9-1 WINNER AS DAQMAN LANDS A DOUBLE WHAMMY: Daqman laid the favourite, Lady Kathleen (4-6 fell), and named the winner, One More Cookie (WON 9-1), at Plumpton yesterday, as lays returned to his portfolio for the first time this winter.
Ayr today, gone to Kempton tomorrow. I’m definitely a southern punter but was forced to look at Ayr today, with Folkestone still inspecting at the time of writing.
So I’ve put my lays sequence on hold until Newbury and four Betdaq-sponsored races at Kempton Park tomorrow.
Cadore (1.10) looks a good starter bet – pity there isn’t a main course – but I don’t declare for horses offered at 5-4 or less unless I think they are maximim-stakes banker (20 points) material. I usually put them in Daq Multiples instead.
Cadore is getting 11lb from everything else in the race that’s won or been placed, though is on the same mark as Lexi’s Boy, who was amiss on his first hurdles start but was easy to back this morning.
Blenheim Brook (1.40) is ultra consistent, though his winning time at Newcastle, when the ground was pretty decent, was desperately slow.
He may concede to the improving Dowd’s Destiny, who jumps well, and is bred for tank warfare (by Flemensfirth out of a Deep Run mare).
I can’t fancy Allanard (2.10), who – like Quinder Spring – has struggled since leaving the novice ranks and whose stable has gone nearly three years without a winner from 30-odd runners at Ayr.
Ballycarron Lad has never won after an absence; Ishlana and Maple Valley Gale are of little or no account so far under Rules; and Duke Of Malfi tries a new trip, seemingly in desperation.
The way seems clear for course-specialist Sammy Spiderman, whose form figures at Ayr in the last three years are 1112F431.
The worries about a significant bet are that he’s won only once in the last three years and all success has come on soft-heavy ground.
But he’s a stone and more below the runners with Rules form and, with a CD win under his belt, you’d think the boy claimer could kick on.
The 2.40 favourite, Another Miracle, is a ‘glass’ horse, and he pulls too hard for his own good, managing few runs so far and only one win, over shorter and with 12lb less.
He doesn’t inspire but, then, nor do the others: at least Easter Vic, though 11, is consistent though his placing is erratic.
One minute, he’s in a conditionals race, then he’s hiked to class 2; next he’s dropped back to today’s level. None was successful.
Grand Art has to run whenever a soundish surface presents itself but he’s never won a handicap of any description. Shooting Times has, but he’s run stinkers since. Risk Runner hasn’t scored for nearly three years.
Gleann Na Ndochais has to prove he stays this far but the mare Delightfully seemed to return to form last time, the ‘moral’ when second at Wetherby, giving nearly two stone to the winner: 8.0 this morning.
Swerving the 3.10, a handicap for maidens (bar two), we’re left with a veterans’ race – none aged less than nine – for conditional jockeys. They should have thrown in blindfolds for punters.
Primrose Time is high in the ratings so she tries to open up a new distance; Ockey De Neulliac returns to chasing a year on from a bad experience here and has never won out of novice-chase class; Alexander Oats likes it at Ayr but needs a bog.
Banoge lacks pace and hasn’t won for nearly three years but Et Maintenant is back to form and down in the weights and should race in touch with likely front-runner Something Silver, who was promising at Musselburgh last time out after nearly a year off.
A cursory glance at the form and you would imagine that four wins at Ayr makes ‘Silver’ a course specialist but those wins came from 24 runs on the course and only one of those wins recorded in the last four years.
Wouldn’t it be cheaper for them to keep him in a box on the course and exercise him down the road on the sands?
DAQMAN’S BETS
BET 10pts win (nap) DOWD’S DESTINY (1.40 Ayr)
BET 7pts win SAMMY SPIDERMAN (2.10 Ayr)
BET 2.8pts win DELIGHTFULLY (2.40 Ayr)
DAQ MULTIPLES: 2pts win double Cadore (1.10 Ayr) and Dowd’s Destiny (1.40 Ayr)
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