13-2 WINNER IN DOUBLE WHAMMY: Daqman made it 12 winning lays from the last 15 (for an 80% strike rate) with Lonesome Boatman (4th 9-4 favourite) yesterday. He named the winner, Spinning Waters (WON 13-2), in the same race.
JACKPOT BETS TOMORROW: Daqman’s jackpot sequence was boosted by Rock On Ruby (WON 11-1 from 17.0) in the Champion Hurdle. Full details in the Daqman Library CLICK HERE reveal winners since December 3rd at 20-1, 14-1, 11-1, 10-1 (twice), 9-1 and 8-1. Look out tomorrow for another in the jackpot sequence which has topped 200 points profit.
Nicky Henderson 57, Paul Nicholls 57. The leading trainers list at Newbury for the last five years reveals the fine line – in fact, no divide at all – between Ditcheat and Seven Barrows as the two stables bid to extend the plunder of £4.3million already this season alone.
Those fancying a double of some irony as the pair draw swords again today could do worse than Winning Habit (3.15 Henderson) and No Loose Change (3.50 Nicholls).
2.10 Newbury: Another coincidence bet would be Nicholls with Curtain Razer in the opener. Curtain Razer and one of his market rivals, Fighting Flynn, were both bogged down in heavy ground last time out.
The Nicholls gelding bled from the nose that day and has had a rest and treatment for breaking blood-vessels. Meanwhile Seven Woods has had his first run in England for the Henderson yard over today’s course and distance.
It’s 12.5 bar the three but, though Nicholls, Henderson and Hobbs, who are responsible for this trio, have all had winners of this in the last four years, be warned that favourites have taken a pounding.
Only one has scored in the decade and last year’s 25-1 shock followed even worse calamities for favourite backers, as 40-1 and 66-1 winners came home.
I’ll take a chance on Goulanes at 18.0 on Betdaq this morning. As a Point winner over 3m, he could easily ‘do a Pipe’ and try to outrun them over this shorter distance.
2.40 Newbury: Unless the forecast rain is in some quantity, which is doubtful, I don’t want to be backing horses of a double-figure age today, and there’s more than a hint of deterioration in last year’s winner, Calusa Caldera, with the fitting of visors only three races on from that success.
Arrayan looked very green about the fencing game in his first chase last month and has won only on soft-heavy; like Milgan Bay and Masked Man, he has scored only when going right-handed.
With Aimigayle is an uncertain favourite as I write, needing to recover form of three years ago, whereas Henderson’s Bai Zhu, though tailed off around Christmas, could easily bounce back here, having won the Brown Chamberlin (3.50) on the same card last season. A very tasty 9.8 on Betdaq this morning.
3.50 Newbury (Brown Chamberlin Trophy): Bai Zhu won this off the same 128 he is rated today, with stablemate Larks Lad now taking in the Brown Chamberlin on 120.
But Larks Lad’s jumping has let him down, and he has only a class-5 chase over the easy Southwell fences on his CV. No Loose Change was alongside him when badly hampered on today’s course three weeks ago, though neither would have got to Romulus d’Artaix.
However, No Loose Change had also suggested over hurdles that today’s 3m would show him in a much better light and he gets 8lb from Romulus here.
The consistent Monbeg Dude also has to give him weight. The Falklander has to raise his game, up 11lb this year and, though dropping back to a novice event from all-age handicaps, he, too, has to give weight to the Nicholls’ horse.
4.25 Newbury: The quality race of the day on class though, in fact, only two horses in the field have won at this level or higher; Petit Robin and Topolski.
Kandari appears to be running loose off a light weight and claimed off for a further 7lb, but he was well beaten at this level in Ireland and the jury is out about his Market Rasen defeat.
He seemed to be cruising when he blew it by hitting the last but how much would he have found off the bit on that tricky Rasen run-in in a class lower race? Also worrying is that was only his third run in two years and he hasn’t won a race in three years.
Barry Geraghty seems to prefer Gibb River to Petit Robin. Whatever, Nicky Henderson seems to have ‘kettled’ Kandari, so I shall lay this favourite.
DAQMAN’S BETS
BET 1.1pts win and place GOULANES (2.10 Newbury)
BET 2.2pts win (nap) BAI ZHU (2.40 Newbury)
BET 6.6pts win NO LOOSE CHANGE (3.50 Newbury)
LAY to win 10pts KANDARI (4.25 Newbury)
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