DAQMAN HITS 14-1 AND 6-1 WINNERS: Daqman made 30-points profit yesterday when he won 50% of the races he bet in, with Eastern Hills (WON 14-1) and Meandmyshadow (WON 6-1) making the money. Today he takes offers at 24.0, 11.0, 10.5, 9.4 and 9.2.
FIVE BETDAQ-SPONSORED RACES: Daqman concentrates on the five Betdaq-sponsored races at Kempton tonight, paying particular attention to the second half of Kieren Fallon’s day.
Fallon’s put the voodoo sign on them. As my simplistic maths forecast (this column, September 26), Kieren Fallon could win the title by six at his then rate of scoring.
This last fortnight he’s upped the ante: he’s beaten Hanagan 16-7, landing a double yesterday as Hanagan has slumped to 27 losers in a row. What’s more, 12 of those losers were placed, which means the current champion is missing strike.
Fallon is at Nottingham today, flying on to Kempton tonight, where it’s va-va-voom as he rides Voodoo Rhythm (7.40) – an intriguing booking, as you’ll see – and Piranha (8.40), both in first-time blinkers at astonishing offers, considering his form and his position.
You could get 10.5 Piranha and 24.0 Voodoo Rhythm at the time I was writing this column (breaking off only to grab a bit of the value!)
5.40 Kempton (Free Entry For Betdaq Members Handicap) The grand total of winners for nine of the 12 trainers in this race over the last fortnight is a big, fat zero!
Only Wreningham’s handler, Stuart Williams, can be said to be in peak form but the gelding is drawn in stall 11 which, according to the Racing Post, is 0-33 when 12 or more line up.
Best One won this race in 2009, is 3lb lower, has a nice draw in 4 and the yard has had a winner or two lately. He’s had 18 consecutive defeats since his last success but his form at Kempton is 101 and he’s been running well recently with conditions against him.
6.10 Kempton (Betdaq Multiples British Stallions Studs EBF Maiden Stakes) If the Racing Post stats (that 0-33 for stall 11) are right, then Sunrise Dance has little or no chance in this, yet was odds-on favourite this morning.
However, the difference between the first two races is that this one isn’t a handicap and, on official ratings for those with form to assess, Sunrise Dancer is 20lb clear. In fact, the Post has him 26 points in front (whatever their ratings stand for).
So ‘Sunrise’ could win a race of donkeys but clearly Mick Channon (Gabrial’s Bounty) is hoping he’s sunk low enough to find oil at the bottom of the well.
While I can’t lay Sunrise Dancer, I have big odds about Gabrial’s Bounty at 9.4. Small stakes advised.
6.40 Kempton (Back or Lay At betdaq.com Handicap, Division 1) We have the royal colours in a Betdaq race today but the Roger Charlton filly’s chances are eponymously Deceptive, her absence since May a big worry.
Two other fillies, Dazakhee and Fairest Isle, catch the eye: Dazakhee is Tony Culhane’s only ride of the evening for a stable he does well with (around 30% success). Fairest Isle is first time in a handicap for James Fanshawe, who gets one in three of the handicaps he targets on the course.
But Mark Johnston is scoring at a similar rate with Kempton raiders from his northern yard and Green Lightning is his only representative on today’s card.
This gelding, who has run on turf off 83 (he’s on 66 here) and won off 78 in class 3 on firm ground at Newmarket, has bounced back to form this month, winning easily upped to 1m 4f last time out.
Green Lightning (4.3 on Betdaq as I write) has already finished in front of Dazakhee (whose winning form is over a mile) and has a stall-one advantage, so I’m taking Fairest Isle (9.2) as the danger.
7.10 Kempton (Back or Lay At betdaq.com Handicap, Division 2) Carlton Scroop took this last year for Tony Carroll and has scored at Lingfield for Jim Best since, but he couldn’t win a seller for a third trainer, his current one, Paddy Butler, last time out.
Jim Best now has Mister Bit trying to prove that the blinkers will work a second time (they haven’t done for Burnbrake). Phonic takes a drop in class (it worked for Ulla last time out).
Rowan Bridge is a precarious favourite, a maiden currently with an attack of ‘seconditis’. I prefer Bubbly Braveheart at a value 11.0, considering his Kempton form-figures at 10f-plus are 2012
7.40 Kempton (Betdaq Mobile Apps Nursery) Here’s Fallon in the drive position from stall one on first-time-blinkered Voodoo Rhythm. It’s a nursery with nine previous winners in competition but eight are up in class.
The only winner at this level is Maroosh, also well drawn in 4, and Voodoo Rhythm’s stablemate. Both are trained by Brian Meehan; both are out to big prices, as I write: Maroosh is offered at 17.5 and Voodoo Rhythm at 24.0. Curiouser and curiouser.
Ambivalent and Misdemeanoiur are difficult to assess after only one run but Misdemeanour, trained by the old nursery king Richard Hannon, has already had her form boosted and, as an Azamour, catches the eye. So does 4.7.
DAQMAN’S BETS
BET 4.3pts win (nap) BEST ONE (5.40 Kempton)
BET 2.3pts win GABRIAL’S BOUNTY (6.10 Kempton)
BET 6pts win GREEN LIGHTNING and 2.4pts win FAIREST ISLE (6.40 Kempton)
BET 2pts win and place BUBBLY BRAVEHEART (7.10 Kempton)
BET 5.4pts win MISDEMEANOUR and 0.8pts win and place VOODOO RHYTHM (7.40 Kempton)
BET 2.1pts win and place PIRANHA (8.40 Kempton)
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