DAQMAN BIG-RACE NAPS DOUBLE: Daqman landed back-to-back big-race naps over the weekend to take his score to 91 winning best bets.
WON 11-10 IRESINE (Sunday Longchamp nap)
WON 8-15 CITY OF TROY (Saturday Newmarket supernap)
*Daqman 56, Pricewise 32
5-DAY BRITISH CHAMPIONS GUIDE: Daqman starts his day-by-day form and facts guide to the five championship races at Ascot on Saturday. They are:
⭕ MONDAY: 1.15 Saturday, British Champions Long Distance Cup.
⭕ TUESDAY: 1.50 Saturday, British Champions Sprint.
⭕ WEDNESDAY: 2.25 Saturday, British Champions Fillies And Mares.
⭕ THURSDAY: 3.05 Saturday, Queen Elizabeth 11 Stakes, British Champions Mile.
⭕ FRIDAY: 3.45 Saturday, Champion Stakes, British Champions Middle Distance.
KYPRIOS THE TOP-RATED STAYER
⭕ 1.15 Ascot, Saturday (British Champions Long Distance Cup) Trueshan completed a hat-trick in this last year off a 123 rating which was heavily pruned to 117 by the handicapper after two Spring defeats this season.
He has it restored with me, if not by the official computer, after September back-to-back wins in the Doncaster Cup and Prix du Cadran (French Gold Cup), following wind surgery.
Now a repeat of his 2021 double over Stradivarius in that French Gold Cup and then this Champions Day Long-Distance Cup would give him a sensational 37-day treble.
Kyprios is rated 121. Last year’s six-wins-in-a-row king of the stayers had his crown and rating slip when, missing for 11 months, he was beaten on his return in the Irish St Leger.
He won Ascot gold then French gold in the Cadran last year, leading ‘by a distance’ at the final bend, 20 lengths clear at the line.
Coltrane, beaten nearly five lengths by Kyprios at Goodwood that July, was a neck off Trueshan at Doncaster.
He’s been behind in three of his four Group-1 starts with an in-and-out 2023, beaten by Courage Mon Ami at Royal Ascot but gaining revenge on firm ground in the Lonsdale at York.
This Long-Distance Cup has gone to a second-season animal three times this century – Capal Garmon (2001), Royal And Regal (2007) and Akmal (2009) – and we wait to see whether Aidan O’Brien runs one or more of his three-year-olds, Tower Of London, Alexandroupolis and Denmark.
THE DREAM RUN
⭕ 5.05 Yarmouth Dream Pirate gets his optimum conditions again today and is taken to complete a Yarmouth/Bath hat-trick.
He has relished his first two starts on soft ground – winning here in September (C&D) when blinkers were on for the first time and following up earlier this month at Bath where he had his field nicely spread out.
The 6lb hike makes life harder of course but he does look a different animal on soft ground.
Forward Flight hasn’t won since his narrow course and distance win last year which was also on soft. He’s 6lb lower in the weights now and has to be respected but his overall form is patchy rather than progressive.
YOU KNOW IT MAKES SENSE
⭕ 5.20 Windsor Asense is flying for Gary Moore and I see no reason why the filly can’t complete a four-timer. Weirdly she seems to be winning with more ease as she is heading up the weight ladder!
Her latest 4lb rise for an easy win at Bath doesn’t look overly harsh – perhaps the handicapper couldn’t see how well she won as it was foggy day and I was surprised that the race was even run.
She had two and a quarter lengths in hand at the line and again gets the soft ground this afternoon.
Market leader this morning on Betdaq Betting Exchange was Imperial Cult with his supporters no doubt on a recovery mission after he was beaten 13 lengths into fifth when favourite in the Bath race won by Asense.
It’s a huge leap of faith to think that form can be turned around and are we really being asked to play at shorter odds to find out?
A bonkers market.
HOBSON’S CHOICE
8.30 Kempton The nightcap looked one of the hardest races of the entire day but the more I looked at Haulfronhobbs the more keen I was on her Betdaq place chances.
She’s got a nice draw in 2 and on a very tasty mark based around her first two handicap runs probably being better than they first appear.
The first of those was over course and distance in August where she was only beaten two and a half lengths but had a nightmare run and was definitely an eye-catcher.
She then had the misfortune of rearing at the start at Chelmsford and pretty much lost all chance before recovering a little to finish fourth.
Despite the competitive field she’s one of the few that you could see making significant improvement on what we’ve seen to date.
DAQMAN’S BETS:
5.05 Yarmouth (win 10, nap)
BET 4.5pts win DREAM PIRATE
5.20 Windsor (win 20)
BET 3.8pts win ASENSE
8.30 Kempton (WIN 20, WIN 10 place bet)
BET 1pt win and 5pts place HAULFRONHOBBS
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Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
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