11-4 WINNER MAKES IT EIGHT GREAT NAPS TO END THE FLAT: Daqman struck yet again yesterday when Time For Spring (WON 11-4) landed another great nap, bringing his current sequence to eight winning best bets from the last 14 for 133 points profit at 10-points win level-stakes. His sequence is: 311210131311201
ACCENT ON DAQ VALUE FOR THE NEW JUMPS SEASON: Today we celebrate Daqman’s recent achievements with the nap and announce his intention to further extend his search for value, as the jumps season takes over.
Betdaq is the shop window for value. Nothing is hidden. It’s all plain to see. The prices are offers you, the punter, are prepared to make at odds others are prepared to take.
And the sum total of all the offers in BETDAQ races add up to the fairest market in the business, with morning lists often totting up to close on the 100% of a round book. There is regularly 105% to 110%.
Because of their take-out, bookmakers’ prices will add up to a total probability way above that, usually up to 117%, often as much as 126%, and that’s at SP!
In fact, in big fields at Doncaster yesterday, closing prices totaled a probability percentage of 131, 129 three times, 122 and 132. There were further SP total percentages of 131 both at Sandown and Wincanton.
Says Daqman: ‘When you are betting with BETDAQ on a near-level playing field – where the punter gets back what he puts in, 100 for 100, or nearly so – you know that your bets will win for you in the long term.
‘If you bet with a bookmaker, who is loading the dice in his favour, where you have to take 83-100 to 74-100 (those SP example yesterday reveal 69-100 three times), your bets overall will founder because of such a large take-out.’
To date, Daqman has searched for value horses, napping at offers up to yesterday’s 5.6 in the last fortnight, and finding jackpot winners at up to 16-1, where he increases his stake to scoop more than his usual 20 point target from a winner.
Now he’s going to pick up on overall value in races as well as finding value horses. Starting today, he will have a special bet – the Daq Value Bet – in races where the overround is in punter-friendly territory, one of the lowest he can find on BETDAQ early doors.
You are poised to profit from the word go in that race on the day, but you are better placed for an overall profit if you follow those races day by day, simply because, whatever the outcome, they will return to punters close on their investment in it.
You will just need a small edge to swing the race in your favour, the very edges that Daqman seeks out with his selections..
Imagine you find the value horse (a price bigger than it should be) in a value race (where the odds add up to a lower percentage than usual, miles below the likely SP total). It’s double value, isn’t it!
Today Daqman chooses Foildubh (2.50) at Navan on the following grounds: ‘Big Zeb is 11 now and giving weight to all. Realt Dubh seems not the horse he was. Flemenstar has been beaten the last twice he’s come back from his summer break.’
’Foildubh gets 8lb and more from all because of the conditions of the race. He loves Navan and heavy ground. And BETDAQ offers for the race have you betting as low as 110% at the time of writing.’
Daqman’s naps alone show how discerning betting can yield regular profits. His sequence of eight out of 14 winning naps, listed below, reveal winners at 9-2, 7-2 and 3-1 and 11-4.
Backed at SP to a 10-point level stake, his naps since October 28 would have made 133 points profit. They were:
NAP! Time For Spring WON 11-4 (November 9 at Sandown)
NAP! Dormouse WON 9-2 (November 7 at Warwick)
NAP! Landscape WON 11-8 (November 6 at Exeter)
NAP! McVicar WON 3-10 (November 4 at Huntingdon)
NAP! Call Me A Star WON 10-11 (November 2 at Uttoxeter)
NAP! Last Time D’Albain WON 7-4 (October 31 at Punchestown)
NAP! Hollow Penny WON 7-2 (October 29 at Bangor)
NAP! Handazan WON 3-1 (October 28 at Aintree)
Tomorrow and Tuesday, look out for Daqman’s horses to follow, and as we get closer to another Saturday jackpot day – the first jumps-only big-race day of the winter – we will show his recent jackpots record and, again, Daqman will be redesigning his presentation of those bets.
DAQMAN’S BETS
BET 0.3pt win and 2pts place MAE’S CHOICE (1.45 Navan)
BET 6.8pts win (nap) CELTUS (2.30 Ffos Las)
BET 6.4pts win PROHETE DE GUYE (2.45 Market Rasen)
DAQ VALUE BET 2.3pts win FOILDUBH (2.50 Navan)
BET 3.7pts win WAYWARD GLANCE (3.05 Ffos Las)
* Daqman’s bets are staked to win 20 points: divide 20 by the stake and you have the offer he took at the time of making his selection. The nap is the horse he thinks most likely to win on the day. The Daq Value Bet is one at better odds than it should be in a race with a low total percentage.
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.
