DAQMAN WANTS 60 VALUE HITS IN THE PRICEWISE CHALLENGE: Sunray Major yesterday (won 11-10 in a 17-runner race at Ascot) was hopefully a sunshine omen for an action-packed day in the rain today, which Daqman starts from these positions, bidding to raise his value wins in the challenge to Pricewise past the 60 mark in the last two weekends of the season.
DAQMAN 55, PRICEWISE 32
SUPERNAPS 16-24 (66%)
LAYS LOGIC 14-19(74%)
FORTUNE COOKIES 12-33 (36%)
THE BIG ARC WEEKEND IS HERE WITH FULL COVER FROM DAQMAN: It’s a huge double bill at Longchamp today and tomorrow, with the French Gold Cup today, starring Stradivarius and Princess Zoe, and the Arc de Triomphe tomorrow, starring everybody: 15 of them in one of the best Arcs for years.
TODAY: Day 1 of the Longchamp Arc meeting and terrestrial TV racing from Newmarket and Ascot.
TOMORROW: The Arc, plus the rest of the big-race card in Paris.
MANOBO BEST FOR GODOLPHIN
⭕ 12.23 Longchamp (Prix Chaudenay) Won by Charlie Appleby (2018) and Martyn Meade (2019). Appleby runs two for Godolphin today (Kemari rated 109 and Manobo 110). Aidan O’Brien saddles Interpretation (110) and Brian Ellison has Tashkhan (96).
Interpretation won the Vinnie Roe at Leopardstown and was fourth in the Doncaster St Leger. Queen’s Vase winner Kemari was last of eight in the Great Voltigeur.
Manobo (BETDAQ 5.0) slammed Kertex 10 lengths at Saint-Cloud, and AlterAdler beat Kertez two lengths at Chantilly before running second in the German Derby.
⭕ 1.33 Longchamp (Prix Daniel Wildenstein) The Revenant, who needs soft-heavy, goes for a hat-trick in this after twice beaten favourite in the Spring on good ground.
Summer Mile second Century Dream (Simon Crisford who won this in 2018) was only 9th on soft to The Revenant (Palace Pier third) in the British Champions Mile last October.
The Revenant (BETDAQ 2.75) can beat late-developer Real World (Saeed bin Suroor, Frankie Dettori), the Royal Hunt Cup winner, who has risen through the ranks but all on fast ground.
Coeursamba (BETDAQ 17.0 ), who bested 1,000 Guineas winner Mother Earth in the Spring, has had a break, saved up for today by a stable that has won this twice in the last five seasons.
STRADIVARIUS HAS ZOE TO BEAT
⭕ 2.15 Longchamp (Prix Du Cadran) Princess Zoe (Tony Mullins), who won this last year on the heavy, was runner-up on firm in the Ascot Gold Cup, with Stradivarius (Gosden-Dettori; denied a clear run) fourth.
Stradivarius has twice won the Ascot gold on soft ground but it truly favours Trueshan (Alan King). The British Champion Stayer last October was back to form in the Goodwood Cup – both races on soft – but he’s never even tried today’s trip of 2m 4f.
Bubble Smart has come through the ranks and loves soft-heavy; still improving and should hold off the other raiders in Emperor Of The Sun (Donacha O’Brien) and Stratum (Willie Mullins)
Stradivarius (BETDAQ 4.0) is rated 121 and Trueshan 118, with Princess Zoe on only 114 but she gets the 3lb sex allowance.
⭕ 2.50 Longchamp (Prix de Royallieu) It’s a Euro St Leger for fillies and mares (1m 6f) which three-year-olds usually win (seven of the last nine). Alain de Royer-Dupre has planned a ninth win in the race with Valia on his retirement Arc weekend.
Joie De Soir (BETDAQ 3.75) divided Arc hope Raabihah and Valia when runner-up at Deauville last month and is the best three-year-old in the race, though Ralph Beckett’s Yesyes (15.0 taken in the BETDAQ Sportsbook) is lightly raced and could be better than the bare form.
⭕ 4.00 Longchamp (Prix Dollar) This is a race that three-year-olds don’t win but they are mob-handed here against Magny Cours, who beat Arc contender Raabihah on the soft the last day, and Patrick Sarsfield (Joseph O’Brien) .
Patrick Sarsfield is an old Fortune Cookie (when he won four in a row up to July last year), with his only Group-2 run on heavy ground in the Dollar, second to prolific scorer Skalleti who had also won it the year before.
Megallan (Gosden–Dettori, BETDAQ 5.0) of the second-season team, was runner-up to Hurricane Lane in the Dante and, after his Group-3 win at Salisbury, it was said that only now has he become the racehorse they thought he would be. Will he like the ground?
The same applies to Cadillac (Jessica Harrington), a top-class two-year-old, and the enigma of the race. Came back to win a Group 3 from a setback in the Spring, but between going to America to race on rock-hard ground and here he is now at Longchamp on deep going!
DEVASTE-ATING 64.0 ON BETDAQ
⚠️ HEADS UP There was an overnight swoop for Swoon (1.45) down to 7.0 on BETDAQ; a Frankel, totally unexposed, and reckoned one for next year. If Oisin Murphy is an unusual booking by Sir Michael Stoute on that one, try Shane Foley for David Elsworth.
He’s on ‘hidden horse’ Devaste (2.20), who has the right draw and is in the right place in the handicap. Potential for a right touch, in fact, even for a place, at 64.0 the win on BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE this morning.
⭕ 2.05 Ascot Dakota Gold bids for a hat-trick in this Listed 5f sprint (run at Doncaster last season) and his 7th of 11 to Tis Marvellous on the last day at Beverley can be put down to the firm ground.
Tis Marvellous in turn was only third to Hurricane Ivor two weeks back at Newbury (Significantly fourth) but is 2lb well in with Ivor’s having to carry a Group-3 penalty.
⭕ 2.40 Ascot (Cumberland Lodge Stakes) Hukum has hooked three Group 3s since last summer but that has piled on the penalties and he has to give weight all round, with several opponents now better off at the weights.
He’d be giving more of course if this were a handicap, except to Title, who was hiked by his third to Arc hope Alenquer here in the King Edward V11 ‘Ascot Derby’, and went up even further after an easy handicap win the last day.
Still on the upgrade, likes cut in the ground and gets 9lb from Hukum. Offputting high head-carriage not so evident after gelding..
Duke Of Edinburgh winner on heavy and Ebor runner-up, Quickthorn (Alounak third) weakened out of it behind Hukum in the John Smith’s Silver Cup at York (1m 6f) but was still bang there at today’s trip.
The ‘hidden horse’ is Alignak, 13lb better off with the winner, Hukum, on their form in the Geoffrey Freer (1m 5f+), when he was third. BETDAQ 12.5.
ALL GO BACK DOWN TO EARTH
⭕ 2.55 Newmarket (Sun Chariot Stakes) Mother Earth has been placed in eight consecutive races in the last year and has taken two Group 1s on entirely different ground, winning the 1,000 Guineas (firm) and – three months apart – the Prix Rothschild at Deauville (soft).
She faces No Speak Alexander (Shane Foley) who ‘leaned left’, with Mother Earth impeded and eased, in the Matron Stakes at Leopardstown, which becomes the more controversial now, with Aidan O’Brien claiming in the Racing Post this weekend that Foley should have been banned a month!
Mother Earth was also short of room when beaten by Snow Lantern in the Falmouth, with Saffron Beach, the 1,000 runner-up, well beaten. The third in the first Classic, Fev Rover, is also back today but with not much on her account since.
Champers Elysees, winner of the 2020 Matron Stakes, was also unlucky in this year’s race, and is the forgotten horse trading at 10.0 in BETDAQ exchanges this morning but she has a tough task conceding weight to Mother Earth (4.1 favourite), who goes to the Breeders Cup after this.
⭕ 3.15 Ascot (Bengough Stakes) Ayr Gold Cup winner, Bielsa, takes a step up from handicaps to this 6f Group 3, facing the Ayr runner-up, Great Ambassador, who is 8lb better off and was on the wrong side at the finish that day.
British Champion sprinter last October, Glen Shiel (BETDAQ 5.0) has lost his grip recently but the rain has come for him and he was second on today’s course in the Diamond Jubilee (soft) in June.
Drops to a Group 3 for the first time since he won the Phoenix Sprint at the Curragh last August, and can take this en route to defending his title.
DAQMAN’S BETS
12.23 Longchamp (win 10)
BET 2pts win MANOBO
BET 1.25pts win KEMARI
1.33 Longchamp (win 20, win 10)
BET 1.25pts win COEURSAMBA
BET 5pts win THE REVENANT
1.45 Newmarket (win 10)
BET 1.5pts win SWOON
2.15 Longchamp (win 10)
BET 3pts win STRADIVARIUS
2.20 Newmarket (Bull’s-eye bet to win 50, place win 10)
BET 1pt win and 1.25pts place DEVASTE
2.40 Ascot (win 12, win 10)
BET 1pt win ALIGNAK
BET 3pts win TITLE
2.50 Longchamp (win 20, win 10)
BET 1.5pts win YESYES
BET 3.5pts win JOIE DE SOIR
2.55 Newmarket (win 20)
BET 6pts win MOTHER EARTH
3.15 Ascot (win 20, nap)
BET 5pts win GLEN SHIEL
4.00 Longchamp (win 20)
BET 5pts win MEGALLAN
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
