CHARM OFFENSIVE BY DAQMAN AT YARMOUTH: Daqman, targeting a fifth winning nap inside a week, has some big-odds ideas at 17.5, 8.4 and 5.7 on BETDAQ but settles for a horse called ‘Charm’ at Yarmouth.
Carry on raining for the Guineas. Despite assurances from the Newmarket clerk of the course that the going will be good at the weekend, trainer Jeremy Noseda has gone for the big time with a soft-ground colt.
At this late stage, Noseda has paid serious money to supplement Talwar, winner of an ordinary Listed by only a length at Lingfield recently and last of five to Camelot in the Racing Post Trophy as a juvenile.
Noseda knows that Talwar is a different horse on the soft when on song, witness his win in the Solario Stakes at Sandown in August and his defeat of Trumpet Major at Ascot.
If it does come up soft, something like Talwar (56.0 on BETDAQ this morning) could earn place money and prestige; to get in the first six or seven would mean big dividends in stud value.
Of the Guineas horses I listed on Sunday as having proved their ability with plenty of cut in the ground, the acceptors are Abtaal, Born To Sea, Caspar Netscher, French Fifteen, Mandaean, Power and Trumpet Major. All would appreciate more rain, though Born To Sea’s connections would worry if it became too soft.
Meanwhile, Noseda has one runner, at Yarmouth, this afternoon, Triple Charm, a filly he’s been winning with on the AW but whose breeding – she’s by Pivotal – suggests that she will do even better in today’s turf conditions: Pivotal’s best returns have come from his sons and daughters racing on heavy ground.
The progeny of Danehill Dancer also show highest percentage returns on the heavy, and his son, Teacher (3.10) should go well in his first handicap. Teacher has been gelded (I wish one or two of mine had been!)
Another Danehill Dancer, Osgood (4.40) will be taking sentimental money to celebrate the Saints return to the Premier League: 5.7 on BETDAQ as I write.
Osgood, the horse, won first time over hurdles last month six years to the day that (Peter) Osgood, the player, a Southampton contemporary of trainer Mick Channon, died young.
James Fanshawe is currently getting 100% from his horses, literally, according to the Racing Post Running-To-Form assessments.
Fanshawe fits a hood at one end of his filly Grey Seal (5.00 Lingfield) and, aided by the Kieren Fallon stick at the other end, she’s worth a pound at 17.5. The signal is at ‘go’ but so far she hasn’t been reading good.
Fanshawe-Fallon move on to Kempton with Arabic (8.35), a handicap debutant, and another to be gelded. The draw is off-putting but means I can get 8.0.
At Exeter, I hear that mud-lover Royal Riviera (2.20), a tasty 8.4 on BETDAQ as I write, will try to make all, and I shall have a bit each way. It’s a question of whether the deep ground will halt the run of Diamond’s Return; come-from-behind won’t be easy.
Bench Warrant (3.50) is at last getting some respite from the handicapper – dropped 17lb for three races – and it’s time to press the button and see what’s still there.
DAQMAN’S BETS
BET 2.7pts win ROYAL RIVIERA (2.20 Exeter)
BET 7.6pts win TEACHER (3.10 Yarmouth)
BET 13pts win (nap) TRIPLE CHARM (3.40 Yarmouth)
BET 4.1pts win BENCH WARRANT (3.50 Exeter)
BET 4.2pts win OSGOOD (4.40 Yarmouth)
BET 1.2pts win GREY SEAL (5.00 Lingfield)
BET 2.8pts win ARABIC (8.35 Kempton)
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