DAQMAN, YOUR PRIVATE TIPSTER, BAGS TWO MORE BIG RACES: Daqman’s daily profit continued when he read the form book right for the Gallinule Stakes at The Curragh last night. His nap, Constantinople – ‘a good thing’ at 2.68 on BETDAQ – getting up to score at odds on and give him a second strike of the day following four on Thursday.
WON 11-10 PRIVATE SECRETARY (Goodwood Cocked Hat Classic trial)
WON 10-11 CONSTANTINOPLE (Curragh Gallinule Stakes nap)
THREE WINNING NAPS OUT OF FOUR FOLLOW NINE SUPERNAPS: That puts Daqman on three winning naps out of four.
The blip was when a sequence of NINE supernaps in a row ended on Thursday. The naps were:
WON 10-11 CONSTANTINOPLE (Friday)
WON 9-4 TABASSOR (Wednesday)
WON 11-10 UNIVERSAL GLEAM (Tuesday)
22.0 IRISH GUINEAS LONG SHOT TO SPLIT THE TOP TWO COLTS: How do you vote in the Irish 2,000 Guineas? Daqman exposes the collateral form and the stalls stats to try to solve the clash of the main parties and find an outsider at 22.0 on BETDAQ (Don’t forget, the ABC guide was in yesterday’s column). Current value scores: Daqman 22, Pricewise 11. Headlines:
🔹 DRAW HELPS CLASSIC PHOENIX RISE
🔹 DUNKERRON HAS A TOUCH OF CLASS
🔹 21.0 WARNING FOR THE SILVER BOWL
🔹 TON-UP AT 26.0 THE AUSSIE SPRINTER
DRAW HELPS CLASSIC PHOENIX RISE
3.35 The Curragh (Irish 2,000 Guineas) How hot is this Classic? Too Darn Hot for the Newmarket Guineas winner, Magna Grecia, according to punters.
They bankrolled Too Darn Hot into market leadership last night, ousting Ballydoyle’s premier colt, as the official ratings entitles him to. The John Gosden colt, second in the Dante, is 8lb clear.
But each side of this particular divide, faced with the BETDAQ orange ballot box, knows that it’s the colt not the country that decides the future.
The candidates don’t lie. They don’t play politics. And what the Press says is scorned by reality (I understand that’s called ‘real reality’ in this age of sad screen shenanigans).
The punter’s task is unchanged. Look for weaknesses. Hunt the value. Don’t be put off your own opinion by the way other people vote, certainly not by the 200 experts.
Can any of the 11 lesser parties turn up at big odds? Or is it the seeming straight fight between the blue (purple actually) of Magna Grecia and the red (pink, in fact) of Too Darn Hot?
We need an unexposed Romanised (25-1 scorer a year ago). We didn’t know until later that his Solario Stakes second at Sandown had been two lengths off the Epsom Derby winner!
Where’s the ‘hidden horse’ today? Maybe the draw will help. Five winners in a row (2011-15) came out of the low three stalls. None in eight years until that shocker last year had been sprung from a gate higher than 6.
I’ll try the grey Phoenix Of Spain, bing sent out from the one stall by a stable in stunning form, only a neck behind Magna Grecia last year and less than two lengths off Too Darn Hot.
That difference revealed in the collateral form may also serve to split today’s favourites, giving Too Darn Hot (drawn 11 today) the edge over Magna Carta (gate 9), and with the 22.00 BETDAQ offer Phoenix Of Spain better odds for a place than the front two for a win, and clearly better drawn.
DUNKERRON HAS A TOUCH OF CLASS
2.30 Goodwood The draw is decisive. Five of the last six winners came from stalls two or three (the other one was from six), with a big field today certain to fling the high numbers out wide like a centrifuge.
Most of Flashcard’s opponents in two novice events at Salisbury last summer remained maidens but he ran up to the Cornwallis third afterwards at the Curragh.
Dubai Legacy was given a higher rating than Flashcard for winning a small-field race at Epsom in a hood! Took an AW handicap on his return.
Another AW winner, Beat Le Bon (stall 4), was well backed for this last night, but his more consistent stablemate, Alhakmah, seems to have a better handicap mark.
A strong dose of stamina on the dam’s side suggests that Chapelli needs this step up in trip from the one stall on a track beloved by his trainer, Mark Johnston. Forget his last run, which came too soon after defeat by a nose at Chelmsford.
Alan King’s Dunkerron (from 3), who ran in Too Darn Hot’s Solario last season, and was second in a Group 2, has had a run back.
Mr Diamond (stall 2) won on his reappearance but is raised 7lb and up two grades. So I took 12.0 Chapelli and 15.0 Dunkerron.
21.0 WARNING FOR THE SILVER BOWL
2.50 Haydock (Silver Bowl) With 16 other runners, should we be in Awe of the favourite? He ran well in a handicap of today’s class at Ascot on his return but was receiving 13lb from the winner and the ground was soft. That’s an open verdict, then, not the confidence favourite backers need.
Oasis Prince completed a hat-trick when scoring over the Haydock CD a fortnight back, but is now weighted to run a dead-heat with the second, Loch Ness Monster.
Masaru comes here with a 7lb penalty for winning the Esher Cup. He, too, is worse off with Loch Ness Monster (third) but I’d be equally worried about Reggae Runner, who is 9lb better. Only sixth that day but was out quickly after a second at Musselburgh.
Within 20 minutes of the Dunkerron race at Goodwood, Alan King has another fine chance here. He could be toasting Aweedram but he’s up in the ratings so up two grades.
My fancy is the big horse, Spirit Warning (BETDAQ 21.0), improving all the time, and possibly better suited to today’s oval than the switchbacks of Epsom and Chester. Wherever Spirit Warning is, the locally trained Barristan The Bold (19.5) should be on form.
TON-UP AT 26.0 THE AUSSIE SPRINTER
3.25 Haydock (Sandy Lane Stakes), a walk-over for Calyx, impressive in the Commonwealth Cup Trial at Ascot. This is his final prep for that target.
3.45 York These are all well known to the handicapper (and we are following A Momentofmadness) but he knows nothing about the Australian sprinter, Acqume.
Acqume is on a recce for Kings Stand contender, Houtzen, but he gets 6f and has won at 4.5f., just the sort of speed-stamina mix that could finish late down the rail at York.
The 23.0 BETDAQ offers A Momentofmadness would land more than 400 profit at the Fortune Cookie stake. Let’s bait another hook and bet to win 100 Acqume at 26.0, both with place savers.
4.00 Haydock (Temple Stakes) A tasty clash of last year’s winner Battaash (first run after a wind op) versus the mare Mabs Cross, Abbaye hero and Palace House winner on her return. She’s our Fortune Cookie and Saturday nap.
DAQMAN’S BETS
2.30 Goodwood (win-50 bull’s-eye bets)
BET 4.5pts win CHAPELLI
BET 3.25pts win DUNKERRON
BET 1.9 pts win (saver) FLASHCARD
2.50 Haydock (win-50 bull’s-eye bets)
BET 2.5pts win and place SPIRIT WARNING
BET 2.75pts win and place BARRISTAN THE BOLD
2.55 Chester (win 20)
BET 2.75pts win DI FEDE
3.35 The Curragh (win-50 bull’s-eye bet, win 20 place)
BET 2.25pts win and 6pts place PHOENIX OF SPAIN
3.45 York (win 100 ton-up bet, and win 20 places)
BET 4pts win and place ACQUME
BET 4pts place A MOMENTOFMADNESS
FORTUNE COOKIES (20pt win level stakes)
CALYX (3.25 Haydock)
TOO DARN HOT (3.35 The Curragh)
A MOMENTOFMADNESS (3.45 York)
MABS CROSS (4.00 Haydock, nap)
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