15.0 BETDAQ VALUE AND A CRACKER FOR THE MUNSTER NATIONAL: Daqman has jackpot bets in Ireland today for the big-race double of Munster National and Irish Cesarewitch across the cards at Limerick and The Curragh. He has a cracker of a bet in one and makes hay in another at BETDAQ value 15.0.
13-2 ‘BLUE’ KEEPS DAQMAN IN THE BLACK: Daqman finished ahead on the day yesterday through Pearl Blue (WON 13-2) and Royal Rascal (WON 3-1) but his bid for a fourth consecutive Saturday big-race winner (after 16-1, 9-1 and 6-1) just failed.
TWO PLACED IN CESAREWITCH: He had second and third in the Cesarewitch – Countrywide Flame (2nd 7-1) and Tominator (3rd 9-1 from 16.0 on BETDAQ) – and was also out of luck with Fencing (not clear run) and Sirius Prospect (left 10 lengths, finished fast, 3rd 9-1).
2.55 The Curragh: Maarek, Lady Wingshott and Colour Of Love are pattern performers against handicappers here. Maarek loves the mud but Colour Of Love was a massive offer at 9.8 on BETDAQ this morning.
Colour Of Love holds Lady Wingshott on Naas form in July, has won over further showing stamina that will be useful today, and did exceptionally well to chase home Mince on unsuitably firm ground at York, albeit at a respectful distance.
3.45 Goodwood: Every single winner of this has been drawn from stalls 1 to 5, and 18 from 20 placed horses were from 1 to 7. Three-year-olds are on a hat-trick.
The money was pouring on Prodigality this morning, nicely drawn in 5. If William Buick can overcome the seeming draw bias, R Woody (7.4) is another to get strong early-doors support.
4.25 Limerick (Munster National): Youth wins this these days – nothing over the age of eight in eight years – and only one winner has broken the 11st barrier.
That was Muirhead last year for Noel Meade, who also won it in 2005. Today he runs Cross Appeal, who has found his penalty for winning the Paddy Power left him able only to place in the prestigious Troytown and Galway Plate without winning. This is not such a strong race.
The Bishop Looney won the Cork Grand National last November and is probably aimed at that again next time; absent since May and not known for winning when fresh.
Questions Answered bounced back into a place last time but hasn’t won for nearly two years, and Mr Cracker hasn’t been seen on a racecourse for almost as long.
However, Mr Cracker’s absence doesn’t seem to deter Davy Russell, who gets off Cheltenham four-miler third Four Commanders to ride him. Davy also rejects a third Gigginstown runner, the Kim Muir fifth Start Me Up.
Mr Cracker is four from four at Limerick and 8.8 on BETDAQ is fair enough, despite his having to beat the stats. Cross Appeal (9.2) should be in the frame.
And I can’t helping thinking that this is Qhilimar’s big chance (14.0). Goes well fresh and, with the top-weights fancied, could front-run them into the mud.
4.40 The Curragh (Irish Cesarewitch) Punters who would usually eliminate the ‘rags’ from all consideration, striking out everything trading above 33-1 in a field like this, will be nervous this morning after yesterday’s English Cesarewitch winner at 66-1.
Probably the first that should get the red pencil are those pagging lumps of weight in the mud: only one winner has carried more than 9st in the last decade and the ground was much better that day.
Older horses never win it; ‘never’ is a big word; in fact, there’s been just two over the age of five in 15 years; again, they were on a sounder surface.
So youth, stamina and a decent weight (those within the 8st to 9st parameter have scored 8 out of 10), probably a three-year-old: they’ve won three times in four years and didn’t have a front-of-the-market contender in the year they missed out.
Notably, the winners come from the top yards – O’Brien, Oxx. Mullins, Weld – so the eye is immediately drawn to Voleuse De Coeurs, with his staying form boosted, and Hay Point, a lightly-raced filly crying out for today’s trip.
‘Voleuse’ beat Domination eight lengths at Galway and that one went on to win the Newmarket Cesarewitch Trial pulling a bus.
Highflying, Placere and Seventh Sign make up my short-list, though there are some tough animals with big weights who could ‘do an Aaim To Prosper’: Missunited, Sir Ector (ground a worry), Shadow Eile and Hidden Universe (swerved by jockey Leigh Roche).
But I think Hay Point (15.0 on BETDAQ) has been laid out for this, and Voleuese De Coeurs, though favourite, still has some value in the 9.0 offers, considering stats and ground. Seventh Sign, also at 15.0 as I write, could continue his improvement for Tommy Carmody; as a Pivotal, loves the ground.
4.55 Goodwood: The nap at Goodwood must be Danchai, with Muharrer drifted like a lonely dog on a raft, not a single pitiful bark for him at 10.5 from the paper forecast 4-1. That leaves the exposed Nicholascopernicus as the only seeming threat. Famous last words.
DAQMAN’S BETS
BET 2.2pts win COLOUR OF LOVE and 2.6pts win (stakes saver) MAAREK (2.55 The Curragh)
BET 7pts in PRODIGALITY and 3.1pts win R WOODY (3.45 Goodwood)
WIN-30 JACKPOT: 3.9pts win MR CRACKER, 3.6pts in CROSS APPEAL and 2.3pts win QHILIMAR (4.25 Limerick)
WIN-30 JACKPOT: 3.7pts win VOLEUSE DE COEURS, plus 2.1pts win on each HAY POINT and SEVENTH SIGN (4.40 The Curragh)
BET 6.6pts win (nap) DANCHAI (4.55 Goodwood)
*Daqman’s selections are staked to win 20 points unless raised to jackpot level (to win 30 or more). You can always check back on the offer he took by dividing the win potential by the stake.
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.
