10-1 HIT AND 2-1 NAP IN DAQMAN’S FIVE-WINNER CHELTENHAM SPREE: Daqman was in devastating form on the final day of the Cheltenham Festival yesterday with FIVE winners, including a 10-1 scorer in the County Hurdle and his nap at 2-1. His tips were involved in the finish of every race as follows:-
WON 4-1 (Our Conor, saver) Triumph Hurdle = break-even
WON 10-1 (Ted Veale taken at 12.5 on BETDAQ) 2nd 11-1 (Tennis Cap), 4th 16-1 (Shadow Catcher at 26.0 on BETDAQ), County Hurdle = 21.10 points profit
WON 11-8 (At Fishers Cross) Albert Bartlett = 20 points profit
2nd 4-1 (Sir Des Champs) Gold Cup = 13.5 points loss
WON 2-1 (Salsify, nap, at 4.0 on BETDAQ) Foxhunter = 20 points profit
3rd 14-1 (Double Ross at 24.0 on BETDAQ) Martin Pipe = 2.50 profit
WON 3-1 (Alderwood at 7.0 on BETDAQ) Grand Annual = 17.80 profit
NEAR 68 POINTS PROFIT IN ONE DAY: Tot them all up and you get 67.90 points profit on Gold Cup day. And it followed a 25-1 winner on Thursday.
2.20 Lingfield Last year’s winner, Fratellino, is back but it’s Kevin Ryan (York Glory) who farms this race, with figures of 10113 since 2007.
There’s not much between York Glory, Ladies Are Forever, Farmleigh Houise and Fratellino on their 1-2-3-4 over the course a furlong further late last month.
But Fratellino and York Glory have both previously finished behind Taajub over 5f. Taajub (15.0 on BETDAQ) is a dual winner over CD and he’s dropping down in class from Group level. The question mark is whether he’s fit, and the market is doubtful.
It also says that Tarooq’s run will come to an end; the paper favourite had drifted out to 9.4 at the time of writing.
The only positive was Intransigent, who is ready to reverse last Saturday’s form with Tarooq. That was his first run since September and second run usually shows big improvement in a Balding contender.
2.55 Lingfield (Spring Cup) Richard Hannon (Emell) and Clive Brittain (Shafaani) love this race. Hannon is 10211 since 2008 and Brittain 13124142 since 2003.
Ashamaly, Teophilip and Grilletto have been in form during the winter but four or five grades below this Listed level.
Emell narrowly missed winning a Listed at Doncaster but the worry about the Hannon runner is that his good form is all on softish ground.
More likely winners are Maxentius (who has been gelded) and Hoarding: Maxentius, as one who goes well fresh and was campaigned at Group level; Hoarding, as a course winner on turf at this trip who improved to take a class-2 race at Newmarket. With that pair on my side, I fancy taking on Emell.
3.15 Uttoxeter Kaylif Aramis has been well backed this morning to celebrate the Twiston-Davies Cheltenham, and the 6.0 bar one – with The Tracey Shuffle out to 9.0 – suggests little confidence elsewhere in the race. Worth the nap on this market advice.
3.30 Lingfield (Winter Derby) Cai Shen was the first runner for my Flat horses to follow last season and he so nearly took this. The previous season, he won first time out and, since he’s been hard to win with at other times, looks like one that must be caught fresh.
But the same applies to his conqueror here last March, Premio Loco, who is back for more, though you wonder if he has the same edge on him, since his yard has failed to score with its four winter AW starters.
Viking Storm needs further than this 10 furlongs, but Farraaj and Field Of Dream are both Listed winners. Of the pair, Farraaj can win when fresh and the trainer has had three AW winners this year. Field Of Dream is warming up for the Lincoln.
So it is that I consider the race a match between Farraaj and Cai Shen, with Cai Shen a big price at offers of 5.7 for a target horse who, in theory, will not succumb to his quirks first time.
3.50 Uttoxeter (Midlands Grand National) With the exception of Synchronised, who turned out to be a Gold Cup winner, this usually goes to a lightweight, with today’s race more like the old-style handicaps, with 26lb between top and bottom.
No horse of a double-figure age has scored since 1995, as this race has joined the trend for younger horses.
But it’s never been won by an animal as young as chase-maiden Big Occasion, a six-year-old who, along with Master Overseer, tries to give David Pipe a hat–trick in the race.
The bottom four, including Big Occasion, are all being claimed off, as they are out of the handicap proper, because of the presence of Carruthers. He is also being claimed off, so that there are four amateurs riding in the race.
Good luck to them but I’d rather entrust my hard-earned to someone like Paul Moloney though, in this race, that presents another problem: his mount, One In A Milan, is only a novice.
Of the stables on show, Nigel Twiston-Davies did best at Cheltenham, and Major Malarkey is 17lb better for a length defeat in this last year by Master Overseer.
I can see a war of attrition up front: three keen-going types in open conflict, Carruthers, Master Overseer and Chac Du Cadran, in handicap order.
The form book says that the two in the race who stay this four miles and are best handicapped are Chac Du Cadran and Major Malarkey. The stats say that the two ‘most likely to’ because they are bottomweights in the rain are Chac Du Cadran and Major Malarkey.
We’ve got a matching pair in our hand, and that’s enough for us to open our betting on the race: 5.4 units on Chac Du Cadran at 4.7 and 2.2 on Major Malarkey at 10.0.
DAQMAN’S BETS
BET 5.4pts win INTRANSIGENT and 1.4pts win TAAJUB (2.20 lingfield)
BET 5pts win HOARDING and 4pts win MAXENTIUS (2.55 Lingfield)
BET 8.8pts win (nap) KAYLIF ARAMIS (3.15 Uttoxeter)
BET 4.2pts win CAI SHEN and 2.2pts win (stakes saver) FARRAAJ (3.30 Lingfield)
BET 5.4pts win CHAC DU CADRAN and 2.2pts win MAJOR MALARKEY (3.50 Uttoxeter)
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