DAQMAN DOES IT YET AGAIN: 9-2 NAP AND ANOTHER JACKPOT UP: By 12.30 or so yesterday, Saturday king Daqman had already landed his nap, Kiss A Prince (WON 9-2), and had paid the stakes for yet another successful jackpot bet in the Lanzarote with Swincombe Flame (WON 9-2).
85 POINTS PROFIT IN FOUR DAYS: It was a fourth consecutive winning day for Daqman, raking in profits of 85 points, including a 28-1 winner.
36 POINTS UP ON THE NAP: His nap is now 36 points up on the week and he has one today at a huge 9.6 in morning offers on Betdaq.
10-1 WINNER IN THE LOG: His jackpot win follows hard on the heels of big-race success with Hold Fast (WON 7-2), Le Beau Bai (WON 10-1) and Unaccompanied (WON 10-3). All will be logged in the Daqman Library later in the week.
This is W6 times in reverse! There’s an old tongue-twister about a horse that’s held back until the day the money’s down: ‘Waited With, Will Win When Wanted’.
But that hardly applies to All The Winds: he’s won two out of two at Kempton Park, theoretically not off a yard at 20-1 each time.
The reason they daren’t risk a penny is that, apparently, All The Winds doesn’t like horses. He’s kept well behind, then delivers his challenge as wide as possible.
It takes all sorts I suppose, and he seems the gift of a back-and-lay bet, since offers available on Betdaq when he’s in rear today (3.40) seem sure to beat his SP.
The snag for All The Winds is that there isn’t a confirmed front-runner in the field, though I may have found one for him.
It seems mighty significant that Mark Johnston sends Plattsburgh down solo to the London track from Middleham Moor when he seemingly has a hopeless task with All The Winds on their last race together.
Johnston has some pretty staggering form figures just now – 11 in the frame from 13 starters since January 4 – and his usual answer to horses like Plattsburgh who lack pace is: send him out in front and keep him there. Blinkers first time suggest this is the plan.
Big Creek will have his supporters as Jamie Spencer’s only ride of the day and Sir Boss, three times a CD winner, could bounce back.
But the biggest threat to a Plattsburgh make-all must be Refractor from a yard with a 20% record on AW in the last five years and one that seldom, if ever, wastes its horses or its opportunities.
Refractor is James Fanshawe’s first runner of 2012: he came through from an auction-maiden second to score easily in a similar race and is deservedly stepped up to a handicap now.
On breeding (Refuse To Bend out of a Peintre Celebre mare), Refractor should still have some way to go, and is first choice here as an improving four-year-old.
I can’t really describe back-and-lay situations in my bets section, except to say that I shall be watching for one if All The Winds blows big, and taking a starter position on Plattsburgh at 13.0, as I write.
Nigel Tinkler also sends just the one horse down from Yorkshire, the Rainbow Quest filly Pursuing (4.10 race), 21.0 on the Daq just the other side of my cornflakes.
‘Tink’ gave her a look at Kempton in September and, though she was a market drifter, she ‘got beat’ only half a length in a classified at Wolver, when it was noted by Raceform: ‘a strongly run race over a bit further would be ideal.’
Well, here she is stepped up in trip in a very poor contest, containing only half a dozen previous winners, two of them (Forbidden and Miereveld) for trainers on the cold list and three of them – Hathaway, Regal Rave and Tous Les Deux – with form only over shorter distances.
The odd one out of the six is Now (holds Cantor) but her recent CD win seems down to the first-time application of blinkers; whether they work again, we will only know when the race is run.
There are odds-on shots that might land the nap today – Boudoir here at Kempton, So Young at Navan – but we’ll hardly get rich that way and may die of boredom before able to collect the winnings..
So I shall take a chance on Royal Box (3.10), and I have four reasons for doing so: he’s very consistent when on song (three wins from five races); he is fast enough to win at Chester; Dai Burchell’s yard is in a cracking seam of form – top of the trade paper list – and Royal Box is clearly the ‘wrong price’ at offers of 9.6 this morning.
DAQMAN’S BETS
BET 2.3pts win (nap) ROYAL BOX (3.10 Kempton)
BET 7pts win REFRACTOR and 1.6pts win PLATTSBURGH (3.40 Kempton)
BET 1pt win and place PURSUING (4.10 Kempton)
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