon and Richard Fahey, have shared four of the last eight winners, three of them favourites.
STALLS: 7, 8, 9, 10, 11 have won six out of seven.
⭕ 1.50 Doncaster (Cammidge Trophy) AGE Four (4) and five (3) have won seven years out of 11.
LAYS LOGIC: No outright favourite has scored in the decade.
STALLS: The last five winners have come out of gates 6, 4, 5, 5, 3
⭕ 2.25 Doncaster (Spring Mile) AGE: Four-year-olds 6-9. LAYS LOGIC: No outright favourite has won this in 12 years.
STALLS: Those watching the race hoping for a guide to the Lincoln draw should note that the winners of both races have come from the same side in the last four seasons.
*Spring Mile result by stall: 16, 15, 8, 4, 6, 1, 3, 21, 1, 15, 5, 4
*Lincoln Handicap winner: 3, 3, 15, 22, 20, 10, 17, 10, 4, 12, 2, 3
⭕ 3.00 Doncaster (Mile) Roger Varian has won this four times out of nine, Richard Hannon 2.
AGE: Four and five together 11-13. STALLS: Eight out of 10 winners from gates 1 to 6.
FAVOURITES: Six out of nine, four at odds-on.
⭕ 3.35 Doncaster (Lincoln Handicap): see five-star guide tomorrow: form secret, top stables, stalls guide, winning ages and weights.
⭕ 4.10 Doncaster (3yo maiden) Andrew Balding (2) and Ralph Beckett (2) share 50% of the winners in the last eight years.
FUTURE PROOF
⭕ 5.32 Wincanton today A field of 12 head to post but with so many out of form this might not be as competitive as it first looks.
Heading the Betdaq Betting Exchange market is Jackomy who ran his best race to date when third at Taunton last time out but crucially that came on heavy ground and he has no experience on the quicker good ground expected today. He MIGHT handle it of course but when you are backing a horse at the top of the market do you really want such a key question mark hanging over you?
It looks a race to take him on with a couple of bigger priced alternatives – backing both for a WIN 50 return on BETDAQ.
Future Times was at double figure odds this morning but his Taunton fourth last time out (on good ground) was not only his first piece of form of substance but it also stacks up quite well in the context of this modest affair.
That was his first run since July 24 so the hope is that he can build on that effort.
I also want to press the play button on Vengeance who ran well here in December and has been campaigned at a much higher level to date including class 4 events at Sandown and Ascot. A morning 26 on BETDAQ looks far too big for a horse that will appreciate this drop in class and has the assistance of Charlie Deutsch in the saddle.
KING OF THE CASTLE
⭕ 6.00 Wolverhampton Kempton doesn’t make much appeal today so I am heading to Dunstall Park for two selections including the nap in this handicap over a mile.
Waterford Castle (handicap debut) let his supporters down when second at 4/6 in a maiden event here last time out but the winner Crown Relic went on to win his next start by six lengths to remain unbeaten and looks a nice prospect.
Main danger Laureate Crown hasn’t really built on his winning debut at Ascot and now faces the all-weather for the first time.
TIME AGAIN FOR MIDNIGHT
⭕ 7.30 Wolverhampton Midnight Call’s hat-trick bid was thwarted here last time when she was a far from disgraced fifth.
This looks an easier contest and with a little help from the handicapper might well able to resume winning ways at a course she goes well at.
Piperstown is another course specialist who looks still to be on a competitive mark but I would like to have seen her finish a little closer at Southwell last time out when third.
DAQMAN’S BETS
on Betdaq Betting Exchange
5.32 Wincanton (both win-50 bull’s-eye bets)
BET 3.5pts win FUTURE TIMES
BET 2.0pts win VENGEANCE
★ 6.00 Wolverhampton (win 10, nap)
BET 9.5pts win WATERFORD CASTLE
7.30 Wolverhampton (win 10)
BET 2.6pts win MIDNIGHT CALL
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