FAVOURITE PACKS A PUNCH AT KEMPTON PARK: Daqman, who has had seven winning days in the last nine, for a profit of 125 points, naps a favourite with a punch in a Betdaq-sponsored race at Kempton Park tonight.
Have they found the answer to Fury? The 2,000 Guineas fifth has been three times beaten favourite since then but goes extremely well fresh.
Kieren Fallon, solidly booked up at Kempton Park on the Betdaq card tonight, takes in just the one mount, on Fury (4.10), at Newmarket this afternoon: tasty 7.2 on the Daq, as I write.
Secrecy is the obvious threat but takes some cajoling and cost his jockey a seven-day whip ban when second at Hamilton, even under the old rules, last time out. He has to give weight to the three-year-olds.
Secrecy was beaten in that Hamilton race by Fury’s trainer, William Haggas, with a horse called Penitent, which was one of his two Lincoln Handicap winners in the last five years.
I had Fury in mind as the next Haggas attempt at the Doncaster prize but he’s a bit high in the handicap; that makes his run today all the more interesting.
Mantoba may bounce back. He was aimed high after winning the Houghton Stakes on this card last year, a race which used to contain strong maidens in a big field but has deteriorated this century.
In that race today, Red Seventy and Leqqaa drop down from the Pattern and should have it between them this afternoon (2.30).
The Mark Johnston runner, Leqqaa, getting 5lb from the top weight, might easily be allowed an unopposed lead. Back and lay.
5.50 Kempton (Free Entry For Betdaq Members’ Nursery): The Ivory’s – Dean and father, Ken, before him – used to farm Kempton prizes (I had a runner from the A1 yard myself).
The Ivory strike rate is lower these days, but Finalist looks nicely poised, first time in a handicap, a nursery which won’t take much winning. I took 9.8.
Kaylee was badly drawn when beaten favourite on the course on his nursery debut last time but excuses were also made for his previous Kempton run. Mount Macleod is a more likely danger.
6.20 Kempton (Betdaq Multiples Handicap): Garry Woodward is 50% at Kempton in this type of race, not least because of Steel City Boy’s five Polytrack wins but ‘the Boy’ is unlikely to be able to dictate from stall 12.
Francis Albert doesn’t sing for his supper very often but, along with Argentine and Canadian Danehill, has the best of the draw.
This pair have plummeted down the handicap, though you have to be prepared to bet odds on to dutch them in a poor-quality field.
6.50 Kempton (Back And Lay At betdaq.com Claiming Stakes): Exchange (Kieren Fallon) has won four similar races, and Whodathoughtit and the Ivory runner, Russian Ice – twice a Kempton winner – must be on the short list.
But Poyle Punch, the clear top rating, is a class above these on his Newmarket run and maiden win here from a big field. Betdaq punters supported him ahead of Sky Diamond this morning; the rest easy to back.
7.20 Kempton (Betdaq Multiples Handicap): Fallon and Hanagan have it between them, according to the market, which could only split their rides, Pilgrims Rest and Tortoni, by tenths, and I won’t be decimal dutching.
Snow Magic (8.50) is three out of four on Polytrack, an easy winner on the course under Fallon last time out. I think the grey filly is progressive.
DAQMAN’S BETS
BET 5pts win LEQQAA (2.30 Newmarket)
LAY to win 10pts SECRECY, and BET 3.2pts win FURY and 2.2pts win MANTOBA (4.10 Newmarket)
BET 2.2pts win FINALIST (5.50 Kempton)
BET 6.6pts win (nap) POYLE PUNCH (6.50 Kempton)
BET 4pts win SNOW MAGIC (8.50 Kempton)
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