DAQMAN IN FORM FOR ARC WEEKEND: DAQMAN has finished in front two days running in time for a double ration of tipping today at Ascot and Newmarket in England and on the first day of the Longchamp ‘Arc’ meeting in Paris.
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FRIDAY
WON 13-8 SUBSEQUENT (Allonsy 2nd 13-2 same race)
THURSDAY
WON 6-4 CHANTILLY LACE (nap)
WON 11-10 BOB MALI
TREASURE AT 18.5 AND 20.0
⭕ 1.30 Newmarket Three-year-olds are 6-2 up in this 1m 2f premier-fillies handicap. It’s been a winning target for Roger Varian twice but blinkers need to liven up Queen of Soldiers.`
However, you could also belittle the low-level form of several giving her a few pounds: Min Huna and Ashariba have to leap two or three grades into this class 2. Contrast their form with a couple of hidden horses, and decide where you want to stand.
The sire Lope De Vega has helped make Ralph Beckett’s season and, before the daddy of them all wins the Arc, he could take this with La Passionaria, lightly raced at Group level but 20.0 on Betdaq Betting Exchange this morning.
Treasure is another Beckett hidden horse, and carries the kudos that she is owned by the royals and running at Ascot.
The grey filly was down the field in the Oaks; firm ground and the hilly ways of the Epsom track didn’t suit. This is her first run since and she could yet be anything. She was worth a bit of 18.5.
BOY! AUBERGINE’S CLASS
⭕ 2.05 Newmarket (6f sales race) STATS: winning stalls: 10, 30, 4, 27, 11, 8, 14, 15, 2, suggests three groups. Back one from each?
Or should you follow the market and try Aubergine in lucky gate number 13. One race one win for Hugo Palmer and pounced on everywhere when books opened yesterday. I don’t normally follow gambles but I took 7.0 on BETDAQ.
The Dandy Man grey Brighton Boy, out of 5, loves the soft ground and doesn’t have anything to prove.
The well-touted Twafeeg (19) should give a tow to the high numbers but the word on Aubergine is that she is ‘class.’
SEE THE FIRE STRONGER
⭕ 2.40 Newmarket (Sun Chariot Stakes) Maybe this is more like the Spring ground which helped Elmalka to her Newmarket 1,000 Guineas.
Tamfana was an unlucky neck behind her then, and won well the last day returned to the mile
But See The Fire, with her Nassau neck-second and her Strensall win over the opposite sex at York, could go some way, if not all the way , to hauling back the 14+ lengths she was in deficit at Newmarket.
Darnation, who beat See The Fire in the May Hill last season, was even further behind in the 1,000 Guineas.
Team Gosden tries to skittle the three-year-olds with the two-years-older Nashwa (back after a long break) and Inspiral; the one may need the race, the other has been best on top of the ground.
WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY
⭕ 2.25 Ascot (Cumberland Lodge Stakes) The 2022 winner of this, Hamish leaves this battle with last year’s scorer, Al Qareem, to Hamish’s stablemate Al Aasy, who hasn’t raced on soft since June, 2020.
He beat Al Qareem the last day at Newbury on firm ground but, since then, Al Qareem has scored on heavy.
I was going to dodge this battle-scarred trio and opt for a bit of win and place God’s Window, the only three-year-old in the race, who is better than the bare form. A fresh horse at 10.5 on BETDAQ this morning.
He took on Economics in the Dante and City of Troy in the Derby, enjoying soft ground early in the season when Team Gosden was out of sorts.
Hamish’s defection takes us down to seven runners and loses me a place, so I’ll play two separate horses rather than two bets on the same horse.
JARRAAF FORTUNE COOKIE
⭕ 3.00 Ascot (Bengough Stakes) FORTUNE COOKIE Jarraaf goes for an Ascot treble, stepping up from handicaps, and bred for almost any terrain.
English Oak has won on firm and soft, including at Ascot, but he’s dropping down a furlong here from his winningmost trip.
Wiltshire has steadily improved all year and is now 13lb higher, though his winning form over the likes of King’s Lynn wouldn’t have me baying at the betting-shop door.
The handicapper refuses to let go of Korker and he has never yet managed to score beyond the minimum trip.
THE 33-1 HANDICAP PLOT
⭕ 3.35 Ascot (7f handicap) A specialist trip and when the favourites haven’t played well in this, the gate has been opened for winners at 16-1 (twice), 20-1 and 25-1.
You can also be caught out by the draw (tell me about it!) and you may need one each side to try to cope with winners out of 13, 16 (twice), 17 and from low stalls 2, 6, 8 (twice). But low numbers did best yesterday.
Has W. Haggas been Brewing (8) up a plot? The horse of that name has – says the trainer – been maturing on AW. Five times a winner (!) then a quiet introduction to turf at Doncaster.. BETDAQ 34.0 taken.
Fresh (5) likes ducking and diving in big fields, particularly big fields at Ascot, and more particularly on soft ground. Yet he’s dropped 10lb down the handicap. BETDAQ 21.0 taken, James Fanshawe has booked Daniel Tudhope, who had an incredible eight winners out of nine rides between Sunday and Thursday
DAQMAN’S BETS
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1.30 Newmarket (win-50 bull’s-eye bets)
BET 1.5pts win and place LA PASSIONARIA
BET 2.85pt win and place TREASURE
2.05 Newmarket (win 24, win 12)
BET 4pts win AUBERGINE
BET 4pts win BRIGHTON BOY
2.25 Ascot (win 20)
BET 2pts win GOD’S WINDOW
BET 6pts to win 10 AL AASY
2.40 Newmarket (win 12)
BET 4pts win SEE THE FIRE
3.00 Ascot
FORTUNE COOKIE and ENGLISH NAP
BET 20pts win JARRAAF
3.35 Ascot (win-50 bulls’-eye bets)
BET 2.5pts win and place FRESH
BET 1.5pts win and place BREWING
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