9-4 DAQMAN WINNER WAS SUPER 8.6 ON BETDAQ: Almost every day, like Daqman, whose Saturday value hunt produced King George winner Danedream (WON 9-1 from 11.0 on BETDAQ), you can find a big bag of ‘overs’ on BETDAQ. Yesterday he had 8.6 about Grafelli (WON 9-4) at The Curragh. Today he tries one at 17.5.
TOMORROW: Daqman revises his horses-to-follow lists which have produced the likes of Mayson, Nathaniel, Bonnie Brae and Toronado this season.
I found three aces from top yards in form. A trio of trainers are doing so, so well, their current figures are astounding: all three send out just one runner, or one away from home.
But two of their horses clash, so I will have to divide my stakes on the pontoon table and hope that one of my aces put together with your other plays, will complete your Daq Multiples in a five-card trick from Ayr, Beverley, Cartmel, Southwell and Windsor.
And, trying to follow up Grafelli yesterday – what a price at offers of 8.6! – I have found one at 17.5. Wild card? No the horse won the race last year.
Tim Easterby: A massive 33 horses from the Habton stable have won or been placed in the last fortnight – 15 of them winners – and, while he has his usual strong contingent down the road at Beverley, he sends just the one runner to Ayr today.
And he’s booked the smart Philip Makin for a rare ride for the yard on Another Citizen (5.15), perhaps because Tim saw the magic of Makin when the rider landed a double at Ripon on Saturday.
Another Citizen has won twice at Ayr with a bit of ease in the ground and hasn’t been out of the frame in his last four outings. He’s 7lb lower than for a CD handicap success last summer.
Easterby has even managed to squeeze success out of the nine-year-old Collateral Damage (8.00 Beverley) but it’s going to be a hard task for the nine-year-old to manage back-to-back wins tonight, when he switches from heavy ground to the good to firm which is forecast for the Yorkshire track.
That gives Seldom a big shout as last year’s winner of the Collateral Damage race. He is massively overpriced in offers of 17.5 this morning on the basis of his firm-ground second at Pontefract in June and it’s as if punters are looking only at his flop on the soft last time out.
John Gosden: On a 37% win-and-place strike rate, Gosden is cleaning up the big-money prizes, as if Ballydoyle has shut up shop. He is now little more than £250,000 behind Aidan O’Brien in what looked a clean-sweep season for the Irish leader at one stage.
Gosden runs only Maria Letizia at Windsor (7.10), and this is a notable mission, since she has been kept in training, despite her failure as one of the favourites in a Newmarket maiden almost a year ago.
In fact, there’s still hope in the yard that the daughter of Galileo, related on the dam’s side to a Derby winner, can get some black type for paddocks duty. The 9.4 on BETDAQ this morning is big.
Sir Michael Stoute: We must have a saver on Sir Michael Stoute’s Courage, though so far the gelding seems to lack that eponymous quality. But others in this are looking for a handicap mark, needing another quiet run or two.
Stoute has had seven of his last nine runners in the frame, and his win strike-rate is currently an impressive 42% with eight from 19.
Already granted a favourable handicap mark for today, thankyou very much, is Strumble Head (5.05 Cartmel) but, unusually, it follows a win last time out.
Some trainers seem to try blinkers on their horses, as a desperate last bid to squeeze some life back into them. Donald McCain’s is one of those rare yards where he blinds are a good sign: he wins with nearly one in three blinkered for the first time.
Mwaleshi (2.50) already had enough form in the book to give your money a good run round Cartmel’s hurdles course this afternoon.
DAQMAN’S BETS
BET 5.5pts win (nap) MWALESHI (2.50 Cartmel)
BET 5.8pts win STRUMBLE HEAD (5.05 Cartmel)
BET 3.4pts win ANOTHER CITIZEN (5.15 Ayr)
BET 2.4pts win MARIA LETIZIA and 1.6pts win (saver) COURAGE (7.10 Windsor)
BET 1.2pts win and place SELDOM (8.00 Beverley)
* Daqman’s selections are backed to win 20 points (unless raised to jackpot level) so, if you divide 20 by his stake, you know the Betdaq offer taken at the time of writing.
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